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In finite mixture models, apart from underlying mixing measure, true kernel density function of each subpopulation in the data is, in many scenarios, unknown. Perhaps the most popular approach is to choose some kernel functions that we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Nhat Ho , XuanLong Nguyen , Ya'acov Ritov

This paper studies the high-dimensional mixed linear regression (MLR) where the output variable comes from one of the two linear regression models with an unknown mixing proportion and an unknown covariance structure of the random…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Linjun Zhang , Rong Ma , T. Tony Cai , Hongzhe Li

We show that the Bregman divergence provides a rich framework to estimate unnormalized statistical models for continuous or discrete random variables, that is, models which do not integrate or sum to one, respectively. We prove that recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Michael Gutmann , Jun-ichiro Hirayama

Difference schemes for the time-fractional diffusion equation with variable coefficients and nonlocal boundary conditions containing real parameters $\alpha$ and $\beta$ are considered. By the method of energy inequalities, for the solution…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-27 A. A. Alikhanov

Deep time-series forecasting can be formulated as a distribution balancing problem aimed at aligning the distribution of the forecasts and ground truths. According to Imbens' criterion, true distribution balance requires matching the first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Licheng Pan , Hao Wang , Haocheng Yang , Yuqi Li , Qingsong Wen , Xiaoxi Li , Zhichao Chen , Haoxuan Li , Zhixuan Chu , Yuan Lu

Let $(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$ be an i.i.d. sequence of random variables in $\mathbb{R}^d$, $d\geq 1$. We show that, for any function $\varphi :\mathbb{R}^d\rightarrow\mathbb{R}$, under regularity conditions, \[n^…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Bernard Delyon , François Portier

In this paper, we study various models for random combinatorial partitions using large deviation analysis for diverging scale of the reference process. Scaling limits of similar models have been studied recently \cite{FSa,FSb} going back to…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Stefan Adams , Matthew Dickson

Multivariate conformal prediction requires nonconformity scores that compress residual vectors into scalars while preserving certain implicit geometric structure of the residual distribution. We introduce a Multivariate Kernel Score (MKS)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Louis Meyer , Wenkai Xu

Current meta-learning approaches focus on learning functional representations of relationships between variables, i.e. on estimating conditional expectations in regression. In many applications, however, we are faced with conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-25 Jean-Francois Ton , Lucian Chan , Yee Whye Teh , Dino Sejdinovic

Consider $\beta > 1$ and $\lfloor \beta \rfloor$ its integer part. It is widely known that any real number $\alpha \in \Bigl[0, \frac{\lfloor \beta \rfloor}{\beta - 1}\Bigr]$ can be represented in base $\beta$ using a development in series…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Victor Vargas

We solve two problems related to the fluctuations of time-integrated functionals of Markov diffusions, used in physics to model nonequilibrium systems. In the first we derive and illustrate the appropriate boundary conditions on the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-01 Johan du Buisson

Mixtures of linear mixed models are widely used for modelling longitudinal data for which observation times differ between subjects. In typical applications, temporal trends are described using a basis expansion, with basis coefficients…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Lucas Kock , Nadja Klein , David J. Nott

In this paper we establish a large deviations type estimate for strongly mixing Markov chains with respect to the Lp norm. As applications we derive such estimates for the iterates of a locally constant random cocycle with mixed rank, as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Anselmo Pontes

Smooth Estimation of probability density and distribution functions from its sample is an attractive and an important problem that has applications in several fields such as, business, medicine, and environment. This article introduces a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-02 Elsayed A. H. Elamir

In this paper, we are interested in nonparametric kernel estimation of a generalized regression function, including conditional cumulative distribution and conditional quantile functions, based on an incomplete sample $(X_t, Y_t,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Mohamed Chaouch , Naâmane Laïb

Time series regression models are commonly used in time series analysis. However, in modern real-world applications, serially correlated data with an ultra-high dimension and fat tails are prevalent. This presents a challenge in developing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-21 Linbo Liu , Danna Zhang

In this paper we prove large and moderate deviations principles for the recursive kernel estimator of a probability density function and its partial derivatives. Unlike the density estimator, the derivatives estimators exhibit a quadratic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Abdelkader Mokkadem , Mariane Pelletier , Baba Thiam

Reliable prediction of protein variant effects is crucial for both protein optimization and for advancing biological understanding. For practical use in protein engineering, it is important that we can also provide reliable uncertainty…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-01 Peter Mørch Groth , Mads Herbert Kerrn , Lars Olsen , Jesper Salomon , Wouter Boomsma

This paper builds on recent research that focuses on regression modeling of continuous bounded data, such as proportions measured on a continuous scale. Specifically, it deals with beta regression models with mixed effects from a Bayesian…

Various mixing conditions have been imposed on high dimensional time series, including the strong mixing ($\alpha$-mixing), maximal correlation coefficient ($\rho$-mixing), absolute regularity ($\beta$-mixing), and $\phi$-mixing.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Jiaqi Yin