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Euclidean Markov decision processes are a powerful tool for modeling control problems under uncertainty over continuous domains. Finite state imprecise, Markov decision processes can be used to approximate the behavior of these infinite…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Manfred Jaeger , Giorgio Bacci , Giovanni Bacci , Kim Guldstrand Larsen , Peter Gjøl Jensen

Data association, the problem of reasoning over correspondence between targets and measurements, is a fundamental problem in tracking. This paper presents a graphical model formulation of data association and applies an approximate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-12-16 Jason L. Williams , Roslyn A. Lau

We study approximations of evolving probability measures by an interacting particle system. The particle system dynamics is a combination of independent Markov chain moves and importance sampling/resampling steps. Under global regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-12 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

An algorithm for estimating quasi-stationary distribution of finite state space Markov chains has been proven in a previous paper. Now this paper proves a similar algorithm that works for general state space Markov chains under very general…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-04 Jose H. Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Shuheng Zheng

The paper is devoted to studies of perturbed Markov chains commonly used for description of information networks. In such models, the matrix of transition probabilities for the corresponding Markov chain is usually regularised by adding a…

Approximate simulation, an extension of simulation relations from formal methods to continuous systems, is a powerful tool for hierarchical control of complex systems. Finding an approximate simulation relation between the full "concrete"…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-10 Vince Kurtz , Patrick M. Wensing , Hai Lin

Bayesian inference for Continuous-Time Markov Chains (CTMCs) on countably infinite spaces is notoriously difficult because evaluating the likelihood exactly is intractable. One way to address this challenge is to first build a non-negative…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-31 Miguel Biron-Lattes , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Trevor Campbell

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for inference of complicated probabilistic models with intractable likelihoods using model simulations. The Markov chain Monte Carlo implementation of approximate Bayesian computation is often…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-17 Matti Vihola , Jordan Franks

The paper is concerned with approximating the distribution of a sum W of n integer valued random variables Y_i, whose distributions depend on the state of an underlying Markov chain X. The approximation is in terms of a translated Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-06 A. D. Barbour , Torgny Lindvall

We introduce polynomial couplings, a generalization of probabilistic couplings, to develop an algorithm for the computation of equivalence relations which can be interpreted as a lifting of probabilistic bisimulation to polynomial…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Giorgio Bacci , Giovanni Bacci , Kim G. Larsen , Mirco Tribastone , Max Tschaikowski , Andrea Vandin

The main results of this note extend a theorem of Kesten for symmetric random walks on discrete groups to group extensions of topological Markov chains. In contrast to the result in probability theory, there is a notable asymmetry in the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-12-24 Manuel Stadlbauer

In this paper we propose a (sub)distribution-based bisimulation for labelled Markov processes and compare it with earlier definitions of state and event bisimulation, which both only compare states. In contrast to those state-based…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-07-03 Pengfei Yang , David N. Jansen , Lijun Zhang

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

On a weakly Blackwell space we show how to define a Markov chain approximating problem, for the target problem. The approximating problem is proved to converge to the optimal reduced problem under different pseudometrics. A computational…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-14 Giacomo Aletti , Diane Saada

We consider a Markov chain approximation scheme for utility maximization problems in continuous time, which uses, in turn, a piecewise constant policy approximation, Euler-Maruyama time stepping, and a Gauss-Hermite approximation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Athena Picarelli , Christoph Reisinger

Convex sample approximations of chance-constrained optimization problems are considered, in which chance constraints are replaced by sets of sampled constraints. We propose a randomized sample selection strategy that allows tight bounds to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Mark Cannon

The Markov chain approximation of a one-dimensional symmetric diffusion is investigated in this paper. Given an irreducible reflecting diffusion on a closed interval with scale function $s$ and speed measure $m$, the approximating Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-16 Xiaodan Li , Jiangang Ying

The goal of this work is to formally abstract a Markov process evolving in discrete time over a general state space as a finite-state Markov chain, with the objective of precisely approximating its state probability distribution in time,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Alessandro Abate

Belief Propagation (BP) is a widely used approximation for exact probabilistic inference in graphical models, such as Markov Random Fields (MRFs). In graphs with cycles, however, no exact convergence guarantees for BP are known, in general.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-28 Wolfgang Gatterbauer

Recent advances in stochastic gradient variational inference have made it possible to perform variational Bayesian inference with posterior approximations containing auxiliary random variables. This enables us to explore a new synthesis of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-20 Tim Salimans , Diederik P. Kingma , Max Welling
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