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In this paper, martingales related to simple random walks and their maximum process are investigated. First, a sufficient condition under which a function with three arguments, time, the random walk, and its maximum process becomes a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-11 Takahiko Fujita , Shotaro Yagishita , Naohiro Yoshida

We consider the robust adaptive nonparametric estimation problem for a periodic function observed in the framework of a continuous time regression model with semimartingale noises.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Evgeny A. Pchelintsev , Serguei M. Pergamenshchikov , Maria A. Povzun

In exponential semi-martingale setting for risky asset we estimate the difference of prices of options when initial physical measure $P$ and corresponding martingale measure $Q$ change to $\tilde{P}$ and $\tilde{Q}$ respectively. Then, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-14 L. Vostrikova

We prove a robust super-hedging duality result for path-dependent options on assets with jumps, in a continuous time setting. It requires that the collection of martingale measures is rich enough and that the payoff function satisfies some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-24 Bruno Bouchard , Xiaolu Tan

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a {\em stochastic maximal inequality} derived by using the formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Yoichi Nishiyama

We prove optimal ${L}^2$ bounds for a pair of Hilbert space valued differentially subordinate martingales under a change of law. The change of law is given by a process called a weight and sharpness in this context refers to the optimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Komla Domelevo , Stefanie Petermichl

We develop a general framework for extracting highly uniform bounds on local stability for stochastic processes in terms of information on fluctuations or crossings. This includes a large class of martingales: As a corollary of our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Morenikeji Neri , Thomas Powell

In this paper we introduce the concept of conic martingales}. This class refers to stochastic processes having the martingale property, but that evolve within given (possibly time-dependent) boundaries. We first review some results about…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Frédéric Vrins , Monique Jeanblanc

Is this paper we study penalisations of diffusions satisfying some technical conditions, generalizing a result obtained by Najnudel, Roynette and Yor. If one of these diffusions has probability distribution $\mathbb{P}$, then our result can…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-24 Joseph Najnudel , Ashkan Nikeghbali

We study a continuous-time financial market with continuous price processes under model uncertainty, modeled via a family $\mathcal{P}$ of possible physical measures. A robust notion ${\rm NA}_{1}(\mathcal{P})$ of no-arbitrage of the first…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-21 Sara Biagini , Bruno Bouchard , Constantinos Kardaras , Marcel Nutz

In the context of jump-diffusion market models we construct examples that satisfy the weaker no-arbitrage condition of NA1 (NUPBR), but not NFLVR. We show that in these examples the only candidate for the density process of an equivalent…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-30 Jacopo Mancin , Wolfgang J. Runggaldier

Prices of tradables can only be expressed relative to each other at any instant of time. This fundamental fact should therefore also hold for contigent claims, i.e. tradable instruments, whose prices depend on the prices of other tradables.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jiri Hoogland , Dimitri Neumann

We show that our generalization of the Black-Scholes partial differential equation (pde) for nontrivial diffusion coefficients is equivalent to a Martingale in the risk neutral discounted stock price. Previously, this was proven for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 J. L. McCauley , G. H. Gunaratne , K. E. Bassler

Some classes of increment martingales, and the corresponding localized classes, are studied. An increment martingale is indexed by the real line and its increment processes are martingales. We focus primarily on the behavior as time goes to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Svend-Erik Graversen , Jan Pedersen

Strassen's classical martingale coupling theorem states that two real-valued random variables are ordered in the convex (resp.\ increasing convex) stochastic order if and only if they admit a martingale (resp.\ submartingale) coupling. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Lasse Leskelä , Matti Vihola

For control systems in discrete time, this paper discusses measure-theoretic invariance entropy for a subset Q of the state space with respect to a quasi-stationary measure obtained by endowing the control range with a probability measure.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-05 Fritz Colonius

Let $L$ be a linear space of real bounded random variables on the probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{A},P_0)$. There is a finitely additive probability $P$ on $\mathcal{A}$, such that $P\sim P_0$ and $E_P(X)=0$ for all $X\in L$, if and…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-14 Patrizia Berti , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

Given a finite honest time, we first show that the associated Az\'ema optional supermartingale can be expressed as the drawdown and the relative drawdown of some local optional supermartingales with continuous running supremum. The relative…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Libo Li

In a fully general setting, we study the relation between martingale spaces under two locally absolutely continuous probabilities and prove that the martingale representation property (MRP) is always stable under locally absolutely…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-09 Anna Aksamit , Claudio Fontana

We show that one can perform causal inference in a natural way for continuous-time scenarios using tools from stochastic analysis. This provides new alternatives to the positivity condition for inverse probability weighting. The probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-23 Kjetil Røysland