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When assessing the causal effect of a binary exposure using observational data, confounder imbalance across exposure arms must be addressed. Matching methods, including propensity score-based matching, can be used to deconfound the causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-01 Ernesto Ulloa-Pérez , Marco Carone , Alex Luedtke

We find that, in a linear model, the James-Stein estimator, which dominates the maximum-likelihood estimator in terms of its in-sample prediction error, can perform poorly compared to the maximum-likelihood estimator in out-of-sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-02 Nina Huber , Hannes Leeb

We discuss problems the null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) paradigm poses for replication and more broadly in the biomedical and social sciences as well as how these problems remain unresolved by proposals involving modified…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-21 Blakeley B. McShane , David Gal , Andrew Gelman , Christian Robert , Jennifer L. Tackett

In this paper we discuss some aspects of the Heisenberg uncertainty relation, mostly from the point of view of non self-adjoint operators. Some equivalence results, and some refinements of the inequality, are deduced, and some relevant…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-08-31 Fabio Bagarello

Statistical hypothesis testing, as formalized by 20th Century statisticians and taught in college statistics courses, has been a cornerstone of 100 years of scientific progress. Nevertheless, the methodology is increasingly questioned in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Brian Dennis , Mark L Taper , José M Ponciano

In many fields of research null hypothesis significance tests and p values are the accepted way of assessing the degree of certainty with which research results can be extrapolated beyond the sample studied. However, there are very serious…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Michael Wood

While correlation measures are used to discern statistical relationships between observed variables in almost all branches of data-driven scientific inquiry, what we are really interested in is the existence of causal dependence. Designing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-26 Ishanu Chattopadhyay

The concept of Granger causality is increasingly being applied for the characterization of directional interactions in different applications. A multivariate framework for estimating Granger causality is essential in order to account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Angeliki Papana , Elsa Siggiridou , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

The Heisenberg-Robertson uncertainty relation quantitatively expresses the impossibility of jointly sharp preparation of incompatible observables. However it does not capture the concept of incompatible observables because it can be trivial…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-05-25 Kunkun Wang , Xiang Zhan , Zhihao Bian , Jian Li , Yongsheng Zhang , Peng Xue

Maximum likelihood estimation has been extensively used in the joint analysis of repeated measurements and survival time. However, there is a lack of theoretical justification of the asymptotic properties for the maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Donglin Zeng , Jianwen Cai

Survey respondents may give untruthful answers to sensitive questions when asked directly. In recent years, researchers have turned to the list experiment (also known as the item count technique) to overcome this difficulty. While list…

Applications · Statistics 2014-06-03 Peter M. Aronow , Alexander Coppock , Forrest W. Crawford , Donald P. Green

Let $\bx_j = \btheta +\bep_j, j=1,...,n$, be observations of an unknown parameter $\btheta$ in a Euclidean or separable Hilbert space $\scrH$, where $\bep_j$ are noises as random elements in $\scrH$ from a general distribution. We study the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Fan Zhou , Ping Li , Cun-Hui Zhang

In the preprint of 1993 the author formulated some conjectures on monotonicity of ratios for exponential series remainders. They are equivalent to conjectures on monotonicity of a ratio of Kummer hypergeometric functions and presumably not…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-01-13 S. M. Sitnik

This study has the purpose of addressing four questions that lie at the base of the probability theory and statistics, and includes two main steps. As first, we conduct the textual analysis of the most significant works written by eminent…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2019-01-15 Paolo Rocchi

We introduce a rigorous and sensitive significance test for hyperuniformity that yields reliable results even from a single sample. Our approach is based on a detailed analysis of the empirical Fourier transform of a stationary point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Michael A. Klatt , Günter Last , Norbert Henze

We generalize a previously proposed approach for nonlinear Granger causality of time series, based on radial basis function. The proposed model is not constrained to be additive in variables from the two time series and can approximate any…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Daniele Marinazzo , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

For the universal hypothesis testing problem, where the goal is to decide between the known null hypothesis distribution and some other unknown distribution, Hoeffding proposed a universal test in the nineteen sixties. Hoeffding's universal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Jayakrishnan Unnikrishnan , Dayu Huang , Sean Meyn , Amit Surana , Venugopal Veeravalli

The Hirschfeld-Gebelein-R\'enyi (HGR) correlation coefficient is an extension of Pearson's correlation that is not limited to linear correlations, with potential applications in algorithmic fairness, scientific analysis, and causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Luca Giuliani , Michele Lombardi

Exploratory analysis of time series data can yield a better understanding of complex dynamical systems. Granger causality is a practical framework for analysing interactions in sequential data, applied in a wide range of domains. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-20 Ričards Marcinkevičs , Julia E. Vogt

Subclassification estimators are one of the methods used to estimate causal effects of interest using the propensity score. This method is more stable compared to other weighting methods, such as inverse probability weighting estimators, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Shunichiro Orihara , Tomotaka Momozaki
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