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In this paper, we consider projection estimates for L\'evy densities in high-frequency setup. We give a unified treatment for different sets of basis functions and focus on the asymptotic properties of the maximal deviation distribution for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Valentin Konakov , Vladimir Panov

Gibbs sampling is a common procedure used to fit finite mixture models. However, it is known to be slow to converge when exploring correlated regions of a parameter space and so blocking correlated parameters is sometimes implemented in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-04 David Michael Swanson

The Mallows measure is a probability measure on $S_n$ where the probability of a permutation $\pi$ is proportional to $q^{l(\pi)}$ with $q > 0$ being a parameter and $l(\pi)$ the number of inversions in $\pi$. We show the convergence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Ke Jin

We propose a lower bound on the log marginal likelihood of Gaussian process regression models that can be computed without matrix factorisation of the full kernel matrix. We show that approximate maximum likelihood learning of model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-17 Artem Artemev , David R. Burt , Mark van der Wilk

Modern data sets in various domains often include units that were sampled non-randomly from the population and have a latent correlation structure. Here we investigate a common form of this setting, where every unit is associated with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Omer Weissbrod , Shachar Kaufman , David Golan , Saharon Rosset

A sequence of accompanying laws is suggested in the limit theorem of B. V. Gnedenko for maximums of independent random variables belonging to maximum domain of attraction of the Gumbel distribution. It is shown that this sequence gives an…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-22 V. I. Piterbarg , Yu. A. Scherbakova

In this paper, based on the initiation of the notion of negatively associated random variables under nonlinear probability, a strong limit theorem for weighted sums of random variables within the same frame is achieved without assumptions…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Yuting Lan , Ning Zhang

We use various combinatorial and probabilistic techniques to study growth rates for the probability that a random permutation from the Mallows distribution avoids consecutive patterns. The Mallows distribution behaves like a $q$-analogue of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Harry Crane , Stephen DeSalvo , Sergi Elizalde

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson

Without higher moment assumptions, this note establishes the decay of the Kolmogorov distance in a central limit theorem for L\'evy processes. This theorem can be viewed as a continuous-time extension of the classical random walk result by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 David Bang , Jorge Ignacio González Cázares , Aleksandar Mijatović

Nearest neighbor cells in $R^d,d\in\mathbb{N}$, are used to define coefficients of divergence ($\phi$-divergences) between continuous multivariate samples. For large sample sizes, such distances are shown to be asymptotically normal with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-06 Yu. Baryshnikov , Mathew D. Penrose , J. E. Yukich

For random matrix ensembles with non-gaussian matrix elements that may exhibit some correlations, it is shown that centered traces of polynomials in the matrix converge in distribution to a Gaussian process whose covariance matrix is…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-04-24 Jeffrey Schenker , Hermann Schulz-Baldes

The paper covers the design and analysis of experiments to discriminate between two Gaussian process models, such as those widely used in computer experiments, kriging, sensor location and machine learning. Two frameworks are considered.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Elham Yousefi , Luc Pronzato , Markus Hainy , Werner G. Müller , Henry P. Wynn

This paper deals with stationary Gibbsian point processes on the plane with an interaction that depends on the tiles of the Delaunay triangulation of points via a bounded triangle potential. It is shown that the class of these Gibbs…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-16 David Dereudre , Hans-Otto Georgii

This article is concerned with the mathematical analysis of a family of adaptive importance sampling algorithms applied to diffusion processes. These methods, referred to as Adaptive Biasing Potential methods, are designed to efficiently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-10 Michel Benaïm , Charles-Edouard Bréhier

Convergence of stochastic processes with jumps to diffusion processes is investigated in the case when the limit process has discontinuous coefficients. An example is given in which the diffusion approximation of a queueing model yields a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 N. V. Krylov , R. Liptser

Gaussian process (GP) modulated Cox processes are widely used to model point patterns. Existing approaches require a mapping (link function) between the unconstrained GP and the positive intensity function. This commonly yields solutions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-01 Andrés F. López-Lopera , ST John , Nicolas Durrande

The paper contains results in three areas: First we present a general estimate for tail probabilities of Gaussian quadratic forms with known expectation and variance. Thereafter we analyze the distribution of norms of complex Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Georg Berschneider , Björn Böttcher

The main result of this paper is a functional limit theorem for the sine-process. In particular, we study the limit distribution, in the space of trajectories, for the number of particles in a growing interval. The sine-process has the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Alexander I. Bufetov , Andrey V. Dymov

We present a definition of the distance between probability distributions. Our definition is based on the $L_1$ norm on space of probability measures. We compare our distance with the well-known Kullback-Leibler divergence and with the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Robert J. Budzyński , Witold Kondracki , Andrzej Królak