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We consider a multivariate distributional recursion of sum-type as arising in the probabilistic analysis of algorithms and random trees. We prove an upper tail bound for the solution using Chernoff's bounding technique by estimating the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-21 Goetz Olaf Munsonius

The aim of this paper is to provide conditions which ensure that the affinely transformed partial sums of a strictly stationary process converge in distribution to an infinite variance stable distribution. Conditions for this convergence to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-20 Katarzyna Bartkiewicz , Adam Jakubowski , Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

This paper is the Part II of a serious work about T product tensors focusing at establishing new probability bounds for sums of random, independent, T product tensors. These probability bounds characterize large deviation behavior of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Shih Yu Chang , Yimin Wei

Estimation of solution norms and stability for time-dependent nonlinear systems is ubiquitous in numerous applied and control problems. Yet, practically valuable results are rare in this area. This paper develops a novel approach, which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-08-29 Mark A. Pinsky , Steve Koblik

Let $\{X_t, t \geq 1\}$ be a sequence of identically distributed and pairwise asymptotically independent random variables with regularly varying tails and $\{ \Theta_t, t\geq1 \}$ be a sequence of positive random variables independent of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Rajat Subhra Hazra , Krishanu Maulik

Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

We consider the approximation of a convolution of possibly different probability measures by (compound) Poisson distributions and also by related signed measures of higher order. We present new total variation bounds having a better…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Bero Roos

Gaussian inference on smooth manifolds is central to robotics, but exact marginalization and conditioning are generally non-Gaussian and geometry-dependent. We study tangent-linearized Gaussian inference and derive explicit non-asymptotic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Junghoon Seo , Hakjin Lee , Jaehoon Sim

We deduce in this paper the sufficient conditions for weak convergence of centered and normed deviation of the u-statistics with values in the space of the real valued continuous function defined on some compact metric space. We obtain also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-12 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Max-stable processes have proved to be useful for the statistical modelling of spatial extremes. Several representations of max-stable random fields have been proposed in the literature. For statistical inference it is often assumed that…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-25 Richard A. Davis , Claudia Klüppelberg , Christina Steinkohl

A unified presentation of the perturbation and variational methods for the generalized statistical mechanics based on Tsallis entropy is given here. In the case of the variational method, the Bogoliubov inequality is generalized in a very…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 E. K. Lenzi , L. C. Malacarne , R. S. Mendes

Fix a sequence c=(c_1,...,c_n) of non-negative integers with sum n-1. We say a rooted tree T has child sequence c if it is possible to order the nodes of T as v_1,...,v_n so that for each 1 <= i <= n, v_i has exactly c_i children. Let T be…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-22 Louigi Addario-Berry

In this paper we present a tail inequality for the maximum of partial sums of a weakly dependent sequence of random variables that are not necessarily bounded. The class considered includes geometrically and subgeometrically strongly mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-04 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Emmanuel Rio

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

Model averaging techniques based on resampling methods (such as bootstrapping or subsampling) have been utilized across many areas of statistics, often with the explicit goal of promoting stability in the resulting output. We provide a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Jake A. Soloff , Rina Foygel Barber , Rebecca Willett

A bottleneck in the theory of large-amplitude and multi-d viscous and relaxation shock stability is the development of nonlinear damping estimates controlling higher by lower derivatives. These have traditionally proceeded from…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Kevin Zumbrun

The statistical theory of extremes is extended to observations that are non-stationary and not independent. The non-stationarity over time and space is controlled via the scedasis (tail scale) in the marginal distributions. Spatial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-10 John H. J. Einmahl , Ana Ferreira , Laurens de Haan , Claudia Neves , Chen Zhou

We present a universal concentration bound for sums of random variables under arbitrary dependence, and we prove that it is asymptotically optimal for broad families of marginals admitting a uniform integrable tail-quantile envelope. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Cosme Louart , Sicheng Tan

Under K.-T. Sturm's formulation, we obtain a Gaussian upper bound for tail probability of mean value of independent, identically distributed random variables with values in $\mathbb{R}$-trees and Hadamard manifolds.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-04 Kei Funano

This work derives extremal tail bounds for the Gaussian trace estimator applied to a real symmetric matrix. We define a partial ordering on the eigenvalues, so that when a matrix has greater spectrum under this ordering, its estimator will…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Eric Hallman