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The central task in modeling complex dynamical systems is parameter estimation. This task involves numerous evaluations of a computationally expensive objective function. Surrogate-based optimization introduces a computationally efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-19 Žiga Lukšič , Jovan Tanevski , Sašo Džeroski , Ljupčo Todorovski

The idea of using machine learning (ML) methods to reconstruct the dynamics of a system is the topic of recent studies in the geosciences, in which the key output is a surrogate model meant to emulate the dynamical model. In order to treat…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-22 Alban Farchi , Patrick Laloyaux , Massimo Bonavita , Marc Bocquet

This work presents a technique for statistically modeling errors introduced by reduced-order models. The method employs Gaussian-process regression to construct a mapping from a small number of computationally inexpensive `error indicators'…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-04-16 Martin Drohmann , Kevin Carlberg

This work proposes a machine-learning framework for constructing statistical models of errors incurred by approximate solutions to parameterized systems of nonlinear equations. These approximate solutions may arise from early termination of…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Brian A. Freno , Kevin T. Carlberg

We introduce the concept of decision-focused surrogate modeling for solving computationally challenging nonlinear optimization problems in real-time settings. The proposed data-driven framework seeks to learn a simpler, e.g. convex,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Rishabh Gupta , Qi Zhang

This work presents a data-driven method for learning low-dimensional time-dependent physics-based surrogate models whose predictions are endowed with uncertainty estimates. We use the operator inference approach to model reduction that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Shane A. McQuarrie , Anirban Chaudhuri , Karen E. Willcox , Mengwu Guo

This work proposes a machine-learning framework for modeling the error incurred by approximate solutions to parameterized dynamical systems. In particular, we extend the machine-learning error models (MLEM) framework proposed in Ref. 15 to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Eric J. Parish , Kevin T. Carlberg

This work proposes a data-driven surrogate modeling framework for cost-effectively inferring the torque of a permanent magnet synchronous machine under geometric design variations. The framework is separated into a reduced-order modeling…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Aylar Partovizadeh , Sebastian Schöps , Dimitrios Loukrezis

Many real-world systems are modelled using complex ordinary differential equations (ODEs). However, the dimensionality of these systems can make them challenging to analyze. Dimensionality reduction techniques like Proper Orthogonal…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Abhishek Ajayakumar , Soumyendu Raha

The offline time of the reduced basis method can be very long given a large training set of parameter samples. This usually happens when the system has more than two independent parameters. On the other hand, if the training set includes…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Sridhar Chellappa , Lihong Feng , Peter Benner

Parameter estimation in structural dynamics generally involves inferring the values of physical, geometric, or even customized parameters based on first principles or expert knowledge, which is challenging for complex structural systems. In…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Mingyuan Zhou , Haoze Song , Wenjing Ye , Wei Wang , Zhilu Lai

Predicting and simulating aerodynamic fields for civil aircraft over wide flight envelopes represent a real challenge mainly due to significant numerical costs and complex flows. Surrogate models and reduced-order models help to estimate…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-12-11 Romain Dupuis , Jean-Christophe Jouhaud , Pierre Sagaut

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

This paper considers the creation of parametric surrogate models for applications in science and engineering where the goal is to predict high-dimensional spatiotemporal output quantities of interest, such as pressure, temperature and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-03-24 Chi Hoang , Kenny Chowdhary , Kookjin Lee , Jaideep Ray

This paper develops a new framework, called modular regression, to utilize auxiliary information -- such as variables other than the original features or additional data sets -- in the training process of linear models. At a high level, our…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Ying Jin , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Surrogate testing techniques have been used widely to investigate the presence of dynamical nonlinearities, an essential ingredient of deterministic chaotic processes. Traditional surrogate testing subscribes to statistical hypothesis…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-18 Radhakrishnan Nagarajan

This article presents an original methodology for the prediction of steady turbulent aerodynamic fields. Due to the important computational cost of high-fidelity aerodynamic simulations, a surrogate model is employed to cope with the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-12-05 Romain Dupuis , Jean-Christophe Jouhaud , Pierre Sagaut

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

High-speed flight vehicles, which travel much faster than the speed of sound, are crucial for national defense and space exploration. However, accurately predicting their behavior under numerous, varied flight conditions is a challenge and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Tyler E. Korenyi-Both , Nathan J. Falkiewicz , Matthew C. Jones

This paper introduces a novel two-stage machine learning-based surrogate modeling framework to address inverse problems in scientific and engineering fields. In the first stage of the proposed framework, a machine learning model termed the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Jamal F. Husseini , Evan J. Pineda , Brett A. Bednarcyk , Scott E. Stapleton
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