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We propose a general formalism of iterated random functions with semigroup property, under which exact and approximate Bayesian posterior updates can be viewed as specific instances. A convergence theory for iterated random functions is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-05 Arash A. Amini , XuanLong Nguyen

Higher criticism is a large-scale testing procedure that can attain the optimal detection boundary for sparse and faint signals. However, there has been a lack of knowledge in most existing works about its asymptotic distribution for more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Jingkun Qiu

After reviewing a large body of literature on the modeling of bivariate discrete distributions with finite support, \cite{Gee20} made a compelling case for the use of $I$-projections in the sense of \cite{Csi75} as a sound way to attempt to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Ivan Kojadinovic , Tommaso Martini

We study the statistical inference of nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms utilizing a single trajectory of Markovian data. Our methodology has practical applications in various scenarios, such as Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Xiang Li , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

Statistical system models provide the basis for the examination of various sorts of distributions. Classification distributions are a very common and versatile form of statistics in e.g. real economic, social, and IT systems. The…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-20 Uwe Petersohn , Thomas Dedek , Sandra Zimmer , Hans Biskupski

We introduce a statistical physics inspired supervised machine learning algorithm for classification and regression problems. The method is based on the invariances or stability of predicted results when known data is represented as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-19 Patrick Chao , Tahereh Mazaheri , Bo Sun , Nicholas B. Weingartner , Zohar Nussinov

We prove a version of strong asymptotics of Christoffel functions with varying weights for a general class of sets E and measures in the complex plane. This class includes all regular measures in the sense of Stahl-Totik on regular compact…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2007-09-14 Tom Bloom , Norm Levenberg

The aim of this paper is to develop tractable large deviation approximations for the empirical measure of a small noise diffusion. The starting point is the Freidlin-Wentzell theory, which shows how to approximate via a large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-11 Paul Dupuis , Guo-Jhen Wu

Let $(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$ be an i.i.d. sequence of random variables in $\mathbb{R}^d$, $d\geq 1$. We show that, for any function $\varphi :\mathbb{R}^d\rightarrow\mathbb{R}$, under regularity conditions, \[n^…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Bernard Delyon , François Portier

While conformal predictors reap the benefits of rigorous statistical guarantees on their error frequency, the size of their corresponding prediction sets is critical to their practical utility. Unfortunately, there is currently a lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-12 Guneet S. Dhillon , George Deligiannidis , Tom Rainforth

We demonstrate the equilibration of isolated macroscopic quantum systems, prepared in non-equilibrium mixed states with significant population of many energy levels, and observed by instruments with a reasonably bound working range compared…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Peter Reimann

Many statistical estimators are defined as the fixed point of a data-dependent operator, with estimators based on minimizing a cost function being an important special case. The limiting performance of such estimators depends on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Nhat Ho , Koulik Khamaru , Raaz Dwivedi , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan , Bin Yu

Conformal prediction has emerged as a cutting-edge methodology in statistics and machine learning, providing prediction intervals with finite-sample frequentist coverage guarantees. Yet, its interplay with Bayesian statistics, often…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Nina Deliu , Brunero Liseo

We study inference with a small labeled sample, a large unlabeled sample, and high-quality predictions from an external model. We link prediction-powered inference with empirical likelihood by stacking supervised estimating equations based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Guanghui Wang , Mengtao Wen , Changliang Zou

When observations are truncated, we are limited to an incomplete picture of our dataset. Recent methods propose to use score matching for truncated density estimation, where the access to the intractable normalising constant is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-15 Daniel J. Williams , Song Liu

We study optimization problems in which a linear functional is maximized over probability measures that are dominated by a given measure according to an integral stochastic order in an arbitrary dimension. We show that the following four…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-13 Frank Yang , Kai Hao Yang

We provide a means of computing and estimating the asymptotic distributions of statistics based on an outer minimization of an inner maximization. Such test statistics, which arise frequently in moment models, are of special interest in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-17 Isaac Loh

Consistency models, which were proposed to mitigate the high computational overhead during the sampling phase of diffusion models, facilitate single-step sampling while attaining state-of-the-art empirical performance. When integrated into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-13 Gen Li , Zhihan Huang , Yuting Wei

We study the problem of estimating the average of a Lipschitz continuous function $f$ defined over a metric space, by querying $f$ at only a single point. More specifically, we explore the role of randomness in drawing this sample. Our goal…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2011-01-21 Abhimanyu Das , David Kempe

For a variant of the algorithm in [Pit19] (arXiv:1903.10816) to compute the approximate density or distribution function of a linear mixture of independent random variables known by a finite sample, it is presented a proof of the functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Thomas Pitschel
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