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Benchmarking studies in computational chemistry use reference datasets to assess the accuracy of a method through error statistics. The commonly used error statistics, such as the mean signed and mean unsigned errors, do not inform…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2018-03-19 Pascal Pernot , Andreas Savin

This pedagogical review examines the use of machine learning methods in finite-population inference for survey sampling, with an emphasis on design-based validity and statistical inference. While flexible prediction tools offer substantial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Mehdi Dagdoug , David Haziza

We provide finite-sample distribution approximations, that are uniform in the parameter, for inference in linear mixed models. Focus is on variances and covariances of random effects in cases where existing theory fails because their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

Estimating the empirical distribution of a scalar-valued data set is a basic and fundamental task. In this paper, we tackle the problem of estimating an empirical distribution in a setting with two challenging features. First, the algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Princewill Okoroafor , Vaishnavi Gupta , Robert Kleinberg , Eleanor Goh

We provide a theoretical foundation for non-parametric estimation of functions of random variables using kernel mean embeddings. We show that for any continuous function $f$, consistent estimators of the mean embedding of a random variable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-04 Carl-Johann Simon-Gabriel , Adam Ścibior , Ilya Tolstikhin , Bernhard Schölkopf

We consider functional linear regression models where functional outcomes are associated with scalar predictors by coefficient functions with shape constraints, such as monotonicity and convexity, that apply to sub-domains of interest. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-09 Kyunghee Han , Yeonjoo Park , Soo-Young Kim

The statistical finite element method (StatFEM) is an emerging probabilistic method that allows observations of a physical system to be synthesised with the numerical solution of a PDE intended to describe it in a coherent statistical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Yanni Papandreou , Jon Cockayne , Mark Girolami , Andrew B. Duncan

The Mittag-Leffler function $E_{\alpha}$ being a natural generalization of the exponential function, an infinite-dimensional version of the fractional Poisson measure would have a characteristic functional \[ C_{\alpha}(\phi)…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-11 Maria Joao Oliveira , Habib Ouerdiane , Jose Luis da Silva , R. Vilela Mendes

An important task in computational statistics and machine learning is to approximate a posterior distribution $p(x)$ with an empirical measure supported on a set of representative points $\{x_i\}_{i=1}^n$. This paper focuses on methods…

We investigate generically applicable and intuitively appealing prediction intervals based on $k$-fold cross validation. We focus on the conditional coverage probability of the proposed intervals, given the observations in the training…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-13 Lukas Steinberger , Hannes Leeb

Two central objects in constructive approximation, the Christoffel-Darboux kernel and the Christoffel function, are encoding ample information about the associated moment data and ultimately about the possible generating measures. We…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Bernhard Beckermann , Mihai Putinar , Edward B. Saff , Nikos Stylianopoulos

Estimation of causal effects using machine learning methods has become an active research field in econometrics. In this paper, we study the finite sample performance of meta-learners for estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects under…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-01 Gabriel Okasa

Fixpoints are ubiquitous in computer science and when dealing with quantitative semantics and verification one often considers least fixpoints of (higher-dimensional) functions over the non-negative reals. We show how to approximate the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Paolo Baldan , Sebastian Gurke , Barbara König , Tommaso Padoan , Florian Wittbold

Approximate inference in probability models is a fundamental task in machine learning. Approximate inference provides powerful tools to Bayesian reasoning, decision making, and Bayesian deep learning. The main goal is to estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Jun Han

The estimation of categorical distributions under marginal constraints summarizing some sample from a population in the most-generalizable way is key for many machine-learning and data-driven approaches. We provide a parameter-agnostic…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2023-11-17 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

Statistical modeling often involves identifying an optimal estimate to some underlying probability distribution known to satisfy some given constraints. I show here that choosing as estimate the centroid, or center of mass, of the set…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-11 Jonathan Landy

Quantifying the influence of infinitesimal changes in training data on model performance is crucial for understanding and improving machine learning models. In this work, we reformulate this problem as a weighted empirical risk minimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Omri Lev , Ashia C. Wilson

The functional empirical process is a very powerful tool for deriving asymptotic laws for almost any kind of statistics whenever we know how to express them into functions of the sample. Since this method seems to be applied more and more…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-07 Gane Samb Lo

We investigate the modeling and the numerical solution of machine learning problems with prediction functions which are linear combinations of elements of a possibly infinite-dimensional dictionary. We propose a novel flexible composite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Patrick L. Combettes , Saverio Salzo , Silvia Villa

We aim to construct a class of learning algorithms that are of practical value to applied researchers in fields such as biostatistics, epidemiology and econometrics, where the need to learn from incompletely observed information is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-09 Alicia Curth , Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar