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Localized perturbations in a real-world network have the potential to trigger cascade failures at the whole system level, hindering its operations and functions. Standard approaches analytically tackling this problem are mostly based either…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-19 Angelo Valente , Manlio De Domenico , Oriol Artime

In this work, we introduce a quantum-inspired epidemic model to study the dynamics of an infectious disease in a population divided into compartments. By treating the healthy population as a large reservoir, we construct a framework based…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-19 Fabio Bagarello , Francesco Gargano , Polina Khrennikova

Malware attacks in today's vast digital ecosystem pose a serious threat. Understanding malware propagation dynamics and designing effective control strategies are therefore essential. In this work, we propose a generic SEIRV model…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Samiran Ghosh , V Anil Kumar

We present the generalised mean-field and pairwise models for non-Markovian epidemics on networks with arbitrary recovery time distributions. First we consider a hyperbolic system, where the population of infective nodes and links are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-11 G. Röst , Z. Vizi , I. Z. Kiss

One of the major issues in the theoretical modeling of epidemic spreading is the development of methods to control the transmission of an infectious agent. Human behavior plays a fundamental role in the spreading dynamics and can be used to…

We consider the issue of non-Markovianity of a quantum dynamics starting from a comparison with the classical definition of Markovian process. We point to the fact that two sufficient but not necessary signatures of non-Markovianity of a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-05 Bassano Vacchini

The vast majority of models for the spread of communicable diseases are parametric in nature and involve underlying assumptions about how the disease spreads through a population. In this article we consider the use of Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-12 Theodore Kypraios , Philip D. O'Neill

This study aims to estimate the parameters of a stochastic exposed-infected epidemiological model for the transmission dynamics of notifiable infectious diseases, based on observations related to isolated cases counts only. We use the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-15 Ibrahim Bouzalmat , Benoîte de Saporta , Solym M. Manou-Abi

Markovian evolving graphs are dynamic-graph models where the links among a fixed set of nodes change during time according to an arbitrary Markovian rule. They are extremely general and they can well describe important dynamic-network…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2011-03-04 Andrea Clementi , Angelo Monti , Francesco Pasquale , Riccardo Silvestri

The non-equilibrium phase transition in models for epidemic spreading with long-range infections in combination with incubation times is investigated by field-theoretical and numerical methods. Here the spreading process is modelled by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Julian Adamek , Michael Keller , Arne Senftleben , Haye Hinrichsen

We demonstrate the application of recent advances in statistical mechanics to a problem in telecommunication engineering: the assessment of the quality of a communication channel in terms of rare and extreme events. In particular, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-11 Massimo Cavallaro , Rosemary J. Harris

Analytical description of propagation phenomena on random networks has flourished in recent years, yet more complex systems have mainly been studied through numerical means. In this paper, a mean-field description is used to coherently…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-10-08 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Pierre-André Noël , Vincent Marceau , Antoine Allard , Louis J. Dubé

We develop the thermodynamics of non-Markovian generalized Langevin equations by embedding them in a high-dimensional Markovian representation involving auxiliary degrees of freedom. If the memory is linear and satisfies detailed balance…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-29 Andreas Dechant , Kiyoshi Kanazawa

This article introduces epidemia, an R package for Bayesian, regression-oriented modeling of infectious diseases. The implemented models define a likelihood for all observed data while also explicitly modeling transmission dynamics: an…

Time-limited states characterise many dynamical processes on networks: disease infected individuals recover after some time, people forget news spreading on social networks, or passengers may not wait forever for a connection. These…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-13 Arash Badie-Modiri , Márton Karsai , Mikko Kivelä

It is increasingly important to understand the spatial dynamics of epidemics. While there are numerous mathematical models of epidemics, there is a scarcity of physical systems with sufficiently well-controlled parameters to allow…

We develop a stochastic two-patch epidemic model with nonlinear recidivism to investigate infectious disease dynamics in heterogeneous populations. Extending a deterministic framework, we introduce stochasticity to account for random…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-21 Juan G. Calvo , Mario I. Simoy , Juan P. Aparicio , José E. Chacón , Fabio Sanchez

We introduce a non-Markovianity measure for continuous variable open quantum systems based on the idea put forward in H.-P. Breuer et al., Phys. Rev. Lett.\textbf{103}, 210401 (2009), i.e., by quantifying the flow of information from the…

A universal definition of non-Markovianity for open systems dynamics is proposed. It is extended from the classical definition to the quantum realm by showing that a `transition' from the Markov to the non-Markov regime occurs when the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-01-07 N. Lo Gullo , I. Sinayskiy , Th. Busch , F. Petruccione

Non-Markovian effects in open quantum system dynamics usually manifest backflow of information from the environment to the system, indicating complete-positive divisibility breaking of the dynamics. We provide a criterion for witnessing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-04 Bivas Mallick , Saheli Mukherjee , Ananda G. Maity , A. S. Majumdar