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Many empirical studies have revealed that the occurrences of contacts associated with human activities are non-Markovian temporal processes with a heavy tailed inter-event time distribution. Besides, there has been increasing empirical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-09 Lilei Han , Zhaohua Lin , Qingqing Yin , Ming Tang , Shuguang Guan , Marian Boguna

The initial transient phase of an emerging epidemic is of critical importance for data-driven model building, model-based prediction of the epidemic trend, and articulation of control/prevention strategies. In principle, quantitative models…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-06 Mi Feng , Liang Tian , Ying-Cheng Lai , Changsong Zhou

In the light of several major epidemic events that emerged in the past two decades, and emphasized by the COVID-19 pandemics, the non-Markovian spreading models occurring on complex networks gained significant attention from the scientific…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-30 Igor Tomovski , Lasko Basnarkov , Alajdin Abazi

Dynamics on networks is considered from the perspective of Markov stochastic processes. We partially describe the state of the system through network motifs and infer any missing data using the available information. This versatile approach…

This paper presents a novel extension of the edge-based compartmental model for epidemics with arbitrary distributions of transmission and recovery times. Using the message passing approach we also derive a new pairwise-like model for…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-15 N. Sherborne , J. C. Miller , K. B. Blyuss , I. Z. Kiss

In this paper, we analyze the dynamics of spreading processes taking place over time-varying networks. A common approach to model time-varying networks is via Markovian random graph processes. This modeling approach presents the following…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

Epidemic dynamics in a stochastic network of interacting epidemic centers is considered. The epidemic and migration processes are modelled by Markov's chains. Explicit formulas for probability distribution of the migration process are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-05 Igor Sazonov , Mark Kelbert

The Markovian approach, which assumes exponentially distributed interinfection times, is dominant in epidemic modeling. However, this assumption is unrealistic as an individual's infectiousness depends on its viral load and varies over…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-02 Qihui Yang , Joan Saldaña , Caterina Scoglio

Networks have become an important tool for infectious disease epidemiology. Most previous theoretical studies of transmission network models have either considered simple Markovian dynamics at the individual level, or have focused on the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-21 Lorenzo Pellis , Simon E. F. Spencer , Thomas House

Single virus epidemics over complete networks are widely explored in the literature as the fraction of infected nodes is, under appropriate microscopic modeling of the virus infection, a Markov process. With non-complete networks, this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-07-01 Augusto Santos , José M. F. Moura , João Xavier

We study a dynamical model of epidemic spreading on complex networks in which there are explicit correlations among the node's connectivities. For the case of Markovian complex networks, showing only correlations between pairs of nodes, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Marian Boguna , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

We analyze the dynamics of a population of independent random walkers on a graph and develop a simple model of epidemic spreading. We assume that each walker visits independently the nodes of a finite ergodic graph in a discrete-time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-19 Michael Bestehorn , Alejandro P. Riascos , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Bernard A. Collet

We study the open dynamics of a quantum two-level system coupled to an environment modeled by random matrices. Using the quantum channel formalism, we investigate different quantum Markovianity measures and criteria. A thorough analysis of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-10-30 M. Carrera , T. Gorin , C. Pineda

Although viral spreading processes taking place in networks are often analyzed using Markovian models in which both the transmission and the recovery times follow exponential distributions, empirical studies show that, in many real…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

Spreading processes are ubiquitous in natural and artificial systems. They can be studied via a plethora of models, depending on the specific details of the phenomena under study. Disease contagion and rumor spreading are among the most…

It is common, when dealing with quantum processes involving a subsystem of a much larger composite closed system, to treat them as effectively memory-less (Markovian). While open systems theory tells us that non-Markovian processes should…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-02 Pedro Figueroa-Romero , Kavan Modi , Felix A. Pollock

This paper investigates the dynamics of infectious diseases with a non-exponentially distributed infectious period. This is achieved by considering a multi-stage infection model on networks. Using pairwise approximation with a standard…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-23 N. Sherborne , K. B. Blyuss , I. Z. Kiss

Most epidemic processes on networks can be modelled by a compartmental model, that specifies the spread of a disease in a population. The corresponding compartmental graph describes how the viral state of the nodes (individuals) changes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-29 Massimo A. Achterberg , Piet Van Mieghem

The concurrency of edges, quantified by the number of edges that share a common node at a given time point, may be an important determinant of epidemic processes in temporal networks. We propose theoretically tractable Markovian temporal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-09 Ruodan Liu , Masaki Ogura , Elohim Fonseca Dos Reis , Naoki Masuda

By generating the specifics of a network structure only when needed (on-the-fly), we derive a simple stochastic process that exactly models the time evolution of susceptible-infectious dynamics on finite-size networks. The small number of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-18 Pierre-André Noël , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Vincent Marceau , Louis J. Dubé
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