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Infectious disease modeling is used to forecast epidemics and assess the effectiveness of intervention strategies. Although the core assumption of mass-action models of homogeneously mixed population is often implausible, they are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-29 Thien-Minh Le , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Ideas, behaviors, and opinions spread through social networks. If the probability of spreading to a new individual is a non-linear function of the fraction of the individuals' affected neighbors, such a spreading process becomes a "complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-30 Julian Kates-Harbeck , Michael M. Desai

Weight distribution largely impacts the epidemic spreading taking place on top of networks. This paper studies a susceptible-infected-susceptible model on regular random networks with different kinds of weight distributions. Simulation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-16 Zimo Yang , Tao Zhou

Complex contagion models that involve contagion along higher-order structures, such as simplicial complexes and hypergraphs, yield new classes of mean-field models. Interestingly, the differential equations arising from many such models…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-24 István Z. Kiss , Christian Bick , Péter L. Simon

In this paper we derive and analyse mean-field models for the dynamics of groups of individuals undergoing a random walk. The random motion of individuals is only influenced by the perceived densities of the different groups present as well…

Mean-field analysis is an important tool for understanding dynamics on complex networks. However, surprisingly little attention has been paid to the question of whether mean-field predictions are accurate, and this is particularly true for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-17 James P. Gleeson , Sergey Melnik , Jonathan A. Ward , Mason A. Porter , Peter J. Mucha

Models of disease spreading are critical for predicting infection growth in a population and evaluating public health policies. However, standard models typically represent the dynamics of disease transmission between individuals using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-07 Christopher A. Browne , Daniel B. Amchin , Joanna Schneider , Sujit S. Datta

When the interactions of agents on a network are assumed to follow the Deffuant opinion dynamics model, the outcomes are known to depend on the structure of the underlying network. This behavior cannot be captured by existing mean-field…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Susan C. Fennell , Kevin Burke , Michael Quayle , James P. Gleeson

Mathematical disease modelling has long operated under the assumption that any one infectious disease is caused by one transmissible pathogen spreading among a population. This paradigm has been useful in simplifying the biological reality…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-02 Blake J. M. Williams , Guillaume St-Onge , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

We study the effect of motion on disease spreading in a system of random walkers which additionally perform long-distance jumps. A small percentage of jumps in the agent motion is sufficient to destroy the local correlations and to produce…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Arturo Buscarino , Luigi Fortuna , Mattia Frasca , Vito Latora

The spread of an infection on a real-world social network is determined by the interplay of two processes: the dynamics of the network, whose structure changes over time according to the encounters between individuals, and the dynamics on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-28 Lorenzo Coviello , Massimo Franceschetti , Manuel Garcia-Herranz , Iyad Rahwan

If the behavior of a system with many degrees of freedom can be captured by a small number of collective variables, then plausibly there is an underlying mean-field theory. We show that simple versions of this idea fail to describe the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-04-22 Luca Di Carlo , Francesca Mignacco , Christopher W. Lynn , William Bialek

Despite centuries of work on containment and mitigation strategies, infectious diseases are still a major problem facing humanity. This work is concerned with simulating heterogeneous contact structures and understanding how the structure…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Jan Kreischer , Adrian Iten , Astrid Jehoul

Social contagion has been studied in various contexts. Many instances of social contagion can be modeled as an infection process where a specific state (adoption of product, fad, knowledge, behavior, etc.) spreads from individual to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-01 Hiroki Sayama

In this paper we study disease spread over a randomly switched network, which is modeled by a stochastic switched differential equation based on the so called $N$-intertwined model for disease spread over static networks. Assuming that all…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

In this paper, we tackle the problem of innovation spreading from a modeling point of view. We consider a networked system of individuals, with a competition between two groups. We show its relation to the innovation spreading issues. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-07-07 Krzysztof Suchecki , Andrea Scharnhorst , Janusz A. Holyst

Infectious diseases that incorporate pre-symptomatic transmission are challenging to monitor, model, predict and contain. We address this scenario by studying a variant of a stochastic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered model on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

The dynamic behaviour of stochastic spreading processes on a network model based on k-regular graphs is investigated. The contact process and the susceptible-infected-susceptible model for the spread of epidemics are considered as prototype…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-10-08 S. V. Fallert , S. N. Taraskin

Many real-world phenomena can be modelled as dynamical processes on networks, a prominent example being the spread of infectious diseases such as COVID-19. Mean-field approximations are a widely used tool to analyse such dynamical processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Jonathan A. Ward , Gábor Timár , Péter L. Simon

We investigate the time evolution of disease spread on a network by using the concept of generations. We derive a set of equations, which can be used to determine the average epidemic size. We find a very good agreement between the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-05-24 B. Davoudi , F. Brauer , B. Pourbohloul