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Transfer learning is beneficial for survival analysis, especially when the target study has a limited number of events. However, existing transfer learning methods rely on the restrictive assumption that the target and source studies share…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Yu Gu , Donglin Zeng , D. Y. Lin

Decision trees are widely used for classification and regression tasks in a variety of application fields due to their interpretability and good accuracy. During the past decade, growing attention has been devoted to globally optimized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Antonio Consolo , Edoardo Amaldi , Andrea Manno

One advantage of decision tree based methods like random forests is their ability to natively handle categorical predictors without having to first transform them (e.g., by using feature engineering techniques). However, in this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Timothy C. Au

It is becoming increasingly common in regression to train neural networks that model the entire distribution even if only the mean is required for prediction. This additional modeling often comes with performance gain and the reasons behind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Ehsan Imani , Kai Luedemann , Sam Scholnick-Hughes , Esraa Elelimy , Martha White

Environmental data may be "large" due to number of records, number of covariates, or both. Random forests has a reputation for good predictive performance when using many covariates with nonlinear relationships, whereas spatial regression,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-27 Eric W. Fox , Jay M. Ver Hoef , Anthony R. Olsen

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

We derive ensembles of decision trees through a nonparametric Bayesian model, allowing us to view random forests as samples from a posterior distribution. This insight provides large gains in interpretability, and motivates a class of…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-19 Matt Taddy , Chun-Sheng Chen , Jun Yu , Mitch Wyle

Due to their flexibility and predictive performance, machine-learning based regression methods have become an important tool for predictive modeling and forecasting. However, most methods focus on estimating the conditional mean or specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-15 Rui Li , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

We consider deep multivariate models for heterogeneous collections of random variables. In the context of computer vision, such collections may e.g. consist of images, segmentations, image attributes, and latent variables. When developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Dmitrij Schlesinger , Boris Flach , Alexander Shekhovtsov

Decision trees and their ensembles are very popular models of supervised machine learning. In this paper we merge the ideas underlying decision trees, their ensembles and FCA by proposing a new supervised machine learning model which can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Egor Dudyrev , Sergei O. Kuznetsov

A long-standing challenge in Reinforcement Learning is enabling agents to learn a model of their environment which can be transferred to solve other problems in a world with the same underlying rules. One reason this is difficult is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-16 Kai Olav Ellefsen , Jim Torresen

A new family of tree models is proposed, which we call "differential trees." A differential tree model is constructed from multiple data sets and aims to detect distributional differences between them. The new methodology differs from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-01 Yong Wang , Ilze Ziedins , Mark Holmes , Neil Challands

Forest transitions, characterized by dynamic shifts between forest, agricultural, and abandoned lands, are complex phenomena. This study developed a stochastic differential equation model to capture the intricate dynamics of these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-30 Satoshi Kumabe , Tianyu Song , Ton Viet Ta

We present a unified probabilistic gradient boosting framework for regression tasks that models and predicts the entire conditional distribution of a univariate response variable as a function of covariates. Our likelihood-based approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Alexander März , Thomas Kneib

Graphical models can represent a multivariate distribution in a convenient and accessible form as a graph. Causal models can be viewed as a special class of graphical models that not only represent the distribution of the observed system…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-29 Christina Heinze-Deml , Marloes H. Maathuis , Nicolai Meinshausen

Recent developments in statistical regression methodology shift away from pure mean regression towards distributional regression models. One important strand thereof is that of conditional transformation models (CTMs). CTMs infer the entire…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-24 Manuel Carlan , Thomas Kneib , Nadja Klein

A new approach called ABRF (the attention-based random forest) and its modifications for applying the attention mechanism to the random forest (RF) for regression and classification are proposed. The main idea behind the proposed ABRF…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Lev V. Utkin , Andrei V. Konstantinov

We propose and study a method for learning interpretable representations for the task of regression. Features are represented as networks of multi-type expression trees comprised of activation functions common in neural networks in addition…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-03-26 William La Cava , Tilak Raj Singh , James Taggart , Srinivas Suri , Jason H. Moore

Ensembles of classification and regression trees remain popular machine learning methods because they define flexible non-parametric models that predict well and are computationally efficient both during training and testing. During…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Sebastian Nowozin

Existing ordinal trees and random forests typically use scores that are assigned to the ordered categories, which implies that a higher scale level is used. Versions of ordinal trees are proposed that take the scale level seriously and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Gerhard Tutz