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Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

We propose a copula based method to handle missing values in multivariate data of mixed types in multilevel data sets. Building upon the extended rank likelihood of \cite{hoff2007extending} and the multinomial probit model, our model is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Jiali Wang , Bronwyn Loong , Anton H. Westveld , Alan H. Welsh

We propose a scalable framework for inference in an inhomogeneous Poisson process modeled by a continuous sigmoidal Cox process that assumes the corresponding intensity function is given by a Gaussian process (GP) prior transformed with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Virginia Aglietti , Edwin V. Bonilla , Theodoros Damoulas , Sally Cripps

We present a novel graphical framework for modeling non-negative sequential data with hierarchical structure. Our model corresponds to a network of coupled non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) modules, which we refer to as a positive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-07-16 Brian K. Vogel

In modern scientific research, the objective is often to identify which variables are associated with an outcome among a large class of potential predictors. This goal can be achieved by selecting variables in a manner that controls the the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 Yushu Shi , Michael Martens

Causal discovery between collections of time-series data can help diagnose causes of symptoms and hopefully prevent faults before they occur. However, reliable causal discovery can be very challenging, especially when the data acquisition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Haonan Chen , Bo Yuan Chang , Mohamed A. Naiel , Georges Younes , Steven Wardell , Stan Kleinikkink , John S. Zelek

We study parameter estimation in Nonlinear Factor Analysis (NFA) where the generative model is parameterized by a deep neural network. Recent work has focused on learning such models using inference (or recognition) networks; we identify a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-18 Rahul G. Krishnan , Dawen Liang , Matthew Hoffman

This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs, PCP construct the predictive set based on random samples from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Zhendong Wang , Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei

This paper presents a general and efficient framework for probabilistic inference and learning from arbitrary uncertain information. It exploits the calculation properties of finite mixture models, conjugate families and factorization. Both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-05-19 M. C. Garrido , P. E. Lopez-de-Teruel , A. Ruiz

Causal inference is made challenging by confounding, selection bias, and other complications. A common approach to addressing these difficulties is the inclusion of auxiliary data on the superpopulation of interest. Such data may measure a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Jaron J. R. Lee , AmirEmad Ghassami , Ilya Shpitser

In medical research, individual-level patient data provide invaluable information, but the patients' right to confidentiality remains of utmost priority. This poses a huge challenge when estimating statistical models such as linear mixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-24 Marie Analiz April Limpoco , Christel Faes , Niel Hens

In the second part of the series papers, we set out to study the algorithmic efficiency of sparse sensing. Stemmed from co-prime sensing, we propose a generalized framework, termed Diophantine sensing, which utilizes generic Diophantine…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-08-25 Hanshen Xiao , Beining Zhou , Guoqiang Xiao

Nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) has become a very popular technique in machine learning because it automatically extracts meaningful features through a sparse and part-based representation. However, NMF has the drawback of being…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-07 Nicolas Gillis

Sparse principal component analysis addresses the problem of finding a linear combination of the variables in a given data set with a sparse coefficients vector that maximizes the variability of the data. This model enhances the ability to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-09 Amir Beck , Yakov Vaisbourd

Coupled Matrix Tensor Factorization (CMTF) facilitates the integration and analysis of multiple data sources and helps discover meaningful information. Nonnegative CMTF (N-CMTF) has been employed in many applications for identifying latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Thirunavukarasu Balasubramaniam , Richi Nayak , Chau Yuen

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

Abundance data are used in ecology for species monitoring and conservation. These count data often display several specific characteristics like numerous missing data, high variance, and a high proportion of zeros, particularly when…

We present a new method for counterfactual explanations (CFEs) based on Bayesian optimisation that applies to both classification and regression models. Our method is a globally convergent search algorithm with support for arbitrary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Thomas Spooner , Danial Dervovic , Jason Long , Jon Shepard , Jiahao Chen , Daniele Magazzeni

Matrix completion is a class of machine learning methods that concerns the prediction of missing entries in a partially observed matrix. This paper studies matrix completion for mixed data, i.e., data involving mixed types of variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-18 Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li

We present a novel framework for concomitant dimension reduction and clustering. This framework is based on a novel class of Bayesian clustering factor models. These models assume a factor model structure where the vectors of common factors…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-09 Hwasoo Shin , Marco A. R. Ferreira , Allison N. Tegge
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