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Changepoint detection is an important problem with applications across many application domains. There are many different types of changes that one may wish to detect, and a wide-range of algorithms and software for detecting them. However…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-24 Paul Fearnhead , Daniel Grose

There is an increasing need for algorithms that can accurately detect changepoints in long time-series, or equivalent, data. Many common approaches to detecting changepoints, for example based on penalised likelihood or minimum description…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-08 Robert Maidstone , Toby Hocking , Guillem Rigaill , Paul Fearnhead

In this work, we introduce CPLASS (Continuous Piecewise-Linear Approximation via Stochastic Search), an algorithm for detecting changes in velocity within multidimensional data. The one-dimensional version of this problem is known as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-15 Linh Do , Dat Do , Keisha J. Cook , Scott A. McKinley

A common approach to detect multiple changepoints is to minimise a measure of data fit plus a penalty that is linear in the number of changepoints. This paper shows that the general finite sample behaviour of such a method can be related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Chao Zheng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

Given a time series in $R^n$ with a piecewise constant mean and independent noises, we propose an exact dynamic programming algorithm to minimize a least square criterion with a multiscale penalty promoting well-spread changepoints. Such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-16 Arnaud Liehrmann , Guillem Rigaill

In this paper we build on an approach proposed by Zou et al. (2014) for nonpara- metric changepoint detection. This approach defines the best segmentation for a data set as the one which minimises a penalised cost function, with the cost…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-04 Kaylea Haynes , Paul Fearnhead , Idris A. Eckley

A change point problem occurs in many statistical applications. If there exist change points in a model, it is harmful to make a statistical analysis without any consideration of the existence of the change points and the results derived…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-24 Xiaoping Shi , Yuehua Wu , Baisuo Jin

We consider the problem of detecting change-points in univariate time series by fitting a continuous piecewise linear signal using the residual sum of squares. Values of the inferred signal at slope breaks are restricted to a finite set of…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-08 Vincent Runge , Marco Pascucci , Nicolas Deschamps de Boishebert

We consider the problem of detecting multiple changepoints in large data sets. Our focus is on applications where the number of changepoints will increase as we collect more data: for example in genetics as we analyse larger regions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 R. Killick , P. Fearnhead , I. A. Eckley

In the multiple changepoint setting, various search methods have been proposed which involve optimising either a constrained or penalised cost function over possible numbers and locations of changepoints using dynamic programming. Such…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-12 Kaylea Haynes , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

We propose a computationally and statistically efficient procedure for segmenting univariate data under piecewise linearity. The proposed moving sum (MOSUM) methodology detects multiple change points where the underlying signal undergoes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-25 Joonpyo Kim , Hee-Seok Oh , Haeran Cho

We describe a new algorithm and R package for peak detection in genomic data sets using constrained changepoint algorithms. These detect changes from background to peak regions by imposing the constraint that the mean should alternately…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-02 Toby Dylan Hocking , Guillem Rigaill , Paul Fearnhead , Guillaume Bourque

Many offline unsupervised change point detection algorithms rely on minimizing a penalized sum of segment-wise costs. We extend this framework by proposing to minimize a sum of discrepancies between segments. In particular, we propose to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Aurélien Serre , Didier Chételat , Andrea Lodi

Changepoint detection is a technique used to identify significant shifts in sequences and is widely used in fields such as finance, genomics, and medicine. To identify the changepoints, dynamic programming (DP) algorithms, particularly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-29 Tung L Nguyen , Toby Dylan Hocking

Change-point processes are one flexible approach to model long time series. We propose a method to uncover which model parameter truly vary when a change-point is detected. Given a set of breakpoints, we use a penalized likelihood approach…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-09 Arnaud Dufays , Aristide Houndetoungan , Alain Coën

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

Change point analysis is concerned with detecting and locating structure breaks in the underlying model of a sequence of observations ordered by time, space or other variables. A widely adopted approach for change point analysis is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-10 Xingchi Li , Xianyang Zhang

In recent years, various means of efficiently detecting changepoints in the univariate setting have been proposed, with one popular approach involving minimising a penalised cost function using dynamic programming. In some situations, these…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-09 S. O. Tickle , I. A. Eckley , P. Fearnhead , K. Haynes

We tackle the challenge of detecting multiple change points in large time series by optimising a penalised likelihood derived from exponential family models. Dynamic programming algorithms can solve this task exactly with at most quadratic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Vincent Runge , Charles Truong , Simon Querné

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau
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