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Machine learning is often applied in health science to obtain predictions and new understandings of complex phenomena and relationships, but an availability of sufficient data for model training is a widespread problem. Traditional machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Casper Wilstrup , Jaan Kasak

Long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) are used to model US recessions from 1967 to 2021. Their predictive performances are compared to those of the traditional linear models. The out-of-sample performance suggests the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-24 Seulki Chung

Building on developments in machine learning and prior work in the science of judicial prediction, we construct a model designed to predict the behavior of the Supreme Court of the United States in a generalized, out-of-sample context. To…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-07-05 Daniel Martin Katz , Michael J Bommarito , Josh Blackman

Economic complexity methods, and in particular relatedness measures, lack a systematic evaluation and comparison framework. We argue that out-of-sample forecast exercises should play this role, and we compare various machine learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Giambattista Albora , Luciano Pietronero , Andrea Tacchella , Andrea Zaccaria

We study the statistics of earning forecasts of US, EU, UK and JP stocks during the period 1987-2004. We confirm, on this large data set, that financial analysts are on average over-optimistic and show a pronounced herding behavior. These…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Olivier Guedj , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

By scientific standards, the accuracy of short-term economic forecasts has been poor, and shows no sign of improving over time. We form a delay matrix of time-series data on the overall rate of growth of the economy, with lags spanning the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 P Ormerod , C Mounfield

We present a systematic trading framework that forecasts short-horizon market risk, identifies its underlying drivers, and generates alpha using a hybrid machine learning ensemble built to trade on the resulting signal. The framework…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-28 Aryan Ranjan

Over the past decade, random forest models have become widely used as a robust method for high-dimensional data regression tasks. In part, the popularity of these models arises from the fact that they require little hyperparameter tuning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Shipra Malhotra , John Karanicolas

Decision analytics commonly focuses on the text mining of financial news sources in order to provide managerial decision support and to predict stock market movements. Existing predictive frameworks almost exclusively apply traditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-05 Stefan Feuerriegel , Ralph Fehrer

In modern astrophysics, the machine learning has increasingly gained more popularity with its incredibly powerful ability to make predictions or calculated suggestions for large amounts of data. We describe an application of the supervised…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2018-12-26 Yu Bai , JiFeng Liu , Song Wang , Fan Yang

Using high-quality nation-wide social security data combined with machine learning tools, we develop predictive models of income support receipt intensities for any payment enrolee in the Australian social security system between 2014 and…

General Economics · Economics 2021-05-14 Dario Sansone , Anna Zhu

Context: Financial system stability is determined by the condition of the banking system. A bank failure can destroy the stability of the financial system, as banks are subject to systemic risk, affecting not only individual banks but also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Zuherman Rustam , Sri Hartini , Sardar M. N. Islam , Fevi Novkaniza , Fiftitah R. Aszhari , Muhammad Rifqi

The paper focuses on predicting the Nifty 50 Index by using 8 Supervised Machine Learning Models. The techniques used for empirical study are Adaptive Boost (AdaBoost), k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN), Linear Regression (LR), Artificial Neural…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-21 Gurjeet Singh

Heart disease is a serious global health issue that claims millions of lives every year. Early detection and precise prediction are critical to the prevention and successful treatment of heart related issues. A lot of research utilizes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Rahul Karmakar , Udita Ghosh , Arpita Pal , Sattwiki Dey , Debraj Malik , Priyabrata Sain

We study U.S. Treasury yield curve forecasting under distributional uncertainty and recast forecasting as an operations research and managerial decision problem. Rather than minimizing average forecast error, the forecaster selects a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Jinjun Liu , Ming-Yen Cheng

Random Forests (RF) are among the state-of-the-art in many machine learning applications. With the ongoing integration of ML models into everyday life, the deployment and continuous application of models becomes more and more an important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Sebastian Buschjäger , Katharina Morik

In this essay, we have comprehensively evaluated the feasibility and suitability of adopting the Machine Learning Models on the forecast of corporation fundamentals (i.e. the earnings), where the prediction results of our method have been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-29 Xinyue Cui , Zhaoyu Xu , Yue Zhou

Collecting time series data spatially distributed in many locations is often important for analyzing climate change and its impacts on ecosystems. However, comprehensive spatial data collection is not always feasible, requiring us to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Shihori Koyama , Daisuke Inoue , Hiroaki Yoshida , Kazuyuki Aihara , Gouhei Tanaka

Rapid advancements in genome sequencing have led to the collection of vast amounts of genomics data. Researchers may be interested in using machine learning models on such data to predict the pathogenicity or clinical significance of a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-15 Arshmeet Kaur , Morteza Sarmadi

Energy conservation in buildings is a paramount concern to combat greenhouse gas emissions and combat climate change. The efficient management of room occupancy, involving actions like lighting control and climate adjustment, is a pivotal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Siqi Mao , Yaping Yuan , Yinpu Li , Ziren Wang , Yuanxin Yao , Yixin Kang