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This paper explores the possibility that asset prices, especially those traded in large volume on public exchanges, might comply with specific physical laws of motion and probability. The paper first examines the basic dynamics of asset…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-18 J. T. Manhire

We introduce the notion of relative volatility/intermittency and demonstrate how relative volatility statistics can be used to estimate consistently the temporal variation of volatility/intermittency when the data of interest are generated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-16 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Jürgen Schmiegel

In this paper, we introduce a parametrized family of prices derived from the Maximum Entropy Principle. The price is obtained from the distribution that minimizes bias, given the bid and ask volume imbalance at the top of the order book.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Przemysław Rola

In this paper, we introduce branching processes in a L\'evy random environment. In order to define this class of processes, we study a particular class of non-negative stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions and Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-13 S. Palau , J. C. Pardo

This paper studies Brownian motion subject to the occurrence of a minimal length excursion below a given excursion level. The law of this process is determined. The characterization is explicit and shows by a layer construction how the law…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2013-03-22 Michael Schröder

In comparison with Derrida's REM, we investigate the influence of the so-called decoration processes arising in the limiting extremal processes of numerous log-correlated Gaussian fields. In particular, we focus on the branching Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Benjamin Bonnefont , Michel Pain , Olivier Zindy

We consider optimal stopping problems for a Brownian motion and a geometric Brownian motion with a "disorder", assuming that the moment of a disorder is uniformly distributed on a finite interval. Optimal stopping rules are found as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-18 A. N. Shiryaev , M. V. Zhitlukhin

We consider the occupation area of spherical (fractional) Brownian motion, i.e. the area where the process is positive, and show that it is uniformly distributed. For the proof, we introduce a new simple combinatorial view on occupation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Frank Aurzada , Leif Döring , Helmut H. Pitters

We propose a static equilibrium model for limit order book where profit-maximizing investors receive an information signal regarding the liquidation value of the asset and execute via a competitive dealer with random initial inventory, who…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-11 Umut Çetin , Henri Waelbroeck

We consider a load balancing model where a Poisson stream of jobs arrive at a system of many servers whose service time distribution possesses a finite second moment. A small fraction of arrivals pass through the so called power-of-choice…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Rami Atar , Gershon Wolansky

Transport phenomena in spatially periodic systems far from thermal equilibrium are considered. The main emphasize is put on directed transport in so-called Brownian motors (ratchets), i.e. a dissipative dynamics in the presence of thermal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Peter Reimann

Given a graph whose arc traversal times vary over time, the Time-Dependent Travelling Salesman Problem consists in finding a Hamiltonian tour of least total duration covering the vertices of the graph. The main goal of this work is to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-05 Tommaso Adamo , Gianpaolo Ghiani , Pierpaolo Greco , Emanuela Guerriero

In this paper, we consider a linear model with jumps driven by a Brownian motion and a compensated Poisson process, whose drift and diffusion coefficients as well as its intensity are unknown parameters. Supposing that the process is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-21 Arturo Kohatsu-Higa , Eulalia Nualart , Ngoc Khue Tran

In this work we study the optimal execution problem with multiplicative price impact in algorithm trading, when an agent holds an initial position of shares of a financial asset. The inter-selling-decision times are modelled by the arrival…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-04 Daniel Hernández-Hernández , Harold A. Moreno-Franco , José Luis Pérez

In this paper we consider a (reflected) Brownian motion with broken drift hitting a random boundary. Some dedicated calculations allow us to obtain the formula on the joint Laplace transform of the hitting time and hitting position. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-14 Zhenwen Zhao , Yuejuan Xi

The Poisson distribution is the default choice of likelihood for probabilistic models of count data. However, due to the equidispersion contraint of the Poisson, such models may have predictive uncertainty that is artificially inflated.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Jimmy Lederman , Aaron Schein

A pair trade is a portfolio consisting of a long position in one asset and a short position in another, and it is a widely applied investment strategy in the financial industry. Recently, Ekstr\"om, Lindberg and Tysk studied the problem of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-16 Stig Larsson , Carl Lindberg , Marcus Warfheimer

In this paper we present a novel approach to the determination of fat tails in financial data by studying the information contained in the limit order book. In an order-driven market buyers and sellers may submit limit orders, which are…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Alex Langnau , Yanko Punchev

We detect the parameter sensitivities of bond pricing which is driven by a Brownian motion and a compound Poisson process as the discontinuous case in credit risk research. The strict mathematical deductions are given theoretically due to…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-29 Bin Xie , Weiping Li

The scope of this paper is to study the optimal stopping problems associated to a stochastic process, which may represent the gain of an investment, for which information on the final value is available a priori. This information may…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-09 Bernardo D'Auria , Alessandro Ferriero
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