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In this paper, we propose machine learning solutions to predict the time of future trips and the possible distance the vehicle will travel. For this prediction task, we develop and investigate four methods. In the first method, we use long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Ebrahim Balouji , Jonas Sjöblom , Nikolce Murgovski , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani

We explore time-varying networks for high-dimensional locally stationary time series, using the large VAR model framework with both the transition and (error) precision matrices evolving smoothly over time. Two types of time-varying graphs…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-07 Jia Chen , Degui Li , Yuning Li , Oliver Linton

We introduce a novel non-parametric methodology to test for the dynamical time evolution of the lag-lead structure between two arbitrary time series. The method consists in constructing a distance matrix based on the matching of all sample…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 D. Sornette , W. -X. Zhou

Robotic manipulation requires reasoning about future spatial-temporal interactions and geometric constraints, yet existing Vision-Language-Action (VLA) policies often leave predictive representation weakly coupled with action execution,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Yuxuan Tian , Yurun Jin , Bin Yu , Yukun Shi , Hao Wu , Chi Harold Liu , Kai Chen , Cong Huang

Most forecasting methods use recent past observations (lags) to model the future values of univariate time series. Selecting an adequate number of lags is important for training accurate forecasting models. Several approaches and heuristics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-21 José Leites , Vitor Cerqueira , Carlos Soares

As a special infinite-order vector autoregressive (VAR) model, the vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) model can capture much richer temporal patterns than the widely used finite-order VAR model. However, its practicality has long…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Yao Zheng

Inference of detailed vehicle trajectories is crucial for applications such as traffic flow modeling, energy consumption estimation, and traffic flow optimization. Static sensors can provide only aggregated information, posing challenges in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-24 Yifan Zhang , Anastasios Kouvelas , Michail A. Makridis

Graph-based techniques emerged as a choice to deal with the dimensionality issues in modeling multivariate time series. However, there is yet no complete understanding of how the underlying structure could be exploited to ease this task.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-02 Elvin Isufi , Andreas Loukas , Nathanael Perraudin , Geert Leus

Accident prediction and timely preventive actions improve road safety by reducing the risk of injury to road users and minimizing property damage. Hence, they are critical components of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Vipooshan Vipulananthan , Kumudu Mohottala , Kavindu Chinthana , Nimsara Paramulla , Charith D Chitraranjan

Motion prediction of surrounding vehicles is one of the most important tasks handled by a self-driving vehicle, and represents a critical step in the autonomous system necessary to ensure safety for all the involved traffic actors. Recently…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Sai Yalamanchi , Tzu-Kuo Huang , Galen Clark Haynes , Nemanja Djuric

Time-evolving traffic flow forecasting are playing a vital role in intelligent transportation systems and smart cities. However, the dynamic traffic flow forecasting is a highly nonlinear problem with complex temporal-spatial dependencies.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Zhenan Lin , Yuni Lai , Wai Lun Lo , Richard Tai-Chiu Hsung , Harris Sik-Ho Tsang , Xiaoyu Xue , Kai Zhou , Yulin Zhu

In recent years many studies of urban mobility based on large data sets have been published: most of them based on crowdsourced GPS data or smart-card data. We present, what is to our knowledge the first, exploration of public transport…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-07-26 Piotr Szymański , Michał Żołnieruk , Piotr Oleszczyk , Igor Gisterek , Tomasz Kajdanowicz

Modeling human mobility is vital for extensive applications such as transportation planning and epidemic modeling. With the rise of the Artificial Intelligence Generated Content (AIGC) paradigm, recent works explore synthetic trajectory…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Yuxiao Luo , Songming Zhang , Sijie Ruan , Siran Chen , Kang Liu , Yang Xu , Yu Zheng , Ling Yin

The assumption of using a static graph to represent multivariate time-varying signals oversimplifies the complexity of modeling their interactions over time. We propose a Dynamic Multi-hop model that captures dynamic interactions among…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-26 Yi Yan , Fengfan Zhao , Ercan Engin Kuruoglu

The technology of traffic flow forecasting plays an important role in intelligent transportation systems. Based on graph neural networks and attention mechanisms, most previous works utilize the transformer architecture to discover…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Weiguo Zhu , Yongqi Sun , Xintong Yi , Yan Wang

Real-time computational speed and a high degree of precision are requirements for computer-assisted interventions. Applying a segmentation network to a medical video processing task can introduce significant inter-frame prediction noise.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Robert Mendel , Tobias Rueckert , Dirk Wilhelm , Daniel Rueckert , Christoph Palm

Drift diffusion models (DDMs) have found widespread use in computational neuroscience and other fields. They model evidence accumulation in simple decision tasks as a stochastic process drifting towards a decision barrier. In models where…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Sicheng Liu , Alexander Fengler , Michael J. Frank , Matthew T. Harrison

The proliferation of GPS-enabled devices has led to the development of numerous location-based services. These services need to process massive amounts of spatial data in real-time. The current scale of spatial data cannot be handled using…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Anas Daghistani , Walid G. Aref , Arif Ghafoor , Ahmed R. Mahmood

Forecasting traffic flows is a central task in intelligent transportation system management. Graph structures have shown promise as a modeling framework, with recent advances in spatio-temporal modeling via graph convolution neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Yuanjie Lu , Parastoo Kamranfar , David Lattanzi , Amarda Shehu

Congestion prediction represents a major priority for traffic management centres around the world to ensure timely incident response handling. The increasing amounts of generated traffic data have been used to train machine learning…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-25 Adriana-Simona Mihaita , Haowen Li , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu
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