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The identification of the lag length for vector autoregressive models by mean of Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Partial Autoregressive and Correlation Matrices (PAM and PCM hereafter) is studied in the framework of processes with time…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-27 Hamdi RaÏssi

Reliable forecasting of traffic flow requires efficient modeling of traffic data. Indeed, different correlations and influences arise in a dynamic traffic network, making modeling a complicated task. Existing literature has proposed many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Kishor Kumar Bhaumik , Fahim Faisal Niloy , Saif Mahmud , Simon Woo

Traffic forecasting is pivotal for intelligent transportation systems, where accurate and interpretable predictions can significantly enhance operational efficiency and safety. A key challenge stems from the heterogeneity of traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Seyed Mohamad Moghadas , Bruno Cornelis , Alexandre Alahi , Adrian Munteanu

A common problem in astronomy is the determination of the time shift between two otherwise identical time series of measured flux from a variable source, in short the determination of a time lag. Two examples of where this problem occurs…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Frank P. Pijpers

As the development of cities, traffic congestion becomes an increasingly pressing issue, and traffic prediction is a classic method to relieve that issue. Traffic prediction is one specific application of spatio-temporal prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Maoxiang Sun , Weilong Ding , Tianpu Zhang , Zijian Liu , Mengda Xing

Inter-city highway transportation is significant for urban life. As one of the key functions in intelligent transportation system (ITS), traffic evaluation always plays significant role nowadays, and daily traffic flow prediction still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Weilong Ding , Tianpu Zhang , Jianwu Wang , Zhuofeng Zhao

A highly dynamic urban space in a metropolis such as New York City, the spatio-temporal variation in demand for transportation, particularly taxis, is impacted by various factors such as commuting, weather, road work and closures,…

The precise prediction of human mobility has produced significant socioeconomic impacts, such as location recommendations and evacuation suggestions. However, existing methods suffer from limited generalization capability: unimodal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Junshu Dai , Yu Wang , Tongya Zheng , Wei Ji , Qinghong Guo , Ji Cao , Jie Song , Canghong Jin , Mingli Song

The congestion of a motorway section is propagated to its neighbouring sections, leading to correlations. The resulting correlation matrix encodes the information on congestion. Here, we study symmetrized time-lagged correlations and show…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-01 Gabor B. Hollbeck , René Pilarczyk , Shanshan Wang , Michael Schreckenberg , Thomas Guhr

Traffic management in a city has become a major problem due to the increasing number of vehicles on roads. Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) can help the city traffic managers to tackle the problem by providing accurate traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-04 Shatrughan Modi , Jhilik Bhattacharya , Prasenjit Basak

We investigate the stochastic transfer synchronization problem, which seeks to synchronize the timetables of different routes in a transit network to reduce transfer waiting times, delay times, and unnecessary in-vehicle times. We present a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Zahra Ansarilari , Merve Bodur , Amer Shalaby

Traffic prediction is an indispensable component of urban planning and traffic management. Achieving accurate traffic prediction hinges on the ability to capture the potential spatio-temporal relationships among road sensors. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Chaoqun Liu , Xuanpeng Li , Chen Gong , Guangyu Li

Understanding the spatial dynamics of cars within urban systems is essential for optimizing infrastructure management and resource allocation. Recent empirical approaches for analyzing traffic patterns have gained traction due to their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Kangan Qian , Jinyu Miao , Xinyu Jiao , Ziang Luo , Zheng Fu , Yining Shi , Yunlong Wang , Kun Jiang , Diange Yang

Celestial objects exhibit a wide range of variability in brightness at different wavebands. Surprisingly, the most common methods for characterizing time series in statistics -- parametric autoregressive modeling -- is rarely used to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-24 Eric D. Feigelson , G. Jogesh Babu , Gabriel A. Caceres

Accurate prediction of public transit ridership is vital for efficient planning and management of transit in rapidly growing urban areas in Canada. Unexpected increases in passengers can cause overcrowded vehicles, longer boarding times,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Jiahao Wang , Amer Shalaby

Given trajectories with gaps (i.e., missing data), we investigate algorithms to identify abnormal gaps in trajectories which occur when a given moving object did not report its location, but other moving objects in the same geographic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Arun Sharma , Shashi Shekhar

The continuous expansion of the urban traffic sensing infrastructure has led to a surge in the volume of widely available road related data. Consequently, increasing effort is being dedicated to the creation of intelligent transportation…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-02-17 Alina Patelli , Victoria Lush , Aniko Ekart , Elisabeth Ilie-Zudor

This paper analyzes the use of variable speed limits to optimize travel time reliability for commuters. The investigation focuses on a traffic corridor with a bottleneck subject to the capacity drop phenomenon. The optimization criterion is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Alexander Hammerl , Ravi Seshadri , Thomas Kjær Rasmussen , Otto Anker Nielsen

Flow prediction (e.g., crowd flow, traffic flow) with features of spatial-temporal is increasingly investigated in AI research field. It is very challenging due to the complicated spatial dependencies between different locations and dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Haoxing Lin , Weijia Jia , Yiping Sun , Yongjian You

The NGSIM trajectory data sets provide longitudinal and lateral positional information for all vehicles in certain spatiotemporal regions. Velocity and acceleration information cannot be extracted directly since the noise in the NGSIM…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-03-13 Christian Thiemann , Martin Treiber , Arne Kesting