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First passage under restart has recently emerged as a conceptual framework suitable for the description of a wide range of phenomena, but the endless variety of ways in which restart mechanisms and first passage processes mix and match…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-01-25 Arnab Pal , Shlomi Reuveni

We propose a direct numerical method to calculate the statistics of the number of transitions in stochastic processes, without having to resort to Monte Carlo calculations. The method is based on a generating function method, and arbitrary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Jun Ohkubo , Thomas Eggel

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Restart -- interrupting a stochastic process followed by a new start -- is known to improve the mean time to its completion, and the general conditions under which such an improvement is achieved are now well understood. Here, we explore…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-11 Sergey Belan

In this paper we address the problem of the calculation of the mean first passage time (MFPT) on generic graphs. We focus in particular on the mean first passage time on a node 's' for a random walker starting from a generic, unknown, node…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Andrea Baronchelli , Vittorio Loreto

We consider a leaky integrate-and-fire neuron with deterministic subthreshold dynamics and a firing threshold that evolves as an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The formulation of this minimal model is motivated by the experimentally observed…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-12 Wilhelm Braun , Paul C. Matthews , Rüdiger Thul

We derive an approximate but explicit formula for the Mean First Passage Time of a random walker between a source and a target node of a directed and weighted network. The formula does not require any matrix inversion, and it takes as only…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-10 Silvia Bartolucci , Fabio Caccioli , Francesco Caravelli , Pierpaolo Vivo

We study the crossing time statistic of diffusing point particles between the two ends of expanding and narrowing two-dimensional conical channels under a transverse external gravitational field. The theoretical expression for the mean…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-11 Ivan Pompa-Garcia , Rodrigo Castilla , Ralf Metzler , Leonardo Dagdug

The prediction of arrival time or first passage time statistics of a quantum particle is an open problem, which challenges the foundations of quantum theory. One of the most promising and insightful approaches to this problem stems from the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-11-04 Siddhant Das

Many problems in finance require the information on the first passage time (FPT) of a stochastic process. Mathematically, such problems are often reduced to the evaluation of the probability density of the time for such a process to cross a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Di Zhang , Roderick V. N. Melnik

The time until the failure of some node of the system or until the end of some stage of the operation of the tribological system is associated with the change in entropy in the system that occurs during this time. Methods of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-23 V. V. Ryazanov

Many transport processes in ecology, physics and biochemistry can be described by the average time to first find a site or exit a region, starting from an initial position. Typical mathematical treatments are based on formulations that…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Thomas Hillen , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Jacob C. Mantooth , Alan E. Lindsay

The influence of a time-periodic forcing on stochastic processes can essentially be emphasized in the large time behaviour of their paths. The statistics of transition in a simple Markov chain model permits to quantify this influence. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Samuel Herrmann , Damien Landon

In this chapter, we consider the problem of a non-Markovian random walker (displaying memory effects) searching for a target. We review an approach that links the first passage statistics to the properties of trajectories followed by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-30 Olivier Bénichou , Thomas Guérin , Nicolas Levernier , Raphaël Voituriez

Linear time-invariant systems are very popular models in system theory and applications. A fundamental problem in system identification that remains rather unaddressed in extant literature is to leverage commonalities amongst related linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-03 Aditya Modi , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

A study of time homogeneous, real valued Markov processes with a special property and a non-atomic initial distribution is provided. The new notion of a function of evolution of distribution which determines the dependency between one…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Tomasz Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Maciej Wiśniewolski

Let be $X(t)= x - \mu t + \sigma B_t - N_t$ a L$\acute{\text{e}}$vy process starting from $x >0,$ where $ \mu \ge 0, \ \sigma \ge 0, \ B_t$ is a standard BM, and $N_t$ is a homogeneous Poisson process with intensity $ \theta >0,$ starting…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Mario Abundo , Sara Furia

Piecewise Diffusion Markov Processes (PDifMPs) are valuable for modelling systems where continuous dynamics are interrupted by sudden shifts and/or changes in drift and diffusion. The first-passage time (FPT) in such models plays a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Sascha Desmettre , Devika Khurana , Amira Meddah

We introduce a path sampling method for obtaining statistical properties of an arbitrary stochastic dynamics. The method works by decomposing a trajectory in time, estimating the probability of satisfying a progress constraint, modifying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Nicholas Guttenberg , Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan Weare

Given a survival distribution on the positive half-axis and a Brownian motion, a solution of the inverse first-passage problem consists of a boundary so that the first passage time over the boundary has the given distribution. We show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-01 Erik Ekström , Svante Janson