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The Monty Hall puzzle has been solved and dissected in many ways, but always using probabilistic arguments, so it is considered a probability puzzle. In this paper the puzzle is set up as an orthodox statistical problem involving an unknown…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-10-07 Yudi Pawitan

Many real-world decision problems involve the interaction of multiple self-interested agents with limited sensing ability. The partially observable stochastic game (POSG) provides a mathematical framework for modeling these problems,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Tyler Becker , Zachary Sunberg

Probabilistic inferences distill knowledge from graphs to aid human make important decisions. Due to the inherent uncertainty in the model and the complexity of the knowledge, it is desirable to help the end-users understand the inference…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-08-21 Chao Chen , Yifei Liu , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie

We consider the problem of estimating the probability matrix governing a tournament or linkage in graphs from incomplete observations, under the assumption that the probability matrix satisfies natural monotonicity constraints after being…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-05 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Sumit Mukherjee

Temporal logics are an obvious high-level descriptive companion formalism to dynamical systems which model behavior as deterministic evolution of state over time. A wide variety of distinct temporal logics applicable to dynamical systems…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-12-11 Baltasar Trancón y Widemann

We construct a factorization of the Giry monad through the category of convex spaces, and show that, provided that no measurable cardinals exist, probability measures can be viewed as natural transformations. Using the adjunction of this…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Kirk Sturtz

Game comonads provide categorical semantics for comparison games in Finite Model Theory, thus providing an abstract characterisation of logical equivalence for a wide range of logics, each one captured through a specific choice of comonad.…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-08-15 Santiago Figueira , Gabriel Goren-Roig

We study nondeterministic strategies in parity games with the aim of computing a most permissive winning strategy. Following earlier work, we measure permissiveness in terms of the average number/weight of transitions blocked by the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Patricia Bouyer , Nicolas Markey , Jörg Olschewski , Michael Ummels

Exact generalized stochastic representation of deterministic interaction between two dynamical (quantum or classical) systems is derived which helps when considering one of them to replace another by equivalent commutative ($c$-number…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Yuriy E. Kuzovlev

The generation of comprehensible explanations is an essential feature of modern artificial intelligence systems. In this work, we consider probabilistic logic programming, an extension of logic programming which can be useful to model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Germán Vidal

We develop a correspondence between the theory of sequential algorithms and classical reasoning, via Kreisel's no-counterexample interpretation. Our framework views realizers of the no-counterexample interpretation as dynamic processes…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Thomas Powell

Expanding the ideas of the author's paper 'Nonexpansive maps and option pricing theory' (Kibernetica 34:6 (1998), 713-724) we develop a pure game-theoretic approach to option pricing, by-passing stochastic modeling. Risk neutral…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Vassili Kolokoltsov

Interpretability has arisen as a key desideratum of machine learning models alongside performance. Approaches so far have been primarily concerned with fixed dimensional inputs emphasizing feature relevance or selection. In contrast, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-03 Guang-He Lee , David Alvarez-Melis , Tommi S. Jaakkola

The principle that rational agents should maximize expected utility or choiceworthiness is intuitively plausible in many ordinary cases of decision-making under uncertainty. But it is less plausible in cases of extreme, low-probability risk…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-11 Christian Tarsney

We address the problem of supporting empirical probabilities in monadic logic databases. Though the semantics of multivalued logic programs has been studied extensively, the treatment of probabilities as results of statistical findings has…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Raymond T. Ng , V. S. Subrahmanian

This paper presents equational-based logics for proving first order properties of programming languages involving effects. We propose two dual inference system patterns that can be instanciated with monads or comonads in order to be used…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-10-15 Jean-Guillaume Dumas , Dominique Duval , Jean-Claude Reynaud

This paper develops a systematic parametric method for analyzing stochastic systems under volatility uncertainty within the $G$-expectation framework. Leveraging the dual representation of the $G$-expectation as a supremum over a family of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Guangqian Zhao

Selective rationalization has become a common mechanism to ensure that predictive models reveal how they use any available features. The selection may be soft or hard, and identifies a subset of input features relevant for prediction. The…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Mo Yu , Shiyu Chang , Yang Zhang , Tommi S. Jaakkola

Weighted monadic second-order logic is a weighted extension of monadic second-order logic that captures exactly the behaviour of weighted automata. Its semantics is parameterized with respect to a semiring on which the values that weighted…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Antonis Achilleos , Mathias Ruggaard Pedersen

In this paper I argue that the search for explainable models and interpretable decisions in AI must be reformulated in terms of the broader project of offering a pragmatic and naturalistic account of understanding in AI. Intuitively, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Andrés Páez