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We consider the problem of estimating confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable, where the goal is to produce the smallest possible interval for a given number of samples. While minimax optimal algorithms are known for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Shengjia Zhao , Christopher Yeh , Stefano Ermon

We consider a variance reduction approach for the stochastic homogenization of divergence form linear elliptic problems. Although the exact homogenized coefficients are deterministic, their practical approximations are random. We introduce…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-07-31 Frederic Legoll , William Minvielle

Solving chance-constrained stochastic optimal control problems is a significant challenge in control. This is because no analytical solutions exist for up to a handful of special cases. A common and computationally efficient approach for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-05 Alexandre Capone , Tim Brüdigam , Sandra Hirche

Control variates are a well-established tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators. However, for large-scale problems including high-dimensional and large-sample settings, their advantages can be outweighed by a substantial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-22 Shijing Si , Chris. J. Oates , Andrew B. Duncan , Lawrence Carin , François-Xavier Briol

We describe and analyze a variance reduction approach for Monte Carlo (MC) sampling that accelerates the estimation of statistics of computationally expensive simulation models using an ensemble of models with lower cost. These lower cost…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Alex A. Gorodetsky , Gianluca Geraci , Mike Eldred , John D. Jakeman

Balanced truncation, a technique from robust control theory, is a systematic method for producing simple approximate models of complex linear systems. This technique may have significant applications in physics, particularly in the study of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Benjamin Rahn

Truncated backpropagation through time (TBPTT) is a popular method for learning in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) that saves computation and memory at the cost of bias by truncating backpropagation after a fixed number of lags. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Christopher Aicher , Nicholas J. Foti , Emily B. Fox

Recently, authors have studied weighted version of Kerridge inaccuracy measure for truncated distributions. In the present communication we introduce the notion of weighted interval inaccuracy measure for two-sided truncated random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Chanchal Kundu

Many methods for estimating integrated volatility and related functionals of semimartingales in the presence of jumps require specification of tuning parameters for their use in practice. In much of the available theory, tuning parameters…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

We provide faster randomized algorithms for computing an $\epsilon$-optimal policy in a discounted Markov decision process with $A_{\text{tot}}$-state-action pairs, bounded rewards, and discount factor $\gamma$. We provide an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Yujia Jin , Ishani Karmarkar , Aaron Sidford , Jiayi Wang

"Clipping" (a.k.a. importance weight truncation) is a widely used variance-reduction technique for counterfactual off-policy estimators. Like other variance-reduction techniques, clipping reduces variance at the cost of increased bias.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Jan Malte Lichtenberg , Alexander Buchholz , Giuseppe Di Benedetto , Matteo Ruffini , Ben London

This paper develops a flexible method for decreasing the variance of estimators for complex experiment effect metrics (e.g. ratio metrics) while retaining asymptotic unbiasedness. This method uses the auxiliary information about the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Reza Hosseini , Amir Najmi

This paper studies closed-loop chance constrained control problems with disturbance feedback (equivalently state feedback) where state and input vectors must remain in a prescribed polytopic safe region with a predefined confidence level.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-16 Hossein Sartipizadeh , Behçet Açikmeşe

Least squares Monte Carlo methods are a popular numerical approximation method for solving stochastic control problems. Based on dynamic programming, their key feature is the approximation of the conditional expectation of future rewards by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Christian Bayer , Denis Belomestny , Paul Hager , Paolo Pigato , John Schoenmakers , Vladimir Spokoiny

Modeled along the truncated approach in Panigrahi (2016), selection-adjusted inference in a Bayesian regime is based on a selective posterior. Such a posterior is determined together by a generative model imposed on data and the selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-12 Snigdha Panigrahi , Jonathan Taylor

Many popular statistical models for complex phenomena are intractable, in the sense that the likelihood function cannot easily be evaluated. Bayesian estimation in this setting remains challenging, with a lack of computational methodology…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-31 Nial Friel , Antonietta Mira , Chris. J. Oates

Monte Carlo estimation in plays a crucial role in stochastic reaction networks. However, reducing the statistical uncertainty of the corresponding estimators requires sampling a large number of trajectories. We propose control variates…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

One aspect of Poisson approximation is that the support of the random variable of interest is often finite while the support of the Poisson distribution is not. In this paper we will remedy this by examining truncated negative binomial (of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-02 H. L. Gan

The development of efficient numerical methods for kinetic equations with stochastic parameters is a challenge due to the high dimensionality of the problem. Recently we introduced a multiscale control variate strategy which is capable to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-14 Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

Quantum algorithms typically demand prohibitively complicated circuits to solve practical problems. Previous studies have shown that classical randomness can accelerate some specific quantum algorithms. In this work, we introduce the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-15 Yue Wang , Qi Zhao