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We model continuous-time information flows generated by a number of information sources that switch on and off at random times. By modulating a multi-dimensional L\'evy random bridge over a random point field, our framework relates the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Edward Hoyle , Andrea Macrina , Levent A. Mengütürk

Using the theory of stochastic integration developed recently by the authors, in this paper we prove an It\^{o} formula for Hilbert space-valued It\^{o} processes defined with respect to a cylindrical-martingale valued measure. As part of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Santiago Cambronero , David Campos , C. A. Fonseca-Mora , Darío Mena

We construct a family of non-Gaussian martingales the marginals of which are all Gaussian. We give the predictable quadratic variation of these processes and show they do not have continuous paths. These processes are Markovian and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 kais Hamza , Fima C. Klebaner

Mandatory emission trading schemes are being established around the world. Participants of such market schemes are always exposed to risks. This leads to the creation of an accompanying market for emission-linked derivatives. To evaluate…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-25 K. Borovkov , G. Decrouez , J. Hinz

Multi-scale systems often exhibit a combination of stochastic and deterministic dynamics. In compartmental models, low occupancy compartments tend to exhibit stochastic dynamics while high occupancy compartments tend to follow deterministic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-31 Domenic P. J. Germano , Alexander E. Zarebski , Sophie Hautphenne , Robert Moss , Jennifer A. Flegg , Mark B. Flegg

We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-24 Colin Reimer Dawson , Chaofan Huang , Clayton T. Morrison

It is well known that between all processes with independent increments, essentially only the Brownian motion and the Poisson process possess the chaotic representation property (CRP). Thus, a natural question appears: What is an…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 E. Lytvynov

We study optimal investment strategies that maximize expected utility from consumption and terminal wealth in a pure-jump asset price model with Markov-modulated (regime switching) jump-size distributions. We give sufficient conditions for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-13 Oscar Lopez , Rafael Serrano

Stochastic integrals are defined with respect to a collection $P = (P_i; \, i \in I)$ of continuous semimartingales, imposing no assumptions on the index set $I$ and the subspace of $\mathbb{R}^I$ where $P$ takes values. The integrals are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Constantinos Kardaras

We refine stochastic calculus for symmetric Markov processes without using time reverse operators. Under some conditions on the jump functions of locally square integrable martingale additive functionals, we extend Nakao's divergence-like…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-09 Kazuhiro Kuwae

Several Markovian process calculi have been proposed in the literature, which differ from each other for various aspects. With regard to the action representation, we distinguish between integrated-time Markovian process calculi, in which…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2010-06-09 Marco Bernardo

In these lecture notes, we explore the mathematical preliminaries and foundational concepts that connect stochastic processes with partial differential equations. We begin by investigating Brownian motion, which serves as a model for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-15 Helder Rojas

We consider the class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMP), whose state space is $\R\_{+}^{*}$, that possess an increasing deterministic motion and that shrink deterministically when they jump. Well known examples for this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-12 Nathalie Krell

The jump behavior of an infinitely active It\^o semimartingale can be conveniently characterized by a jump activity index of Blumenthal-Getoor type, typically assumed to be constant in time. We study Markovian semimartingales with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Fabian Mies

This paper presents a nonparametric method for estimating the conditional density associated to the jump rate of a piecewise-deterministic Markov process. In our framework, the estimation needs only one observation of the process within a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-12 Romain Azaïs , François Dufour , Anne Gégout-Petit

In this paper we present the asymptotic analysis of the realised quadratic variation for multivariate symmetric $\beta$-stable L\'evy processes, $\beta \in (0,2)$, and certain pure jump semimartingales. The main focus is on derivation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Johannes Heiny , Mark Podolskij

Markov cohort state-transition models have been the standard approach for simulating the prognosis of patients or, more generally, the life trajectories of individuals over a time period. Current approaches for estimating the variance of a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-07 Rowan Iskandar , Cassandra Berns

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

We show that if a random variable is the final value of an adapted log-H\"{o}lder continuous process, then it can be represented as a stochastic integral with respect to a fractional Brownian motion with adapted integrand. In order to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-08 Taras Shalaiko , Georgiy Shevchenko

It is shown that under a certain condition on a semimartingale and a time-change, any stochastic integral driven by the time-changed semimartingale is a time-changed stochastic integral driven by the original semimartingale. As a direct…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-26 Kei Kobayashi