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We consider a class of semi-Markov processes (SMP) such that the embedded discrete time Markov chain may be non-homogeneous. The corresponding augmented processes are represented as semi-martingales using stochastic integral equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Anindya Goswami , Subhamay Saha , Ravishankar Kapildev Yadav

A possibly time-dependent transition intensity matrix or generator $(Q(t))$ characterizes the law of a Markov jump process (MP). For a time homogeneous MP, the transition probability matrix (TPM) can be expressed as a matrix exponential of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Dario Gasbarra , Sangita Kulathinal , Etienne Sebag

We consider a stochastic process $Y$ defined by an integral in quadratic mean of a deterministic function $f$ with respect to a Gaussian process $X$, which need not have stationary increments. For a class of Gaussian processes $X$, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-01 Rimas Norvaiša

A multi--state life insurance model is naturally described in terms of the intensity matrix of an underlying (time--inhomogeneous) Markov process which describes the dynamics for the states of an insured person. Between and at transitions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Mogens Bladt , Søren Asmussen , Mogens Steffensen

We derive limit theorems for the empirical distribution function of "devolatilized" increments of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at high frequencies. These "devolatilized" increments are formed by suitably rescaling and truncating the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

This paper discusses tractable development and statistical estimation of a continuous time stochastic process with a finite state space having non-Markov property. The process is formed by a finite mixture of right-continuous Markov jump…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-04 H. Frydman , B. A. Surya

This paper first describes a class of uncertain stochastic control systems with Markovian switching, and derives an It\^o-Liu formula for Markov-modulated processes. And we characterize an optimal control law, which satisfies the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-14 Weiyin Fei

In this paper we introduce a general stochastic representation for an important class of processes with resetting. It allows to describe any stochastic process intermittently terminated and restarted from a predefined random or non-random…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-11 Marcin Magdziarz , Kacper Taźbierski

We prove It{\^o}'s formula for the flow of measures associated with a jump process defined by a drift, an integral with respect to a Poisson random measure and with respect to the associated compensated Poisson random measure. We work in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Thomas Cavallazzi

The infinitesimal transition probability operator for a continuous-time discrete-state Markov process, $\mathcal{Q}$, can be decomposed into a symmetric and a skew-symmetric parts. As recently shown for the case of diffusion processes,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-04-09 Hong Qian

We prove convex ordering results for random vectors admitting a predictable representation in terms of a Brownian motion and a non-necessarily independent jump component. Our method uses forward-backward stochastic calculus and extends…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-31 Marc Arnaudon , Jean-Christophe Breton , Nicolas Privault

We construct a stochastic fluid process with an underlying piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) akin to the one used in the construction of the rational arrival process (RAP), which we call the RAP-modulated fluid process. As…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Nigel G. Bean , Giang T. Nguyen , Bo F. Nielsen , Oscar Peralta

We have shown recently that a Markov process conditioned on rare events involving time-integrated random variables can be described in the long-time limit by an effective Markov process, called the driven process, which is given…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-17 Raphael Chetrite , Hugo Touchette

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than a decade. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems is that of estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-03 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

Given a multi-dimensional It\^{o} process whose drift and diffusion terms are adapted processes, we construct a weak solution to a stochastic differential equation that matches the distribution of the It\^{o} process at each fixed time.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-23 Gerard Brunick , Steven Shreve

We establish an It\^o-type formula for finite $p$-variation paths with jumps for arbitrary $p\geq 1$. The formula is stated in a fully pathwise form and separates the reduced rough integral from explicit left- and right-jump correction…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Nannan Li , Xing Gao

A Markov Additive Process is a bi-variate Markov process $(\xi,J)=\big((\xi_t,J_t),t\geq0\big)$ which should be thought of as a multi-type L\'evy process: the second component $J$ is a Markov chain on a finite space $\{1,\ldots,K\}$, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-04 Robin Stephenson

We consider a class of stochastic processes $X$ defined by $X\left( t\right) =\int_{0}^{T}G\left( t,s\right) dM\left( s\right) $ for $t\in\lbrack0,T]$, where $M$ is a square-integrable continuous martingale and $G$ is a deterministic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-18 Francesco Russo , Frederi Viens

We consider the task of generating draws from a Markov jump process (MJP) between two time-points at which the process is known. Resulting draws are typically termed bridges and the generation of such bridges plays a key role in…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-31 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

We show that if a random variable is a final value of an adapted Holder continuous process, then it can be represented as a stochastic integral with respect to fractional Brownian motion, and the integrand is an adapted process, continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-11 Georgiy Shevchenko , Lauri Viitasaari