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We examine the feasibility of predicting and subsequently managing the future evolution of a Complex Adaptive System. Our archetypal system mimics a competitive population of mechanical, biological, informational or human objects. We show…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 David M. D. Smith , Neil F. Johnson

In evolutionary algorithms, the fitness of a population increases with time by mutating and recombining individuals and by a biased selection of more fit individuals. The right selection pressure is critical in ensuring sufficient…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Marcus Hutter

Chance-constrained problems involve stochastic components in the constraints which can be violated with a small probability. We investigate the impact of different types of chance constraints on the performance of iterative search…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Saba Sadeghi Ahouei , Jacob de Nobel , Aneta Neumann , Thomas Bäck , Frank Neumann

We study a class of evolution models, where the breeding process involves an arbitrary exchangeable process, allowing for mutations to appear. The population size $n$ is fixed, hence after breeding, selection is applied. Individuals are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Daniela Bertacchi , Juri Lember , Fabio Zucca

In this paper, we consider a fitness-level model of a non-elitist mutation-only evolutionary algorithm (EA) with tournament selection. The model provides upper and lower bounds for the expected proportion of the individuals with fitness…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-08-29 Anton Eremeev

We are living in an uncertain and dynamically changing world, where optimal decision-making under uncertainty is directly linked to the survival of species. However, evolutionary selection pressures that shape value-based decision-making…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-04-04 Erdem Pulcu

Standard methods for aligning large language models with human preferences learn from pairwise comparisons among sampled candidate responses and regularize toward a reference policy. Despite their effectiveness, the effects of sampling and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Yurong Chen , Yu He , Michael I. Jordan , Fan Yao

Meta-learning models, or models that learn to learn, have been a long-desired target for their ability to quickly solve new tasks. Traditional meta-learning methods can require expensive inner and outer loops, thus there is demand for…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-03-12 Kevin Frans , Olaf Witkowski

To perform recognition, molecules must locate and specifically bind their targets within a noisy biochemical environment with many look-alikes. Molecular recognition processes, especially the induced-fit mechanism, are known to involve…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2010-07-27 Yonatan Savir , Tsvi Tlusty

Biological evolution depends on the passing down to subsequent generations of genetic information encoding beneficial traits, and on the removal of unfit individuals by a selection mechanism. However, selection acts on phenotypes, and is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-01 Bastien Mallein , Francesco Paparella , Emmanuel Schertzer , Zsófia Talyigás

An organism that is newly introduced into an existing population has a survival probability that is dependent on both the population density of its environment and the competition it experiences with the members of that population.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-17 Jason M. Gray , Rowan J. Barker-Clarke , Jacob G. Scott , Michael Hinczewski

Plant breeding programs use data obtained from multi-environment selection experiments to produce improved varieties with the ultimate aim of maintaining high levels of genetic gain. Selection accuracy can be improved with the use of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Brian R Cullis , Alison B Smith , David GD Hughes , David Butler

A mutator is an allele that increases the mutation rate throughout the genome by disrupting some aspect of DNA replication or repair. Mutators that increase the mutation rate by the order of 100 fold have been observed to spontaneously…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-12-31 C. Scott Wylie , Cheol-Min Ghim , David A. Kessler , Herbert Levine

Whether evolution can be predicted is a key question in evolutionary biology. Here we set out to better understand the repeatability of evolution. We explored experimentally the effect of mutation supply and the strength of selective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-13 Thomas van Dijk , Sungmin Hwang , Joachim Krug , J. Arjan G. M. de Visser , Mark P. Zwart

Population-based evolutionary algorithms (EAs) have been widely applied to solve various optimization problems. The question of how the performance of a population-based EA depends on the population size arises naturally. The performance of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-05-13 Jun He , Tianshi Chen , Boris Mitavskiy

Genetically identical cells in the same population can take on phenotypically variable states, leading to differentiated responses to external signals, such as nutrients and drug-induced stress. Many models and experiments have focused on a…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-28 Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak

This paper investigates the critical role of hyperparameters in predictive multiplicity, where different machine learning models trained on the same dataset yield divergent predictions for identical inputs. These inconsistencies can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Mustafa Cavus , Katarzyna Woźnica , Przemysław Biecek

Species-rich communities, such as the microbiota or microbial ecosystems, provide key functions for human health and climatic resilience. Increasing effort is being dedicated to design experimental protocols for selecting community-level…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-22 Jules Fraboul , Giulio Biroli , Silvia De Monte

We study the effect of speciation, i.e. the introduction of new species through evolution into communities, in the setting of predator-prey systems. Predator-prey dynamics is classically well modeled by Lotka-Volterra equations, also when…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-20 Christian Hamster , Jorik Schaap , Peter van Heijster , Joshua Dijksman

An autocatalytic pattern matching polymer system is studied as an abstract model for chemical ecosystem evolution. Highly ordered populations with particular sequence patterns appear spontaneously out of a vast number of possible states.…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-17 Shinpei Tanaka , Harold Fellermann , Steen Rasmussen