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We propose a procedure for assigning a relevance measure to each explanatory variable in a complex predictive model. We assume that we have a training set to fit the model and a test set to check the out of sample performance. First, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-17 Pedro Delicado , Daniel Peña

This paper makes the case for using Shapley value to quantify the importance of random input variables to a function. Alternatives based on the ANOVA decomposition can run into conceptual and computational problems when the input variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Art B. Owen , Clémentine Prieur

Multivariate time series data that capture the temporal evolution of interconnected systems are ubiquitous in diverse areas. Understanding the complex relationships and potential dependencies among co-observed variables is crucial for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Zhaolu Liu , Robert L. Peach , Felix Laumann , Sara Vallejo Mengod , Mauricio Barahona

Biological systems with many components often exhibit seemingly critical behaviors, characterized by atypically large correlated fluctuations. Yet the underlying causes remain unclear. Here we define and examine two types of criticality.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-02-26 Vudtiwat Ngampruetikorn , Ilya Nemenman , David J. Schwab

Boolean network models of strongly connected modules are capable of capturing the high regulatory complexity of many biological gene regulatory circuits. We study numerically the previously introduced basin entropy, a parameter for the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 P. Krawitz , I. Shmulevich

We introduce and test a general machine-learning-based technique for the inference of short term causal dependence between state variables of an unknown dynamical system from time series measurements of its state variables. Our technique…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-12-18 Amitava Banerjee , Jaideep Pathak , Rajarshi Roy , Juan G. Restrepo , Edward Ott

We propose new statistical tests, in high-dimensional settings, for testing the independence of two random vectors and their conditional independence given a third random vector. The key idea is simple, i.e., we first transform each…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Jinyuan Chang , Yue Du , Jing He , Qiwei Yao

We consider the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices from high-dimensional sub-Gaussian or heavier-tailed observations with slowly decaying temporal dependence. The temporal dependence is allowed to be long-range so with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Hai Shu , Bin Nan

We study how the Shannon entropy of sequences produced by an information source converges to the source's entropy rate. We synthesize several phenomenological approaches to applying information theoretic measures of randomness and memory to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 James P. Crutchfield , David P. Feldman

We introduce a novel entropy-related function, \textit{non-repeatability}, designed to capture dynamical behaviors in complex systems. Its normalized form, \textit{mutability}, has been previously applied in statistical physics as a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-04 Eugenio E. Vogel , Francisco J. Peña , G. Saravia , P. Vargas

We propose a test of independence of two multivariate random vectors, given a sample from the underlying population. Our approach, which we call MINT, is based on the estimation of mutual information, whose decomposition into joint and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-20 Thomas B. Berrett , Richard J. Samworth

In reliability theory and survival analysis, the residual entropy is known as a measure suitable to describe the dynamic information content in stochastic systems conditional on survival. Aiming to analyze the variability of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Luca Paolillo

In this work, conditional entropy is used to quantify the information loss induced by passing a continuous random variable through a memoryless nonlinear input-output system. We derive an expression for the information loss depending on the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-02-03 Bernhard C. Geiger , Christian Feldbauer , Gernot Kubin

Dependability assurance of systems embedding machine learning(ML) components---so called learning-enabled systems (LESs)---is a key step for their use in safety-critical applications. In emerging standardization and guidance efforts, there…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Erfan Asaadi , Ewen Denney , Ganesh Pai

The causal Markov condition (CMC) is a postulate that links observations to causality. It describes the conditional independences among the observations that are entailed by a causal hypothesis in terms of a directed acyclic graph. In the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-02-23 Bastian Steudel , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schoelkopf

A fundamental question in system design is to decide how much of the design of one component must be known in order to successfully design another component of the system. We study this question in the setting of reactive synthesis, where…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-11-24 Werner Damm , Bernd Finkbeiner , Astrid Rakow

The statistical analysis of data stemming from dynamical systems, including, but not limited to, time series, routinely relies on the estimation of information theoretical quantities, most notably Shannon entropy. To this purpose, possibly…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-01 Leonardo Ricci , Alessio Perinelli , Michele Castelluzzo

Analysis of a probabilistic system often requires to learn the joint probability distribution of its random variables. The computation of the exact distribution is usually an exhaustive precise analysis on all executions of the system. To…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Fabrizio Biondi , Yusuke Kawamoto , Axel Legay , Louis-Marie Traonouez

We consider dynamic versions of the mutual information of lifetime distributions, with focus on past lifetimes, residual lifetimes and mixed lifetimes evaluated at different instants. This allows to study multicomponent systems, by…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Jafar Ahmadi , Antonio Di Crescenzo , Maria Longobardi

We study the Shannon mutual information in one-dimensional critical spin chains, following a recent conjecture (Phys. Rev. Lett. 111, 017201 (2013)), as well as R\'enyi generalizations of it. We combine conformal field theory arguments with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-04 Jean-Marie Stéphan
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