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Here, we explore the problem of error propagation mitigation in modular digital twins as a sequential decision process. Building on a companion study that used a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) to infer latent error regimes from surrogate-physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Annice Najafi , Shokoufeh Mirzaei

The abstraction of dynamical systems is a powerful tool that enables the design of feedback controllers using a correct-by-design framework. We investigate a novel scheme to obtain data-driven abstractions of discrete-time stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-15 Rudi Coppola , Andrea Peruffo , Licio Romao , Alessandro Abate , Manuel Mazo

Using martingale methods, we obtain some upper bounds for large and moderate deviations of products of independent and identically distributed elements of GL d (R). We investigate all the possible moment conditions, from super-exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-25 Christophe Cuny , Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède

We introduce a novel approach to hierarchical reinforcement learning for Linearly-solvable Markov Decision Processes (LMDPs) in the infinite-horizon average-reward setting. Unlike previous work, our approach allows learning low-level and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Guillermo Infante , Anders Jonsson , Vicenç Gómez

Dissipative particle dynamics (DPD) belongs to a class of models and computational algorithms developed to address mesoscale problems in complex fluids and soft matter in general. It is based on the notion of particles that represent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-24 Pep Español , Patrick B Warren

Let S_1(n),...,S_p(n) be independent symmetric random walks in Z^d. We establish moderate deviations and law of the iterated logarithm for the intersection of the ranges #{S_1[0,n]\cap... \cap S_p[0,n]} in the case d=2, p\ge 2 and the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Xia Chen

The problem of estimating a parameter in the drift coefficient is addressed for $N$ discretely observed independent and identically distributed stochastic differential equations (SDEs). This is done considering additional constraints,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter , Hélène Halconruy

We study moderate deviations from hydrodynamic limits of a reaction diffusion model. The process is defined as the superposition of the symmetric exclusion process with a Glauber dynamics. When the process starts from a product measure with…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-22 Linjie Zhao

Fueled by advances in both robust optimization theory and reinforcement learning (RL), robust Markov Decision Processes (RMDPs) have garnered increasing attention due to their powerful capability for sequential decision-making under…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Wenfan Ou , Sheng Bi

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) use a neural network to model the instantaneous rate of change in the state of a system. However, despite their apparent suitability for dynamics-governed time-series, NODEs present a few…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Alexander Norcliffe , Cristian Bodnar , Ben Day , Jacob Moss , Pietro Liò

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) have been used to formulate many decision-making problems in science and engineering. The objective is to synthesize the best decision (action selection) policies to maximize expected rewards (minimize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-08 Mahmoud El Chamie , Behcet Acikmese

Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) are studied in a general framework. First, different constructions are proven to be equivalent. Second, we introduce a coupling between two PDMPs following the same differential flow which…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Alain Durmus , Arnaud Guillin , Pierre Monmarché

This work studies a two-time-scale functional system given by two jump-diffusions under the scale separation by a small parameter $\varepsilon \rightarrow 0$. The coefficients of the equations that govern the dynamics of the system depend…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-15 André de Oliveira Gomes , Pedro Catuogno

We continue the development, started in of the asymptotic description of certain stochastic neural networks. We use the Large Deviation Principle (LDP) and the good rate function H announced there to prove that H has a unique minimum mu_e,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-10 Olivier Faugeras , James MacLaurin

We study person-level differentially private (DP) mean estimation in the case where each person holds multiple samples. DP here requires the usual notion of distributional stability when $\textit{all}$ of a person's datapoints can be…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Sushant Agarwal , Gautam Kamath , Mahbod Majid , Argyris Mouzakis , Rose Silver , Jonathan Ullman

In classical Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), action costs and transition probabilities are assumed to be known, although an accurate estimation of these parameters is often not possible in practice. This study addresses MDPs under cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-24 Merve Merakli , Simge Kucukyavuz

A stationary random sequence admits under some assumptions a representation as the sum of two others: one of them is a martingale difference sequence, and another is a so-called coboundary. Such a representation can be used for proving some…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-24 Mikhail Gordin

We study the Cram\'er type moderate deviation for partial sums of random fields by applying the conjugate method. The results are applicable to the partial sums of linear random fields with short or long memory and to nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-22 Aleksandr Beknazaryan , Hailin Sang , Yimin Xiao

For a $d-$regular random model, we assign to vertices $q-$state spins. From this model, we define the \emph{empirical co-operate measure}, which enumerates the number of co-operation between a given couple of spins, and \emph{ empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-15 U. Ibrahim , A. Lotsi , K. Doku-Amponsah

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are widely used for modeling decision-making problems in robotics, automated control, and economics. Traditional MDPs assume that the decision maker (DM) knows all states and actions. However, this may not…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-07-29 Joseph Y. Halpern , Nan Rong , Ashutosh Saxena