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A default assumption in many machine learning scenarios is that the training and test samples are drawn from the same probability distribution. However, such an assumption is often violated in the real world due to non-stationarity of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Tianyi Zhang , Ikko Yamane , Nan Lu , Masashi Sugiyama

In this article, we propose a penalized high dimensional semiparametric model average quantile prediction approach that is robust for forecasting the conditional quantile of the response. We consider a two-step estimation procedure. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Jingwen Tu , Hu Yang , Chaohui Guo

In this article we study the asymptotic predictive optimality of a model selection criterion based on the cross-validatory predictive density, already available in the literature. For a dependent variable and associated explanatory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Arijit Chakrabarti , Tapas Samanta

One straightforward metric to evaluate a survival prediction model is based on the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) -- the average of the absolute difference between the time predicted by the model and the true event time, over all subjects.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Shi-ang Qi , Neeraj Kumar , Mahtab Farrokh , Weijie Sun , Li-Hao Kuan , Rajesh Ranganath , Ricardo Henao , Russell Greiner

In recent years, the growing availability of biomedical datasets featuring numerous longitudinal covariates has motivated the development of several multi-step methods for the dynamic prediction of survival outcomes. These methods employ…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Mirko Signorelli , Sophie Retif

Model averaging techniques in the actuarial literature aim to forecast future longevity appropriately by combining forecasts derived from various models. This approach often yields more accurate predictions than those generated by a single…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-28 Giovanna Bimonte , Maria Russolillo , Han Lin Shang , Yang Yang

This paper proposes a novel two-step strategy for testing the goodness-of-fit of parametric regression models in ultra-high dimensional sparse settings, where the predictor dimension far exceeds the sample size. This regime usually renders…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Falong Tan , Jie Liu , Heng Peng , Lixing Zhu

Forecasting a time series from multivariate predictors constitutes a challenging problem, especially using model-free approaches. Most techniques, such as nearest-neighbor prediction, quickly suffer from the curse of dimensionality and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-22 Jakob Runge , Reik V. Donner , Jürgen Kurths

This paper develops a new approach to post-selection inference for screening high-dimensional predictors of survival outcomes. Post-selection inference for right-censored outcome data has been investigated in the literature, but much…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-22 Tzu-Jung Huang , Alex Luedtke , Ian W. McKeague

This paper proposes an adaptive penalized weighted mean regression for outlier detection of high-dimensional data. In comparison to existing approaches based on the mean shift model, the proposed estimators demonstrate robustness against…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Jiaqi Li , Linglong Kong , Bei Jiang , Wei Tu

The covariance matrix plays a fundamental role in many modern exploratory and inferential statistical procedures, including dimensionality reduction, hypothesis testing, and regression. In low-dimensional regimes, where the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Philippe Boileau , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan , Sandrine Dudoit

When multiple models are considered in regression problems, the model averaging method can be used to weigh and integrate the models. In the present study, we examined how the goodness-of-prediction of the estimator depends on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Ryo Ando , Fumiyasu Komaki

Two-phase sampling designs are frequently employed in epidemiological studies and large-scale health surveys. In such designs, certain variables are exclusively collected within a second-phase random subsample of the initial first-phase…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-25 Lingxiao Wang

Studying unified model averaging estimation for situations with complicated data structures, we propose a novel model averaging method based on cross-validation (MACV). MACV unifies a large class of new and existing model averaging…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Dalei Yu , Xinyu Zhang , Hua Liang

In ultrahigh dimensional setting, independence screening has been both theoretically and empirically proved a useful variable selection framework with low computation cost. In this work, we propose a two-step framework by using marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-11 Haolei Weng , Yang Feng , Xingye Qiao

In large-scale biomedical research, it's common to gather ultra-high dimensional data that includes right-censored survival times. Feature screening has emerged as a crucial statistical technique for handling such data. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Shuya Chen , Heng Peng , Min Zhou

Background: Choosing the most performing method in terms of outcome prediction or variables selection is a recurring problem in prognosis studies, leading to many publications on methods comparison. But some aspects have received little…

We propose a new variable selection procedure for a functional linear model with multiple scalar responses and multiple functional predictors. This method is based on basis expansions of the involved functional predictors and coefficients…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Alban Mina Mbina , Guy Martial Nkiet

Statistical estimation and inference for marginal hazard models with varying coefficients for multivariate failure time data are important subjects in survival analysis. A local pseudo-partial likelihood procedure is proposed for estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jianwen Cai , Jianqing Fan , Haibo Zhou , Yong Zhou

We propose a new model-free feature screening method based on energy distances for ultrahigh-dimensional binary classification problems. With a high probability, the proposed method retains only relevant features after discarding all the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-19 Sarbojit Roy , Soham Sarkar , Subhajit Dutta , Anil K. Ghosh