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This paper extends the identification results in Nevo and Rosen (2012) to nonparametric models. We derive nonparametric bounds on the average treatment effect when an imperfect instrument is available. As in Nevo and Rosen (2012), we assume…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-01 Kyunghoon Ban , Désiré Kédagni

In the standard difference-in-differences research design, the parallel trends assumption may be violated when the relationship between the exposure trend and the outcome trend is confounded by unmeasured confounders. Progress can be made…

This paper develops a first-stage linear regression representation for the instrumental variables (IV) quantile regression (QR) model. The quantile first-stage is analogous to the least squares case, i.e., a linear projection of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-22 Javier Alejo , Antonio F. Galvao , Gabriel Montes-Rojas

This paper provides a nonparametric framework for causal inference with categorical outcomes under binary treatment and binary instrument settings. I decompose the observed joint probability of outcomes and treatment into marginal…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-11 Onil Boussim

The instrumental variable model of Imbens and Angrist (1994) and Angrist et al. (1996) allow for the identification of the local average treatment effect, also known as the complier average causal effect. However, many empirical studies are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-12 Shuozhi Zuo , Peng Ding , Fan Yang

We study causal inference in randomized experiments (or quasi-experiments) following a $2\times 2$ factorial design. There are two treatments, denoted $A$ and $B$, and units are randomly assigned to one of four categories: treatment $A$…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-12 Mate Kormos , Robert P. Lieli , Martin Huber

We discuss causal inference for observational studies with possibly invalid instrumental variables. We propose a novel methodology called two-stage curvature identification (TSCI) by exploring the nonlinear treatment model with machine…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-08 Zijian Guo , Mengchu Zheng , Peter Bühlmann

This study extends the Bayesian nonparametric instrumental variable regression model to determine the structural effects of covariates on the conditional quantile of the response variable. The error distribution is nonparametrically…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-30 Genya Kobayashi , Kota Ogasawara

Estimating the causal effect of a treatment or exposure for a subpopulation is of great interest in many biomedical and economical studies. Expected shortfall, also referred to as the super-quantile, is an attractive effect-size measure…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-23 Bo Wei , Kean Ming Tan , Xuming He

This paper proposes computationally efficient methods that can be used for instrumental variable quantile regressions (IVQR) and related methods with statistical guarantees. This is much needed when we investigate heterogenous treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-06 Yinchu Zhu

Quantile regression extends regression analysis beyond the conditional mean, providing a richer characterization of covariate effects across the outcome distribution. For sensitive binary outcomes, however, misclassification due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Joon Jin Song , Mohammad Arshad Rahman , Yoo-Mi Chin , James Stamey

This note presents a proof of the conjecture in \citet*{pearl1995testability} about testing the validity of an instrumental variable in hidden variable models. It implies that instrument validity cannot be tested in the case where the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-30 Florian Gunsilius

Instrumental variables (IV) methods are central to applied microeconomics. While classical approaches assume linear models with constant effects, recent literature has shifted toward the local average treatment effect (LATE) framework to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-15 Tymon Słoczyński , Liyang Sun , S. Derya Uysal

Obtaining valid treatment effect inference remains a challenging problem when dealing with numerous instruments and non-sparse control variables. In this paper, we propose a novel ridge regularization-based instrumental variables method for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-17 Xiduo Chen , Xingdong Feng , Antonio F. Galvao , Yeheng Ge

In this paper, we study the estimation and inference of the quantile treatment effect under covariate-adaptive randomization. We propose two estimation methods: (1) the simple quantile regression and (2) the inverse propensity score…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-26 Yichong Zhang , Xin Zheng

For settings with a binary treatment and a binary outcome, instrumental variables can be used to construct bounds on a causal treatment effect. With continuous outcomes, meaningful bounds are more difficult to obtain because the domain of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-26 Tao Liu , Joseph W. Hogan

When a researcher combines multiple instrumental variables for a single binary treatment, the monotonicity assumption of the local average treatment effects (LATE) framework can become restrictive: it requires that all units share a common…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-27 Leonard Goff

In this paper I derive a set of testable implications for econometric models defined by three assumptions: (i) the existence of strictly exogenous discrete instruments, (ii) restrictions on how the instruments affect adoption of a finite…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-22 Ricardo E. Miranda

Instrumental variables (IV) regression is a popular method for the estimation of the endogenous treatment effects. Conventional IV methods require all the instruments are relevant and valid. However, this is impractical especially in…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-29 Qingliang Fan , Yaqian Wu

The empirical literature on program evaluation limits its scope almost exclusively to models where treatment effects are homogenous for observationally identical individuals. This paper considers a treatment effect model in which treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-20 Jason Abrevaya , Haiqing Xu