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Considering two independent Poisson processes, we address the question of testing equality of their respective intensities. We first propose single tests whose test statistics are U-statistics based on general kernel functions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-15 Magalie Fromont , Béatrice Laurent , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

Process monitoring and control requires detection of structural changes in a data stream in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed for learning unknown changepoints in continuous time. The…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-29 Melissa J. M. Turcotte , Nicholas A. Heard

This note is concerned with concentration inequalities for extrema of stationary Gaussian processes. It provides non-asymptotic tail inequalities which fully reflect the fluctuation rate, and as such improve upon standard Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Kevin Tanguy

We derive concentration inequalities for empirical means $\frac{1}{t} \int_0^t f(X_s) ds$ where $X_s$ is an irreducible Markov jump process on a finite state space and $f$ some observable. Using a Feynman-Kac semigroup we first derive a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Santiago Carrero Ibanez

We explore asymptotically optimal bounds for deviations of Bernoulli convolutions from the Poisson limit in terms of the Shannon relative entropy and the Pearson $\chi^2$-distance. The results are based on proper non-uniform estimates for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-13 S. G. Bobkov , G. P. Chistyakov , F. Götze

Given a homogeneous Poisson process on ${\mathbb{R}}^d$ with intensity $\lambda$, we prove that it is possible to partition the points into two sets, as a deterministic function of the process, and in an isometry-equivariant way, so that…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-09 Alexander E. Holroyd , Russell Lyons , Terry Soo

Poisson distributed measurements in inverse problems often stem from Poisson point processes that are observed through discretized or finite-resolution detectors, one of the most prominent examples being positron emission tomography (PET).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Marco Mauritz , Benedikt Wirth

The analysis of panel count data has garnered considerable attention in the literature, leading to the development of multiple statistical techniques. In inferential analysis, most works focus on leveraging estimating equation-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Udita Goswami , Shuvashree Mondal

Motivated by the recent contribution \cite{BB17} we study the scaling limit behavior of a class of one-dimensional stochastic differential equations which has a unique attracting point subject to a small additional repulsive perturbation.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-06-26 Martin Kolb , Matthias Liesenfeld

We describe five types of results concerning information and concentration of discrete random variables, and relationships between them, motivated by their counterparts in the continuous case. The results we consider are information…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-25 Oliver Johnson

We obtain a Bernstein type Gaussian concentration inequality for martingales. Our inequality improves the Azuma-Hoeffding inequality for moderate deviations $x$. Following the work of McDiarmid (1989), Talagrand (1996) and Boucheron, Lugosi…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-17 Xiequan Fan

We propose Mecke-Palm formulas for multiple integrals with respect to a Poisson random measure interlaced with its intensity measure. We apply such formulas to multiple mixed L\'evy systems of L\'evy processes and obtain moment formulas for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Krzysztof Bogdan , Jan Rosiński , Grzegorz Serafin , Łukasz Wojciechowski

The estimation of absorption time distributions of Markov jump processes is an important task in various branches of statistics and applied probability. While the time-homogeneous case is classic, the time-inhomogeneous case has recently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Jamaal Ahmad , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

The Papangelou intensities of determinantal (or fermion) point processes are investigated. These exhibit a monotonicity property expressing the repulsive nature of the interaction, and satisfy a bound implying stochastic domination by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-16 Hans-Otto Georgii , Hyun Jae Yoo

The aim of change-point detection is to identify behavioral shifts within time series data. This article focuses on scenarios where the data is derived from an inhomogeneous Poisson process or a marked Poisson process. We present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-07 C. Dion-Blanc , D. Hawat , E. Lebarbier , S. Robin

Suppose we observe a Poisson process in real time for which the intensity may take on two possible values $\lambda_0$ and $\lambda_1$. Suppose further that the priori probability of the true intensity is not given. We solve a minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Hongwei Mei

In [Schuhmacher, Electron. J. Probab. 10 (2005), 165--201] estimates of the Barbour-Brown distance d_2 between the distribution of a thinned point process and the distribution of a Poisson process were derived by combining discretization…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dominic Schuhmacher

This paper studies theory and inference of an observation-driven model for time series of counts. It is assumed that the observations follow a Poisson distribution conditioned on an accompanying intensity process, which is equipped with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-18 Chao Wang , Heng Liu , Jian-Feng Yao , Richard A. Davis , Wai Keung Li

The process of dynamic state estimation (filtering) based on point process observations is in general intractable. Numerical sampling techniques are often practically useful, but lead to limited conceptual insight about optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-13 Yuval Harel , Ron Meir , Manfred Opper

We give a general Gaussian bound for the first chaos (or innovation) of point processes with stochastic intensity constructed by embedding in a bivariate Poisson process. We apply the general result to nonlinear Hawkes processes, providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Giovanni Luca Torrisi
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