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In this paper we solve the discrete time mean-variance hedging problem when asset returns follow a multivariate autoregressive hidden Markov model. Time dependent volatility and serial dependence are well established properties of financial…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-13 Massimo Caccia , Bruno Rémillard

We consider fundamental questions of arbitrage pricing arising when the uncertainty model is given by a set of possible mutually singular probability measures. With a single probability model, essential equivalence between the absence of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-26 Patrick Beißner

This article introduces the groundbreaking concept of the financial differential machine learning algorithm through a rigorous mathematical framework. Diverging from existing literature on financial machine learning, the work highlights the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-03 Pedro Duarte Gomes

We propose a method for extending a given asset pricing formula to account for two additional sources of risk: the risk associated with future changes in market--calibrated parameters and the remaining risk associated with idiosyncratic…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 T. R. Hurd

In this paper we investigate discrete time trading under integer constraints, that is, we assume that the offered goods or shares are traded in integer quantities instead of the usual real quantity assumption. For finite probability spaces…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-28 Stefan Gerhold , Paul Krühner

The paper studies the concepts of hedging and arbitrage in a non probabilistic framework. It provides conditions for non probabilistic arbitrage based on the topological structure of the trajectory space and makes connections with the usual…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-08 Alexander Alvarez , Sebastian Ferrando , Pablo Olivares

We study a quadratic hedging problem for a sequence of contingent claims with random weights in discrete time. We obtain the optimal hedging strategy explicitly in a recursive representation, without imposing the non-degeneracy (ND)…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-07 Jun Deng , Bin Zou

Derivative hedging and pricing are important and continuously studied topics in financial markets. Recently, deep hedging has been proposed as a promising approach that uses deep learning to approximate the optimal hedging strategy and can…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-16 Masanori Hirano

In a model with no given probability measure, we consider asset pricing in the presence of frictions and other imperfections and characterize the property of coherent pricing, a notion related to (but much weaker than) the no arbitrage…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-12 Gianluca Cassese

We show that the results of ArXiv:1305.6008 on the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and the super-hedging theorem can be extended to the case in which the options available for static hedging (\emph{hedging options}) are quoted with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-30 Erhan Bayraktar , Yuchong Zhang , Zhou Zhou

In a discrete-time financial market, a generalized duality is established for model-free superhedging, given marginal distributions of the underlying asset. Contrary to prior studies, we do not require contingent claims to be upper…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-17 Arash Fahim , Yu-Jui Huang , Saeed Khalili

We consider a general path-dependent version of the hedging problem with price impact of Bouchard et al. (2019), in which a dual formulation for the super-hedging price is obtained by means of PDE arguments, in a Markovian setting and under…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Bruno Bouchard , Xiaolu Tan

Given a set-valued stochastic process $(V_t)_{t=0}^T$, we say that the martingale selection problem is solvable if there exists an adapted sequence of selectors $\xi_t\in V_t$, admitting an equivalent martingale measure. The aim of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

Prudent management of insurance investment portfolios requires competent asset pricing of fixed-income assets with time-to-event contingent cash flows, such as consumer asset-backed securities (ABS). Current market pricing techniques for…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-27 Jackson P. Lautier , Vladimir Pozdnyakov , Jun Yan

We develop a behavioral asset pricing model in which agents trade in a market with information friction. Profit-maximizing agents switch between trading strategies in response to dynamic market conditions. Due to noisy private information…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-02 Zhentao Shi , Huanhuan Zheng

In this study, we investigate asset price bubbles in a discrete-time, discrete-state market under model uncertainty and short sales prohibitions. Building on a new fundamental theorem of asset pricing and a superhedging duality in this…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-25 Wenqing Zhang

A risk-neutral valuation framework is developed for pricing and hedging in-play football bets based on modelling scores by independent Poisson processes with constant intensities. The Fundamental Theorems of Asset Pricing are applied to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-12 Sebastian del Bano Rollin , Zsolt Bihari , Tomaso Aste

An agent-based modelling methodology for the joint price evolution of two stocks is put forward. The method models future multidimensional price trajectories reflecting how a class of agents rebalance their portfolios in an operational way…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Dario Crisci , Sebastian E. Ferrando , Konrad Gajewski

We use deep neural networks to estimate an asset pricing model for individual stock returns that takes advantage of the vast amount of conditioning information, while keeping a fully flexible form and accounting for time-variation. The key…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-12 Luyang Chen , Markus Pelger , Jason Zhu

A discrete time probabilistic model, for optimal equity allocation and portfolio selection, is formulated so as to apply to (at least) reinsurance. In the context of a company with several portfolios (or subsidiaries), representing both…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erik Taflin