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The problem of simple $M-$ary hypothesis testing under a generic performance criterion that depends on arbitrary functions of error probabilities is considered. Using results from convex analysis, it is proved that an optimal decision rule…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-26 Berkan Dulek , Cuneyd Ozturk , Sinan Gezici

In this work, we aim to calibrate the score outputs of an estimator for the binary classification problem by finding an 'optimal' mapping to class probabilities, where the 'optimal' mapping is in the sense that minimizes the classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

We consider the problem of sequential hypothesis testing by betting. For a general class of composite testing problems -- which include bounded mean testing, equal mean testing for bounded random tuples, and some key ingredients of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Ian Waudby-Smith , Ricardo Sandoval , Michael I. Jordan

There has a major problem in the current theory of hypothesis testing in which no unified indicator to evaluate the goodness of various test methods since the cost function or utility function usually relies on the specific application…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-19 Dazhuan Xu , Nan Wang

Multiple-choice exams are frequently used as an efficient and objective method to assess learning but they are more vulnerable to answer-copying than tests based on open questions. Several statistical tests (known as indices in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-29 Mauricio Romero , Alvaro Riascos , Diego Jara

We revisit the outlier hypothesis testing framework of Li \emph{et al.} (TIT 2014) and derive fundamental limits for the optimal test. In outlier hypothesis testing, one is given multiple observed sequences, where most sequences are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-17 Lin Zhou , Yun Wei , Alfred Hero

In research on eye movements in reading, it is common to analyze a number of canonical dependent measures to study how the effects of a manipulation unfold over time. Although this gives rise to the well-known multiple comparisons problem,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-11 Titus von der Malsburg , Bernhard Angele

Hierarchical inference in (generalized) regression problems is powerful for finding significant groups or even single covariates, especially in high-dimensional settings where identifiability of the entire regression parameter vector may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Claude Renaux , Peter Bühlmann

The sequential multiple testing problem is considered under two generalized error metrics. Under the first one, the probability of at least $k$ mistakes, of any kind, is controlled. Under the second, the probabilities of at least $k_1$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-18 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

Response-adaptive designs allow the randomization probabilities to change during the course of a trial based on cumulated response data, so that a greater proportion of patients can be allocated to the better performing treatments. A major…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-03 David S. Robertson , James M. S. Wason

Recent years have seen tremendous advances in the theory and application of sequential experiments. While these experiments are not always designed with hypothesis testing in mind, researchers may still be interested in performing tests…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-29 Karun Adusumilli

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Here we address dependence among the test statistics in connection with asymptotically Bayes' optimal tests in presence of sparse alternatives. Extending the setup in Bogdan et.al. (2011) we consider an equicorrelated ( with equal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-29 Rahul Roy , Subir Kumar Bhandari

We consider a variable selection problem for the prediction of binary outcomes. We study the best subset selection procedure by which the covariates are chosen by maximizing Manski (1975, 1985)'s maximum score objective function subject to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-18 Le-Yu Chen , Sokbae Lee

This paper proposes a novel two-step strategy for testing the goodness-of-fit of parametric regression models in ultra-high dimensional sparse settings, where the predictor dimension far exceeds the sample size. This regime usually renders…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Falong Tan , Jie Liu , Heng Peng , Lixing Zhu

The asymptotically optimal hypothesis testing problem with the general sources as the null and alternative hypotheses is studied under exponential-type error constraints on the first kind of error probability. Our fundamental philosophy in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Te Sun Han

In this paper, we propose a general method for testing composite hypotheses. Our idea is to use confidence limits to define stopping and decision rules. The requirements of operating characteristic function can be satisfied by adjusting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-10 Xinjia Chen

Motivated by real-world machine learning applications, we analyze approximations to the non-asymptotic fundamental limits of statistical classification. In the binary version of this problem, given two training sequences generated according…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-07 Lin Zhou , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Mehul Motani

For nonparametric inference about a function, multiscale testing procedures resolve the need for bandwidth selection and achieve asymptotically optimal detection performance against a broad range of alternatives. However, critical values…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Johann Köhne , Fabian Mies

We consider nonadaptive group testing with Bernoulli tests, where each item is placed in each test independently with some fixed probability. We give a tight threshold on the maximum number of tests required to find the defective set under…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-16 Matthew Aldridge