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We consider the problem of selecting covariates in spatial linear models with Gaussian process errors. Penalized maximum likelihood estimation (PMLE) that enables simultaneous variable selection and parameter estimation is developed and,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-24 Tingjin Chu , Jun Zhu , Haonan Wang

Robust inference for stochastic dynamical systems is often hampered by sparse sampling and the absence of closed-form likelihoods. We introduce a Monte Carlo path-inference framework that leverages full-path statistics and bridge processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-07 Javier Aguilar , Miguel A. Muñoz , Sandro Azaele

We propose an l1-regularized likelihood method for estimating the inverse covariance matrix in the high-dimensional multivariate normal model in presence of missing data. Our method is based on the assumption that the data are missing at…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-28 Nicolas Städler , Peter Bühlmann

The popular Lasso approach for sparse estimation can be derived via marginalization of a joint density associated with a particular stochastic model. A different marginalization of the same probabilistic model leads to a different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-28 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke , Alessandro Chiuso , Gianluigi Pillonetto

Confidence intervals based on penalized maximum likelihood estimators such as the LASSO, adaptive LASSO, and hard-thresholding are analyzed. In the known-variance case, the finite-sample coverage properties of such intervals are determined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-16 Benedikt M. Pötscher , Ulrike Schneider

Markov decision processes are useful models of concurrency optimisation problems, but are often intractable for exhaustive verification methods. Recent work has introduced lightweight approximative techniques that sample directly from…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-03-24 Axel Legay , Sean Sedwards , Louis-Marie Traonouez

Graphical modelling techniques based on sparse selection have been applied to infer complex networks in many fields, including biology and medicine, engineering, finance, and social sciences. One structural feature of some of the networks…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Annaliza McGillivray , Abbas Khalili , David A. Stephens

We consider the problem of learning the structure of Ising models (pairwise binary Markov random fields) from i.i.d. samples. While several methods have been proposed to accomplish this task, their relative merits and limitations remain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-10-11 José Bento , Andrea Montanari

In this article, we consider the problem of reconstructing networks for continuous, binary, count and discrete ordinal variables by estimating sparse precision matrix in Gaussian copula graphical models. We propose two approaches: $\ell_1$…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-22 Fentaw Abegaz , Ernst Wit

The effectiveness of stochastic algorithms based on Monte Carlo dynamics in solving hard optimization problems is mostly unknown. Beyond the basic statement that at a dynamical phase transition the ergodicity breaks and a Monte Carlo…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-07-10 Maria Chiara Angelini , Federico Ricci-Tersenghi

The graphical lasso is a widely used algorithm for fitting undirected Gaussian graphical models. However, for inference on functionals of edge values in the learned graph, standard tools lack formal statistical guarantees, such as control…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Sofia Guglielmini , Gerda Claeskens , Snigdha Panigrahi

Covariance estimation for high-dimensional datasets is a fundamental problem in modern day statistics with numerous applications. In these high dimensional datasets, the number of variables p is typically larger than the sample size n. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-11 Kshitij Khare , Sang Oh , Syed Rahman , Bala Rajaratnam

Disordered lattice spin systems are crucial in both theoretical and applied physics. However, understanding their properties poses significant challenges for Monte Carlo simulations. In this work, we investigate the two-dimensional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-11 Tao Chen , Erdong Guo , Wanzhou Zhang , Pan Zhang , Youjin Deng

Many experiments in medicine and ecology can be conveniently modeled by finite Gaussian mixtures but face the problem of dealing with small data sets. We propose a robust version of the estimator based on self-regression and sparsity…

Computation · Statistics 2014-10-09 Stephane Chretien

Doubly intractable models are encountered in a number of fields, e.g. social networks, ecology and epidemiology. Inference for such models requires the evaluation of a likelihood function, whose normalising factor depends on the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-25 Yu Yang , Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Scott A. Sisson

We address the issue of performing inference on the parameters that index a bimodal extension of the Birnbaum-Saunders distribution (BS). We show that maximum likelihood point estimation can be problematic since the standard nonlinear…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-27 Rodney Fonseca , Francisco Cribari-Neto

Nowadays, l1 penalized likelihood has absorbed a high amount of consideration due to its simplicity and well developed theoretical properties. This method is known as a reliable method in order to apply in a broad range of applications…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-12 Hamed Haselimashhadi

We apply extensive Monte Carlo simulations to study the probability distribution $P(m)$ of the order parameter $m$ for the simple cubic Ising model with periodic boundary condition at the transition point. Sampling is performed with the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-03-18 Jiahao Xu , Alan M. Ferrenberg , David P. Landau

Gaussian processes are valuable tools for non-parametric modelling, where typically an assumption of stationarity is employed. While removing this assumption can improve prediction, fitting such models is challenging. In this work,…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-02 Karla Monterrubio-Gómez , Lassi Roininen , Sara Wade , Theo Damoulas , Mark Girolami

A reciprocal LASSO (rLASSO) regularization employs a decreasing penalty function as opposed to conventional penalization approaches that use increasing penalties on the coefficients, leading to stronger parsimony and superior model…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Himel Mallick , Rahim Alhamzawi , Erina Paul , Vladimir Svetnik