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Constructing accurate, flexible, and efficient parametrizations is one of the great challenges in the numerical modelling of geophysical fluids. We consider here the simple yet paradigmatic case of a Lorenz 84 model forced by a Lorenz 63…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-16 Gabriele Vissio , Valerio Lucarini

In this paper we consider the problem of deriving approximate autonomous dynamics for a number of variables of a dynamical system, which are weakly coupled to the remaining variables. In a previous paper we have used the Ruelle response…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Jeroen Wouters , Valerio Lucarini

Model uncertainty quantification is an essential component of effective data assimilation. Model errors associated with sub-grid scale processes are often represented through stochastic parameterizations of the unresolved process. Many…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Sahani Pathiraja , Peter Jan van Leeuwen

Physical parameterizations are used as representations of unresolved subgrid processes within weather and global climate models or coarse-scale turbulent models, whose resolutions are too coarse to resolve small-scale processes. These…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-27 Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Pierre Gentine

Multiscale dynamics are frequently present in real-world processes, such as the atmosphere-ocean and climate science. Because of time scale separation between a small set of slowly evolving variables and much larger set of rapidly changing…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Rafail V. Abramov

A stochastic subgrid-scale parameterization based on the Ruelle's response theory and proposed in Wouters and Lucarini [2012] is tested in the context of a low-order coupled ocean-atmosphere model for which a part of the atmospheric modes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-01-18 Jonathan Demaeyer , Stéphane Vannitsem

Extreme geophysical events are of crucial relevance to our daily life: they threaten human lives and cause property damage. To assess the risk and reduce losses, we need to model and probabilistically predict these events. Parametrizations…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-09-04 Guannan Hu , Tamás Bódai , Valerio Lucarini

In this study we investigate a data-driven stochastic methodology to parameterize small-scale features in a prototype multiscale dynamical system, the Lorenz '96 (L96) model. We propose to model the small-scale features using a vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-20 Nick Verheul , Daan Crommelin

Growing set of optimization and regression techniques, based upon sparse representations of signals, to build models from data sets has received widespread attention recently with the advent of compressed sensing. This paper deals with the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Amartya Mukherjee , Yusuf Aydogdu , Thambirajah Ravichandran , Navaratnam Sri Namachchivaya

Model reduction techniques have emerged as a powerful paradigm across different fronts of scientific computing. Despite their success, the provided tools and methodologies remain limited if high-dimensional dynamical systems subject to…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-05 Noé Stauffer , Hossein Gorji , Ivan Lunati

In the past couple of years, there is a proliferation in the use of machine learning approaches to represent subgrid scale processes in geophysical flows with an aim to improve the forecasting capability and to accelerate numerical…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-04-13 Suraj Pawar , Omer San

Climate projections suffer from uncertain equilibrium climate sensitivity. The reason behind this uncertainty is the resolution of global climate models, which is too coarse to resolve key processes such as clouds and convection. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-18 Soukayna Mouatadid , Pierre Gentine , Wei Yu , Steve Easterbrook

We introduce an extension of the time-dependent variational Monte Carlo (tVMC) method that adaptively controls the expressivity of the variational quantum state during the simulation of the dynamics. This adaptive tVMC (atVMC) approach is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-09 Raffaele Salioni , Rocco Martinazzo , Davide Emilio Galli , Christian Apostoli

Many physical systems are described by nonlinear differential equations that are too complicated to solve in full. A natural way to proceed is to divide the variables into those that are of direct interest and those that are not, formulate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Alexandre J. Chorin , Fei Lu

Understanding, predicting and controlling laminar-turbulent boundary-layer transition is crucial for the next generation aircraft design. However, in real flight experiments, or wind tunnel tests, often only sparse sensor measurements can…

To make weather/climate modeling computationally affordable, small-scale processes are usually represented in terms of the large-scale, explicitly-resolved processes using physics-based or semi-empirical parameterization schemes. Another…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-05 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Adam Subel , Pedram Hassanzadeh

In this work, we apply, for the first time to spatially inhomogeneous flows, a recently developed data-driven learning algorithm of Mori-Zwanzig (MZ) operators, which is based on a generalized Koopman's description of dynamical systems. The…

The long-term success of climate models that operate on multi-resolution grids will depend on access to subgrid parameterizations that act appropriately across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. As the first step in a series of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-20 Qingshan Chen , Max Gunzburger , Todd Ringler

Some variant of the Frank-Wolfe method for convex optimization problems with adaptive selection of the step parameter corresponding to information about the smoothness of the objective function (the Lipschitz constant of the gradient).…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-01 G. V. Aivazian , F. S. Stonyakin , D. A. Pasechnyuk , M. S. Alkousa , A. M. Raigorodskii

Atmospheric models used for weather and climate prediction are traditionally formulated in a deterministic manner. In other words, given a particular state of the resolved scale variables, the most likely forcing from the sub-grid scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Hannah M. Christensen , Salah Kouhen , Greta Miller , Raghul Parthipan
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