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In this work, we develop a constructive modeling framework for extreme threshold exceedances in repeated observations of spatial fields, based on general product mixtures of random fields possessing light or heavy-tailed margins and various…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-20 Rishikesh Yadav , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz

When applying multivariate extreme value statistics to analyze tail risk in compound events defined by a multivariate random vector, one often assumes that all dimensions share the same extreme value index. While such an assumption can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Liujun Chen , Chen Zhou

W-transforms are introduced as uniformity-preserving univariate transformations on the unit interval induced by distribution functions and piecewise strictly monotone functions, and their properties are investigated. When applied…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-01 Marius Hofert , Zhiyuan Pang

In this paper we address the problem of continuous dependence on initial and boundary data for a one-dimensional debonding model describing a thin film peeled away from a substrate. The system underlying the process couples the weakly…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-11-05 Filippo Riva

Assessing dependence within co-movements of financial instruments has been of much interest in risk management. Typically, indices of tail dependence are used to quantify the strength of such dependence, although many of the indices…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-21 Ning Sun , Chen Yang , Ričardas Zitikis

The modelling of multivariate extreme events is important in a wide variety of applications, including flood risk analysis, metocean engineering and financial modelling. A wide variety of statistical techniques have been proposed in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Callum John Rowlandson Murphy-Barltrop , Ed Mackay , Philip Jonathan

We investigate a family of discrete-time stationary processes defined by multiple stable integrals and renewal processes with infinite means. The model may exhibit behaviors of short-range or long-range dependence, respectively, depending…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Shuyang Bai , Yizao Wang

Heavy rainfall distributional modeling is essential in any impact studies linked to the water cycle, e.g.\ flood risks. Still, statistical analyses that both take into account the temporal and multivariate nature of extreme rainfall are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-13 Gloria Buriticá , Philippe Naveau

We provide a new extension of Breiman's Theorem on computing tail probabilities of a product of random variables to a multivariate setting. In particular, we give a complete characterization of regular variation on cones in $[0,\infty)^d$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Claudia Klüppelberg

Symmetric tridiagonal matrices appear ubiquitously in mathematical physics, serving as the matrix representation of discrete random Schr\"odinger operators. In this work we investigate the top eigenvalue of these matrices in the large…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Yi Han

Extreme values and the tail behavior of probability distributions are essential for quantifying and mitigating risk in complex systems of all kinds. In multivariate settings, accounting for correlations is crucial. Although extreme value…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-06 Benjamin Köhler , Anton J. Heckens , Thomas Guhr

This paper deals with tail diversification in financial time series through the concept of statistical independence by way of differential entropy and mutual information. By using moments as contrast functions to isolate the tails of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-28 Jan Rosenzweig

We give necessary and sufficient conditions for two sub-vectors of a random vector with a multivariate extreme value distribution, corresponding to the limit distribution of the maximum of a multidimensional stationary sequence with…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-09 Clara Viseu , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins , Helena Ferreira

We consider the problem of risk diversification of $\alpha$-stable heavy tailed risks. We study the behaviour of the aggregated Value-at-Risk, with particular reference to the impact of different tail dependence structures on the limits to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-25 Umberto Cherubini , Paolo Neri

We introduce a method for deterministic decoupling of global features and show its applicability to improve data analysis performance, as well as to open new venues for feature transfer. We propose a new formalism that is based on defining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Eduardo Martinez-Enriquez , Maria del Mar Gonzalez , Javier Portilla

Statistical dependence measures like mutual information is ideal for analyzing autoencoders, but it can be ill-posed for deterministic, static, noise-free networks. We adopt the variational (Gaussian) formulation that makes dependence among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Bo Hu , Jose C Principe

In this paper we revisited the classical problem of max-sum equivalence of randomly weighted sums in two dimensions. In opposite to the most papers in literature, we consider that there exists some interdependence between the primary random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

This article studies bootstrap inference for high dimensional weakly dependent time series in a general framework of approximately linear statistics. The following high dimensional applications are covered: (1) uniform confidence band for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng

We investigate the class of models of a general dependent theory. We continue math.LO/0702292 in particular investigating so called "decomposition of types"; thesis is that what holds for stable theory and for Th(Q,<) hold for dependent…

Logic · Mathematics 2012-02-28 Saharon Shelah

We show bounds on tail probabilities for quadratic forms in sub-gaussian non-necessarily independent random variables. Our main tool will be estimates of the Luxemburg norms of such forms. This will allow us to formulate the above-mentioned…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Krzysztof Zajkowski