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The recent M9 Tohoku Japan earthquake of March 11, 2011 was the largest recorded earthquake ever to hit this nation. We retrospectively analyzed the temporal and spatial variations of four different physical parameters - outgoing long wave…

This chapter first presents a rather personal view of some different aspects of predictability, going in crescendo from simple linear systems to high-dimensional nonlinear systems with stochastic forcing, which exhibit emergent properties…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-08-26 Didier Sornette , Ivan Osorio

We study the seismicity (global seismic activity) that occurred in Greece between 1976 and 2009 based on the dataset reported in Makropoulos et al., 2012, using concepts of Non-extensive Statistical Physics. By considering the entire and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-19 Chris G. Antonopoulos , George Michas , Filippos Vallianatos , Tassos Bountis

Contrary to common belief, as the time since the last earthquake in a certain region increases, the risk of occurrence of another earthquake diminishes. As a consequence, the expected waiting time to the next event increases with the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

The transformation to equivalent dimensions that offers a novel approach for investigating earthquake clustering was engaged to analyze the preparatory phase of the 2020 Samos, Greece, Mw7.0 main shock. The analysis considered earthquakes…

Catastrophes of all kinds can be roughly defined as short duration-large amplitude events following and followed by long periods of "ripening". Major earthquakes surely belong to the class of 'catastrophic' events. Because of the space-time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-04 Randall D. Peters , Martine Le Berre , Yves Pomeau

We review the present status of our research and understanding regarding the dynamics and the statistical properties of earthquakes, mainly from a statistical physical viewpoint. Emphasis is put both on the physics of friction and fracture,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-05-22 Hikaru Kawamura , Takahiro Hatano , Naoyuki Kato , Soumyajyoti Biswas , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

The recent 2014 eruption of the Ontake volcano in Japan recalled that hydrothermal fields of moderately active volcanoes have an unpredictable and hazardous behavior that may endanger human beings. Steam blasts can expel devastating ejecta…

During the last twenty years, a number of publications of theoretical-numerical nature have appeared which come to the apparently-reassuring conclusion that seismic motion on the ground in cities is smaller than what this motion would be in…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-08-01 Armand Wirgin

The understanding of long-distance relations between seismic activities has for long been of interest to seismologists and geologists. In this paper we have used data from the world-wide earthquake catalog for the period between 1972 and…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Douglas S. R. Ferreira , Andrés Papa , Ronaldo Menezes

We develop and implement a new type of global earthquake forecast. Our forecast is a perturbation on a smoothed seismicity (Relative Intensity) spatial forecast combined with a temporal time-averaged (Poisson) forecast. A variety of…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-23 James R Holliday , William R Graves , John B Rundle , Donald L Turcotte

Earthquakes are indeed triggered by fault dislocations, but whether this process alone can produce the actual earthquake energy released by the mainshock has long been questioned. Therefore, exploring the true source of energy that causes…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-02-24 Xiaoping Mao , Xueqiang Zhang , Yuci Su , Ke Mao , Pengyu Lu , Fei Zhang

The epidemic-type aftershock sequence model (ETAS) is a simple stochastic process modeling seismicity, based on the two best-established empirical laws, the Omori law (power law decay ~1/t^{1+\theta} of seismicity after an earthquake) and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette

To characterize the dynamical features of seismicity as a complex phenomenon, the seismic data is mapped to a growing random graph, which is a small-world scale-free network. Here, hierarchical and mixing properties of such a network are…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

A promising short term precursor of major earthquakes (EQ) is very crucial in saving people and preventing huge losses. Ez, atmospheric electrostatic field vertical component, under fair air conditions, is generally oriented downwards…

Recently, slow earthquakes (slow EQ) have received much attention relative to understanding the mechanisms underlying large earthquakes and to detecting their precursors. Low-frequency earthquakes (LFE) are a specific type of slow EQ. In…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-07-02 Tomoki Tokuda , Hirohiko Shimada

While the seismic effects of wave-induced fluid flow due to mesoscopic heterogeneities have been studied for several decades, the role played by these types of heterogeneities on seismoelectric phenomena is largely unexplored. To address…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-01-13 D. Jougnot , J. G. Rubino , M. Rosas Carbajal , N. Linde , K. Holliger

Static and dynamic stress changes in the Earth's crust induced by an earthquake typically trigger other earthquakes. Identifying such aftershocks is an important step in seismic hazard assessment but has remained challenging, especially in…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-14 Andreu Puy , Jordi Baró , Jörn Davidsen , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

The advanced machine learning algorithm NESTORE (Next STrOng Related Earthquake) was developed to forecast strong aftershocks in earthquake sequences and has been successfully tested in Italy, western Slovenia, Greece, and California.…

The 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes started with a magnitude (M) 6.5 quake on Apr 14 on the Hinagu fault zone (FZ), followed by active seismicity including an M6.4 quake. Eventually, an M7.3 quake occurred on Apr 16 on the Futagawa FZ. We…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-12-28 K. Z. Nanjo , A. Yoshida