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Estimating the causal effects of an intervention from high-dimensional observational data is difficult due to the presence of confounding. The task is often complicated by the fact that we may have a systematic missingness in our data at…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-02 Sonali Parbhoo , Mario Wieser , Aleksander Wieczorek , Volker Roth

The article concerns hybrid combinations of empirical and parametric likelihood functions. Combining the two allows classical parametric likelihood to be crucially modified via the nonparametric counterpart, making possible model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Ingrid Dæhlen , Nils Lid Hjort

We consider the prediction of weak effects in a multiple-output regression setup, when covariates are expected to explain a small amount, less than $\approx 1%$, of the variance of the target variables. To facilitate the prediction of the…

The Bayesian and Akaike information criteria aim at finding a good balance between under- and over-fitting. They are extensively used every day by practitioners. Yet we contend they suffer from at least two afflictions: their penalty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Sylvain Sardy , Maxime van Cutsem , Sara van de Geer

For linear models with a diverging number of parameters, it has recently been shown that modified versions of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) can identify the true model consistently. However, in many cases there is little…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-26 Heng Lian

Classical wisdom suggests that estimators should avoid fitting noise to achieve good generalization. In contrast, modern overparameterized models can yield small test error despite interpolating noise -- a phenomenon often called "benign…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-02 Michael Aerni , Marco Milanta , Konstantin Donhauser , Fanny Yang

The mutual information between a set of stimuli and the elicited neural responses is compared to the corresponding decoded information. The decoding procedure is presented as an artificial distortion of the joint probabilities between…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ines Samengo

We study the frequentist properties of confidence intervals computed by the method known to statisticians as the Profile Likelihood. It is seen that the coverage of these intervals is surprisingly good over a wide range of possible…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. Lopez , Jan Conrad

We consider covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with functional inputs. From an increasing-domain asymptotics perspective, we prove the asymptotic consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator. We extend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Lucas Reding , Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc

Hierarchical probabilistic models, such as mixture models, are used for cluster analysis. These models have two types of variables: observable and latent. In cluster analysis, the latent variable is estimated, and it is expected that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-26 Keisuke Yamazaki

Maximum likelihood estimation has been extensively used in the joint analysis of repeated measurements and survival time. However, there is a lack of theoretical justification of the asymptotic properties for the maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Donglin Zeng , Jianwen Cai

This paper presents a distributed communication model to investigate multistable perception, where a stimulus gives rise to multiple competing perceptual interpretations. We formalize stable perception as consensus achieved through…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Yuqing Kong

In some estimation problems, especially in applications dealing with information theory, signal processing and biology, theory provides us with additional information allowing us to restrict the parameter space to a finite number of points.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-25 Christine Choirat , Raffaello Seri

We connect the power of Confidence Intervals in different Frequentist methods to their reliability. We show that in the case of a bounded parameter a biased method which near the boundary has large power in testing the parameter against…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Giunti , M. Laveder

We consider the problem of decomposing the total mutual information conveyed by a pair of predictor random variables about a target random variable into redundant, unique and synergistic contributions. We focus on the relationship between…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-09-15 Pradeep Kr. Banerjee , Virgil Griffith

Growth in both size and complexity of modern data challenges the applicability of traditional likelihood-based inference. Composite likelihood (CL) methods address the difficulties related to model selection and computational intractability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-12 Zhendong Huang , Davide Ferrari

Given a pair of predictor variables and a response variable, how much information do the predictors have about the response, and how is this information distributed between unique, redundant, and synergistic components? Recent work has…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-29 Pradeep Kr. Banerjee , Johannes Rauh , Guido Montúfar

The log-likelihood of a generative model often involves both positive and negative terms. For a temporal multivariate point process, the negative term sums over all the possible event types at each time and also integrates over all the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Hongyuan Mei , Tom Wan , Jason Eisner

Noncompliance and missing data often occur in randomized trials, which complicate the inference of causal effects. When both noncompliance and missing data are present, previous papers proposed moment and maximum likelihood estimators for…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-04 Hua Chen , Peng Ding , Zhi Geng , Xiao-Hua Zhou

We study the role of information complexity in privacy leakage about an attribute of an adversary's interest, which is not known a priori to the system designer. Considering the supervised representation learning setup and using neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Amir Ahooye Atashin , Behrooz Razeghi , Deniz Gündüz , Slava Voloshynovskiy
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