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Change-point detection and locally stationary time series modeling are two major approaches for the analysis of non-stationary data. The former aims to identify stationary phases by detecting abrupt changes in the dynamics of a time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Wai Leong Ng , Xinyi Tang , Mun Lau Cheung , Jiacheng Gao , Chun Yip Yau , Holger Dette

Factor analysis has been extensively used to reveal the dependence structures among multivariate variables, offering valuable insight in various fields. However, it cannot incorporate the spatial heterogeneity that is typically present in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Yanxiu Jin , Tomoya Wakayama , Renhe Jiang , Shonosuke Sugasawa

The detection of anomalies or transitions in complex dynamical systems is of critical importance to various applications. In this study, we propose the use of machine learning to detect changepoints for high-dimensional dynamical systems.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-18 Sen Lin , Gianmarco Mengaldo , Romit Maulik

In this paper, we present a change point detection method for detecting change points in multivariate nonstationary wind speed time series. The change point method identifies changes in the covariance structure and decomposes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Sakitha Ariyarathne , Harsha Gangammanavar , Raanju R. Sundararajan

Existing monitoring tools for multivariate data are often asymptotically distribution-free, computationally intensive, or require a large stretch of stable data. Many of these methods are not applicable to 'high dimension, low sample size'…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-12 Niladri Chakraborty , Chun Fai Lui , Ahmed Maged

The aim of online change-point detection is for a accurate, timely discovery of structural breaks. As data dimension outgrows the number of data in observation, online detection becomes challenging. Existing methods typically test only the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-17 Yang-Wen Sun , Katerina Papagiannouli , Vladimir Spokoiny

We propose a novel framework in high-dimensional factor models to simultaneously analyse multiple tensor time series, each with potentially different tensor orders and dimensionality. The connection between different tensor time series is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Zetai Cen

Change-point analysis is thriving in this big data era to address problems arising in many fields where massive data sequences are collected to study complicated phenomena over time. It plays an important role in processing these data by…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-23 Yi-Wei Liu , Hao Chen

High-dimensional time series are characterized by a large number of measurements and complex dependence, and often involve abrupt change points. We propose a new procedure to detect change points in the mean of high-dimensional time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Jun Li , Minya Xu , Ping-Shou Zhong , Lingjun Li

Change point detection is a commonly used technique in time series analysis, capturing the dynamic nature in which many real-world processes function. With the ever increasing troves of multivariate high-dimensional time series data,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-20 Martin Ondrus , Ivor Cribben

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

The extensive emergence of big data techniques has led to an increasing interest in the development of change-point detection algorithms that can perform well in a multivariate, possibly high-dimensional setting. In the current paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-15 Andreas Anastasiou , Angelos Papanastasiou

This paper addresses the issue of detecting change-points in multivariate time series. The proposed approach differs from existing counterparts by making only weak assumptions on both the change-points structure across series, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-14 Flore Harlé , Florent Chatelain , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Sophie Achard

In change-point analysis, one aims at finding the locations of abrupt distributional changes (if any) in a sequence of multivariate observations. In this article, we propose some nonparametric methods based on averages of pairwise distances…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Spandan Ghoshal , Bilol Banerjee , Anil K. Ghosh

We propose a two-stage approach Spec PC-CP to identify change points in multivariate time series. In the first stage, we obtain a low-dimensional summary of the high-dimensional time series by Spectral Principal Component Analysis…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-13 Shuhao Jiao , Tong Shen , Zhaoxia Yu , Hernando Ombao

Assuming stationarity is unrealistic in many time series applications. A more realistic alternative is to allow for piecewise stationarity, where the model is allowed to change at given time points. In this article, the problem of detecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-10 Abolfazl Safikhani , Ali Shojaie

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used in multivariate time series analysis for describing the short-time dynamics of the data. The reduced-rank VAR models are of particular interest when dealing with high-dimensional and highly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-02 Farida Enikeeva , Olga Klopp , Mathilde Rousselot

This paper proposes a moving sum methodology for detecting multiple change points in high-dimensional time series under a factor model, where changes are attributed to those in loadings as well as emergence or disappearance of factors. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Lorenzo Trapani

Factor analysis for high-dimensional data is a canonical problem in statistics and has a wide range of applications. However, there is currently no factor model tailored to effectively analyze high-dimensional count responses with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Wei Liu , Qingzhi Zhong

Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez