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Continuous-time event data are common in applications such as individual behavior data, financial transactions, and medical health records. Modeling such data can be very challenging, in particular for applications with many different types…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Alex Boyd , Robert Bamler , Stephan Mandt , Padhraic Smyth

We present an exploratory restricted latent class model where response data is for a single time point, polytomous, and differing across items, and where latent classes reflect a multi-attribute state where each attribute is ordinal. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Eric Alan Wayman , Steven Andrew Culpepper , Jeff Douglas , Jesse Bowers

We compare different selection criteria to choose the number of latent states of a multivariate latent Markov model for longitudinal data. This model is based on an underlying Markov chain to represent the evolution of a latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-04 Silvia Bacci , Silvia Pandolfi , Fulvia Pennoni

Educational software data promises unique insights into students' study behaviors and drivers of success. While much work has been dedicated to performance prediction in massive open online courses, it is unclear if the same methods can be…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Nil-Jana Akpinar , Aaditya Ramdas , Umut Acar

We introduce LatentTrack (LT), a sequential neural architecture for online probabilistic prediction under nonstationary dynamics. LT performs causal Bayesian filtering in a low-dimensional latent space and uses a lightweight hypernetwork to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Omer Haq

We introduce a novel latent grouping model for predicting the relevance of a new document to a user. The model assumes a latent group structure for both users and documents. We compared the model against a state-of-the-art method, the User…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Eerika Savia , Kai Puolamaki , Janne Sinkkonen , Samuel Kaski

For users navigating travel e-commerce websites, the process of researching products and making a purchase often results in intricate browsing patterns that span numerous sessions over an extended period of time. The resulting clickstream…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-09-23 William Black , Alexander Manlove , Jack Pennington , Andrea Marchini , Ercument Ilhan , Vilda Markeviciute

Understanding consumer preferences is essential to product design and predicting market response to these new products. Choice-based conjoint analysis is widely used to model user preferences using their choices in surveys. However,…

Predicting a user's preference in a short anonymous interaction session instead of long-term history is a challenging problem in the real-life session-based recommendation, e.g., e-commerce and media stream. Recent research of the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Ruihong Qiu , Jingjing Li , Zi Huang , Hongzhi Yin

With the rapid growth of user historical behavior data, user interest modeling has become a prominent aspect in Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction, focusing on learning user intent representations. However, this complexity poses…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Xin Song , Xiaochen Li , Jinxin Hu , Hong Wen , Zulong Chen , Yu Zhang , Xiaoyi Zeng , Jing Zhang

It is reported that the number of online payment users in China has reached 854 million; with the emergence of community e-commerce platforms, the trend of integration of e-commerce and social applications is increasingly intense. Community…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-03 Liping Yang , Xiaxia Niu , Jun Wu

Generating accurate and reliable sales forecasts is crucial in the E-commerce business. The current state-of-the-art techniques are typically univariate methods, which produce forecasts considering only the historical sales data of a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Kasun Bandara , Peibei Shi , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage , Quoc Tran , Brian Seaman

When tracking user-specific online activities, each user's preference is revealed in the form of choices and comparisons. For example, a user's purchase history is a record of her choices, i.e. which item was chosen among a subset of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-01 Sahand Negahban , Sewoong Oh , Kiran K. Thekumparampil , Jiaming Xu

The latent class model has been proposed as a powerful tool for cluster analysis of categorical data in various fields such as social, psychological, behavioral, and biological sciences. However, one important limitation of the latent class…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Huan Qing

Random effect models are popular statistical models for detecting and correcting spurious sample correlations due to hidden confounders in genome-wide gene expression data. In applications where some confounding factors are known,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-08 Muhammad Ammar Malik , Tom Michoel

This paper addresses the critical challenge of stochastic latent heterogeneity in online decision-making, where individuals' responses to actions vary not only with observable contexts but also with unobserved, randomly realized subgroups.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Elynn Chen , Xi Chen , Wenbo Jing , Xiao Liu

We introduce a restricted latent class exploratory model for longitudinal data with ordinal attributes and respondent-specific covariates. Responses follow a time inhomogeneous hidden Markov model where the probability of a respondent's…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Eric Alan Wayman , Steven Andrew Culpepper , Jeff Douglas , Jesse Bowers

We consider a regression framework where the design points are deterministic and the errors possibly non-i.i.d. and heavy-tailed (with a moment of order $p$ in $[1,2]$). Given a class of candidate regression functions, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Yannick Baraud , Guillaume Maillard

Latent class models are widely used for identifying unobserved subgroups from multivariate categorical data in social sciences, with binary data as a particularly popular example. However, accurately recovering individual latent class…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Zhongyuan Lyu , Yuqi Gu

Recommender systems can be formulated as a matrix completion problem, predicting ratings from user and item parameter vectors. Optimizing these parameters by subsampling data becomes difficult as the number of users and items grows. We…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-07-09 Elias Tragas , Calvin Luo , Maxime Gazeau , Kevin Luk , David Duvenaud
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