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When the primary outcome is hard to collect, surrogate endpoint is typically used as a substitute. However, even when the treatment has a positive average causal effect (ACE) on the surrogate endpoint, which also has a positive ACE on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Yunjian Yin , Lan Liu , Zhi Geng , Peng Luo

Background: Many researchers have studied the relationship between diet and health. There are papers showing an association between the consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages and Type 2 diabetes. Many meta-analyses use individual studies…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-09 Karl E. Peace , JingJing Yin , Haresh Rochani , Sarbesh Pandeya , S. Stanley Young

Atherosclerosis is one of the principle pathologies of cardiovascular disease with blood cholesterol a significant risk factor. The World Health Organisation estimates that approximately 2.5 million deaths occur annually due to the risk…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-08 Andrew Parton , Victoria McGilligan , Maurice OKane , Francina R Baldrick , Steven Watterson

Class imbalance problems widely exist in the medical field and heavily deteriorates performance of clinical predictive models. Most techniques to alleviate the problem rebalance class proportions and they predominantly assume the rebalanced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Yinan Liu , Xinyu Dong , Weimin Lyu , Richard N. Rosenthal , Rachel Wong , Tengfei Ma , Fusheng Wang

Background and objective: Diabetes is one of the four leading causes of death worldwide, necessitating daily blood glucose monitoring. While sweat offers a promising non-invasive alternative for glucose monitoring, its application remains…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-05 Xiaoyu Yin , Elisabetta Peri , Eduard Pelssers , Jaap den Toonder , Lisa Klous , Hein Daanen , Massimo Mischi

The question of why we age is a fundamental one. It is about who we are, and it also might have critical practical aspects as we try to find ways to age slower. Or to not age at all. Different reasons point at distinct strategies for the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-10 André C. R. Martins

To evaluate a single cause of a binary effect, Dawid et al. (2014) defined the probability of causation, while Pearl (2015) defined the probabilities of necessity and sufficiency. For assessing the multiple correlated causes of a binary…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Shanshan Luo , Yixuan Yu , Chunchen Liu , Feng Xie , Zhi Geng

Observational data about human behavior is often heterogeneous, i.e., generated by subgroups within the population under study that vary in size and behavior. Heterogeneity predisposes analysis to Simpson's paradox, whereby the trends…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Kristina Lerman

Many models of economics assume that individuals distort objective probabilities. We propose a simple consistency condition on distortion functions, which we term distortion coherence, that ensures that the function commutes with…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-06-10 Christopher P. Chambers , Yusufcan Masatlioglu , Collin Raymond

Statistical learning using imprecise probabilities is gaining more attention because it presents an alternative strategy for reducing irreplicable findings by freeing the user from the task of making up unwarranted high-resolution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Ruobin Gong , Xiao-Li Meng

Meta-analysis is an important tool for combining results from multiple studies and has been widely used in evidence-based medicine for several decades. This paper reports, for the first time, an interesting and valuable paradox in…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-15 Jiandong Shi , Aimin Wu , Tiejun Tong

Metabolism and evolution are closely connected: if a mutation incurs extra energetic costs for an organism, there is a baseline selective disadvantage that may or may not be compensated for by other adaptive effects. A long-standing, but to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-19 Efe Ilker , Michael Hinczewski

Obesity is one of the most important public health problems that the world is facing today. A recent trend is in the development of intervention tools that predict BMI using facial images for weight monitoring and management to combat…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Hera Siddiqui , Ajita Rattani , Karl Ricanek , Twyla Hill

In numerous contexts, individuals may decide whether they take actions to mitigate the spread of disease, or not. Mitigating the spread of disease requires an individual to change their routine behaviours to benefit others, resulting in a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-11 Julie Rowlett , Carl-Joar Karlsson

Diabetes is a major public health challenge worldwide. Abnormal physiology in diabetes, particularly hypoglycemia, can cause driver impairments that affect safe driving. While diabetes driver safety has been previously researched, few…

Demonstrations of quantum entanglement which confirm the violation of Bell's inequality indicate that under certain conditions action at a distance is possible. This consequence seems to contradict the relativistic principle of causality,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-11-02 Yoram Kirsh

Causal inference is best understood using potential outcomes. This use is particularly important in more complex settings, that is, observational studies or randomized experiments with complications such as noncompliance. The topic of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Donald B. Rubin

We investigate spatial confounding in the presence of multivariate disease dependence. In the "analysis model perspective" of spatial confounding, adding a spatially dependent random effect can lead to significant variance inflation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-13 Kyle Lin Wu , Sudipto Banerjee

The Fermi paradox is the conflict between an expectation of a high {\em ex ante} probability of intelligent life elsewhere in the universe and the apparently lifeless universe we in fact observe. The expectation that the universe should be…

Popular Physics · Physics 2018-06-08 Anders Sandberg , Eric Drexler , Toby Ord

A data science task can be deemed as making sense of the data or testing a hypothesis about it. The conclusions inferred from data can greatly guide us to make informative decisions. Big data has enabled us to carry out countless prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Wenhao Zhang , Ramin Ramezani , Arash Naeim