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The hidden Markov model (HMM) has been a workhorse of single molecule data analysis and is now commonly used as a standalone tool in time series analysis or in conjunction with other analyses methods such as tracking. Here we provide a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-06-28 Ioannis Sgouralis , Steve Presse

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for prediction- and information extraction tasks with an efficient inference scheme. It models categorical-valued time series that exhibit dynamics from multiple underlying patterns (e.g.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-21 Jan Reubold , Thorsten Strufe , Ulf Brefeld

Industrial processes generate a massive amount of monitoring data that can be exploited to uncover hidden time losses in the system. This can be used to enhance the accuracy of maintenance policies and increase the effectiveness of the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-27 Fernando Miguelez , Josu Doncel , Maria Dolores Ugarte

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are flexible tools for clustering dependent data coming from unknown populations, allowing nonparametric modelling of the population densities. Identifiability fails when the data is in fact independent and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Kweku Abraham , Elisabeth Gassiat , Zacharie Naulet

We propose the segmented iHMM (siHMM), a hierarchical infinite hidden Markov model (iHMM) that supports a simple, efficient inference scheme. The siHMM is well suited to segmentation problems, where the goal is to identify points at which a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-23 Ardavan Saeedi , Matthew Hoffman , Matthew Johnson , Ryan Adams

We demonstrate the application of pattern recognition algorithms via hidden Markov models (HMM) for qubit readout. This scheme provides a state-path trajectory approach capable of detecting qubit state transitions and makes for a robust…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-01-04 Luis A. Martinez , Yaniv J. Rosen , Jonathan L. DuBois

Nature, as far as we know, evolves continuously through space and time. Yet the ubiquitous hidden Markov model (HMM)--originally developed for discrete time and space analysis in natural language processing--remains a central tool in…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-09 Max Schweiger , Ayush Saurabh , Steve Pressé

There is much interest in the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) as a natural Bayesian nonparametric extension of the ubiquitous Hidden Markov Model for learning from sequential and time-series data. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-11 Matthew J. Johnson , Alan S. Willsky

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is one of the most widely used statistical models for sequential data analysis. One of the key reasons for this versatility is the ability of HMM to deal with missing data. However, standard HMM learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Binyamin Perets , Mark Kozdoba , Shie Mannor

Infinite Hidden Markov Models (iHMM's) are an attractive, nonparametric generalization of the classical Hidden Markov Model which can automatically infer the number of hidden states in the system. However, due to the infinite-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-10 Nilesh Tripuraneni , Shane Gu , Hong Ge , Zoubin Ghahramani

Data Drift is the phenomenon where the generating model behind the data changes over time. Due to data drift, any model built on the past training data becomes less relevant and inaccurate over time. Thus, detecting and controlling for data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Subhadip Bandyopadhyay , Joy Bose , Sujoy Roy Chowdhury

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) comprise a powerful generative approach for modeling sequential data and time-series in general. However, the commonly employed assumption of the dependence of the current time frame to a single or multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Konstantinos P. Panousis , Sotirios Chatzis , Sergios Theodoridis

In this paper, we explore the class of the Hidden Semi-Markov Model (HSMM), a flexible extension of the popular Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that allows the underlying stochastic process to be a semi-Markov chain. HSMMs are typically used less…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-26 Patrick Aschermayr , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) offer a robust and efficient framework for analyzing time series data, modelling both the underlying latent state progression over time and the observation process, conditional on the latent state. However, a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-19 Ioannis Rotous , Alex Diana , Alessio Farcomeni , Eleni Matechou , Andréa Thiebault

This work proposes a multi-agent filtering algorithm over graphs for finite-state hidden Markov models (HMMs), which can be used for sequential state estimation or for tracking opinion formation over dynamic social networks. We show that…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-10 Mert Kayaalp , Virginia Bordignon , Stefan Vlaski , Ali H. Sayed

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are foundational tools for modeling sequential data with latent Markovian structure, yet fitting them to real-world data remains computationally challenging. In this work, we show that pre-trained large language…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Yijia Dai , Zhaolin Gao , Yahya Sattar , Sarah Dean , Jennifer J. Sun

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) have become very popular as a computational tool for the analysis of sequential data. They are memoryless machines which transition from one internal state to another, while producing symbols. These symbols…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-10-01 Ben O`Neill , Tom M. Barlow , Dominik Safranek , Almut Beige

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are flexible time series models in which the distributions of the observations depend on unobserved serially correlated states. The state-dependent distributions in HMMs are usually taken from some class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-19 Roland Langrock , Thomas Kneib , Alexander Sohn , Stacy DeRuiter

Modeling continuous-time physiological processes that manifest a patient's evolving clinical states is a key step in approaching many problems in healthcare. In this paper, we develop the Hidden Absorbing Semi-Markov Model (HASMM): a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-28 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) and conditional random fields (CRFs) are two popular techniques for modeling sequential data. Inference algorithms designed over CRFs and HMMs allow estimation of the state sequence given the observations. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Gungor Polatkan , Oncel Tuzel
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