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Habitat loss is one of the biggest threats facing plant species nowadays. We formulate a simple mathematical model of seed dispersal on reduced habitats to discuss survival of the species in relation to the habitat size and seeds production…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Cristian F. Coletti , Nevena Marić , Pablo M. Rodriguez

Coalescent theory combined with statistical modeling allows us to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. When sequences are sampled serially through…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-02 Michael D. Karcher , Marc A. Suchard , Gytis Dudas , Vladimir N. Minin

We introduce a new model of random tree that grows like a random recursive tree, except at some exceptional "doubling events" when the tree is replaced by two copies of itself attached to a new root. We prove asymptotic results for the size…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Jakob E. Björnberg , Cécile Mailler

The transition from monolayers to multilayered structures in bacterial colonies is a fundamental step in biofilm development. Observed across different morphotypes and species, this transition is triggered within freely growing bacterial…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-03-16 Zhihong You , Daniel J. G. Pearce , Anupam Sengupta , Luca Giomi

We define and analyze a coalescent process as a recursive box-filling process whose genealogy is given by an ancestral time-reversed, time-inhomogeneous Bienyam\'{e}-Galton-Watson process. Special interest is on the expected size of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

This work focuses on clustering populations with a hierarchical dependency structure that can be described by a tree. A particular example that is the focus of our work is the phylogenetic tree, with nodes often representing biological…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-28 Hanxi Sun , Heejung Shim , Vinayak Rao

In a multitype branching process, it is assumed that immigrants arrive according to a nonhomogeneous Poisson or a generalized Polya process (both processes are formulated as a nonhomogeneous birth process with an appropriate choice of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-08 Landy Rabehasaina , Jae-Kyung Woo

An early burst of speciation followed by a subsequent slowdown in the rate of diversification is commonly inferred from molecular phylogenies. This pattern is consistent with some verbal theory of ecological opportunity and adaptive…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Matthew W. Pennell , Brice A. J. Sarver , Luke J. Harmon

We study random trees which are invariant in law under the operation of contracting each edge independently with probability $p\in(0,1)$. We show that all such trees can be constructed through Poissonian sampling from a certain class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-20 Olivier Hénard , Pascal Maillard

The constant rate birth--death process is a popular null model for speciation and extinction. If one removes extinct and non-sampled lineages, this process induces `reconstructed trees' which describe the relationship between extant…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-01 Tanja Stadler , Mike Steel

We propose two models of the evolution of a pair of competing populations. Both are lattice based. The first is a compromise between fully spatial models, which do not appear amenable to analytic results, and interacting particle system…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jochen Blath , Alison Etheridge , Mark Meredith

From genomes and ecosystems to bureaucracies and cities, the growth of complex systems occurs by adding new types of functions and expanding existing ones. We present a simple generative model that generalizes the Yule-Simon process by…

In the spirit of Duqesne and Winkel (2007) and Berestycki et al. (2011) we show that supercritical continuous-state branching process with a general branching mechanism and general immigration mechanism is equal in law to a continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-13 A. E. Kyprianou Y-X. Ren

It has been suggested that a Random Tree Puzzle (RTP) process leads to a Yule-Harding (YH) distribution, when the number of taxa becomes large. In this study, we formalize this conjecture, and we prove that the two tree distributions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-10 Sha Zhu , Mike Steel

We consider excursions for a class of stochastic processes describing a population of discrete individuals experiencing density-limited growth, such that the population has a finite carrying capacity and behaves qualitatively like the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-10 Todd L. Parsons

In this work we describe a new model for the evolution of a diploid structured population backwards in time that allows for large migrations and uneven offspring distributions. The model generalizes both the mean-field model of Birkner et…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Maximillian Newman

We consider branching processes with interaction in continuous time, both with values in the integers and in the reals (in the second case we restrict ourselves to continuous processes), which model the evolution of the size of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Vi Le , Etienne Pardoux

We investigate a six-species class of May-Leonard models leading to formation two types of competing spatial domains, each one inhabited by three-species with their own internal cyclic rock-paper-scissors dynamics. We study the resulting…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-08-07 P. P. Avelino , J. Menezes , B. F. de Oliveira , T. A. Pereira

The cohesion of a social group is the group's tendency to remain united. It has important implications for the stability and survival of social organizations, such as political parties, research teams, or online groups. Empirical studies…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-03 Enrico Maria Fenoaltea , Fanyuan Meng , Run-Ran Liu , Matus Medo

We propose a hierarchical Bayesian model to estimate the proportional contribution of source populations to a newly founded colony. Samples are derived from the first generation offspring in the colony, but mating may occur preferentially…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Feng Guo , Dipak K. Dey , Kent E. Holsinger