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We consider a statistical test whose p-value can only be approximated using Monte Carlo simulations. We are interested in deciding whether the p-value for an observed data set lies above or below a given threshold such as 5%. We want to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-10 Dong Ding , Axel Gandy , Georg Hahn

We present two Monte Carlo sampling algorithms for probabilistic inference that guarantee polynomial-time convergence for a larger class of network than current sampling algorithms provide. These new methods are variants of the known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Malcolm Pradhan , Paul Dagum

Approximate inference in probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) can be grouped into deterministic methods and Monte-Carlo-based methods. The former can often provide accurate and rapid inferences, but are typically associated with biases…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-09 Fredrik Lindsten , Jouni Helske , Matti Vihola

In this work, we introduce a simple modification of the Monte Carlo algorithm, which we call step Monte Carlo (sMC). The sMC approach allows to simulate processes far from equilibrium and obtain information about the dynamic properties of…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-12-15 Dariusz Sztenkiel

Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo methods present a convenient approach for approximating the expected value of a random variable. Algorithms exist to adaptively sample the random variable until a user defined absolute error tolerance is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Jagadeeswaran Rathinavel

We motive and calculate Newton--Cotes quadrature integration variance and compare it directly with Monte Carlo (MC) integration variance. We find an equivalence between deterministic quadrature sampling and random MC sampling by noting that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Kevin Vanslette , Abdullatif Al Alsheikh , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

We develop Monte Carlo methods for sampling random states and corresponding bit strings in qubit systems. To this end, we derive exact probability density functions that yield the Porter-Thomas distribution in the limit of large systems. We…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-05 Andreas Raab

Monte Carlo methods are widely used for approximating complicated, multidimensional integrals for Bayesian inference. Population Monte Carlo (PMC) is an important class of Monte Carlo methods, which utilizes a population of proposals to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-30 Chaofan Huang , V. Roshan Joseph , Simon Mak

Monte Carlo simulations are widely used in many areas including particle accelerators. In this lecture, after a short introduction and reviewing of some statistical backgrounds, we will discuss methods such as direct inversion, rejection…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-19 Ji Qiang

High statistical precision is critical for Monte Carlo (MC) samples in high energy physics and is degraded by negatively weighted events. This paper investigates a procedure to learn the relationship between the negative and positive weight…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2026-01-15 Christopher Palmer , Braden Kronheim

A core problem in statistics and probabilistic machine learning is to compute probability distributions and expectations. This is the fundamental problem of Bayesian statistics and machine learning, which frames all inference as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

High-quality random samples of quantum states are needed for a variety of tasks in quantum information and quantum computation. Searching the high-dimensional quantum state space for a global maximum of an objective function with many local…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-04-28 Yi-Lin Seah , Jiangwei Shang , Hui Khoon Ng , David John Nott , Berthold-Georg Englert

In survey statistics, the usual technique for estimating a population total consists in summing appropriately weighted variable values for the units in the sample. Different weighting systems exit: sampling weights, GREG weights or…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-09 François Coquet , Éric Lesage

In this review we discuss, from a unified point of view, a variety of Monte Carlo methods used to solve eigenvalue problems in statistical mechanics and quantum mechanics. Although the applications of these methods differ widely, the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2011-05-21 M. P. Nightingale , C. J. Umrigar

We investigate Monte Carlo based algorithms for solving stochastic control problems with probabilistic constraints. Our motivation comes from microgrid management, where the controller tries to optimally dispatch a diesel generator while…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Alessandro Balata , Michael Ludkovski , Aditya Maheshwari , Jan Palczewski

The behaviour of the one--dimensional random--forced Burgers equation is investigated in the path integral formalism, using a discrete space--time lattice. We show that by means of Monte Carlo methods one may evaluate observables, such as…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-01-14 P. Düben , D. Homeier , K. Jansen , D. Mesterhazy , G. Münster , C. Urbach

Probabilistic artificial neural networks offer intriguing prospects for enabling the uncertainty of artificial intelligence methods to be described explicitly in their function; however, the development of techniques that quantify…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-23 James B. Aimone , William Severa , J. Darby Smith

The Diffusion Monte Carlo method with constant number of walkers, also called Stochastic Reconfiguration as well as Sequential Monte Carlo, is a widely used Monte Carlo methodology for computing the ground-state energy and wave function of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-09 Michel Caffarel , Pierre del Moral , Luc de Montella

The performance of the Monte Carlo sampling methods relies on the crucial choice of a proposal density. The notion of optimality is fundamental to design suitable adaptive procedures of the proposal density within Monte Carlo schemes. This…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-24 Fernando Llorente , Luca Martino

We describe an embarrassingly parallel, anytime Monte Carlo method for likelihood-free models. The algorithm starts with the view that the stochasticity of the pseudo-samples generated by the simulator can be controlled externally by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-03 Edward Meeds , Max Welling