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Bayesian Optimization has become the reference method for the global optimization of black box, expensive and possibly noisy functions. Bayesian Op-timization learns a probabilistic model about the objective function, usually a Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-10 Antonio Candelieri , Ilaria Giordani , Riccardo Perego , Francesco Archetti

Uncertainty estimation is essential for robust decision-making in the presence of ambiguous or out-of-distribution inputs. Gaussian Processes (GPs) are classical kernel-based models that offer principled uncertainty quantification and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-30 Albert Saiapin , Kim Batselier

Approximate Bayesian inference methods provide a powerful suite of tools for finding approximations to intractable posterior distributions. However, machine learning applications typically involve selecting actions, which -- in a Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-11 Michael J. Morais , Jonathan W. Pillow

Gaussian processes regression models are an appealing machine learning method as they learn expressive non-linear models from exemplar data with minimal parameter tuning and estimate both the mean and covariance of unseen points. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Vladimir Joukov , Dana Kulić

Recursive estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is an important problem that arises in several engineering applications. Consistent and accurate propagation of uncertainties is important to ensuring good estimation performance. It is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-16 Dilshad Raihan Akkam Veettil , Suman Chakravorty

Exterior sound field interpolation is a challenging problem that often requires specific array configurations and prior knowledge on the source conditions. We propose an interpolation method based on Gaussian processes using a point source…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-06 Juliano G. C. Ribeiro , Ryo Matsuda , Jorge Trevino

Kernel Estimation provides an unbinned and non-parametric estimate of the probability density function from which a set of data is drawn. In the first section, after a brief discussion on parametric and non-parametric methods, the theory of…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-10-31 Kyle S. Cranmer

Kernel means are frequently used to represent probability distributions in machine learning problems. In particular, the well known kernel density estimator and the kernel mean embedding both have the form of a kernel mean. Unfortunately,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-03 E. Cruz Cortés , C. Scott

Feedback particle filter (FPF) is an algorithm to numerically approximate the solution of the nonlinear filtering problem in continuous time. The algorithm implements a feedback control law for a system of particles such that the empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-08 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta

Laplace approximations are a standard tool for computationally efficient inference in latent Gaussian models, but they fail for quantile regression with the asymmetric Laplace likelihood because the observed Hessian vanishes almost…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Andrea Nava , Fabio Sigrist

We focus on the estimation of the intensity of a Poisson process in the presence of a uniform noise. We propose a kernel-based procedure fully calibrated in theory and practice. We show that our adaptive estimator is optimal from the oracle…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-29 Anna Bonnet , Claire Lacour , Franck Picard , Vincent Rivoirard

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) enables statistical inference in simulator-based models whose likelihoods are difficult to calculate but easy to simulate from. ABC constructs a kernel-type approximation to the posterior distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Yuexi Wang , Tetsuya Kaji , Veronika Ročková

Kernel methods provide an elegant framework for developing nonlinear learning algorithms from simple linear methods. Though these methods have superior empirical performance in several real data applications, their usefulness is inhibited…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-20 Nicholas Sterge , Bharath Sriperumbudur

Kernel adaptive filters, a class of adaptive nonlinear time-series models, are known by their ability to learn expressive autoregressive patterns from sequential data. However, for trivial monotonic signals, they struggle to perform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-14 Felipe Tobar

Gaussian processes are flexible function approximators, with inductive biases controlled by a covariance kernel. Learning the kernel is the key to representation learning and strong predictive performance. In this paper, we develop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Gregory W. Benton , Wesley J. Maddox , Jayson P. Salkey , Julio Albinati , Andrew Gordon Wilson

The filtering distribution captures the statistics of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. Classical particle filters provably approximate this distribution in quite general settings; however they behave…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Edoardo Calvello , Pierre Monmarché , Andrew M. Stuart , Urbain Vaes

Decision trees algorithms use a gain function to select the best split during the tree's induction. This function is crucial to obtain trees with high predictive accuracy. Some gain functions can suffer from a bias when it compares splits…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-26 Antonin Leroux , Matthieu Boussard , Remi Dès

Kernel-based models such as kernel ridge regression and Gaussian processes are ubiquitous in machine learning applications for regression and optimization. It is well known that a major downside for kernel-based models is the high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Sattar Vakili , Jonathan Scarlett , Da-shan Shiu , Alberto Bernacchia

Kernel density estimation is a technique for approximating probability distributions. Here, it is applied to the calculation of mutual information on a metric space. This is motivated by the problem in neuroscience of calculating the mutual…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-05-20 R. Joshua Tobin , Conor J. Houghton

Random features have been introduced to scale up kernel methods via randomization techniques. In particular, random Fourier features and orthogonal random features were used to approximate the popular Gaussian kernel. Random Fourier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Nizar Demni , Hachem Kadri