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The modeling of probability distributions, specifically generative modeling and density estimation, has become an immensely popular subject in recent years by virtue of its outstanding performance on sophisticated data such as images and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-02 Hongkang Yang

We establish a mathematical framework that formally validates the two-phase ``super-population viewpoint'' proposed by Hartley and Sielken [Biometrics 31 (1975) 411--422] by defining a product probability space which includes both the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Susana Rubin-Bleuer , Ioana Schiopu Kratina

Completely randomized experiments have been the gold standard for drawing causal inference because they can balance all potential confounding on average. However, they may suffer from unbalanced covariates for realized treatment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Yuhao Wang , Xinran Li

A general principle is advanced allowing the classification of nonunique solutions to nonlinear evolution equations, corresponding to different spatio-temporal patterns. This is done by defining the probability distribution of patterns,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 V. I. Yukalov

We use the exact finite sample likelihood and statistical decision theory to answer questions of ``why?'' and ``what should you have done?'' using data from randomized experiments and a utility function that prioritizes safety over…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-26 Neil Christy , A. E. Kowalski

Insightful interdisciplinary collaboration is essential to the principled governance of technology. When such efforts address the interaction between computation and society, they often focus on modeling, the process by which computer…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Samuel Judson , Joan Feigenbaum

Estimating the causal effect of a treatment or health policy with observational data can be challenging due to an imbalance of and a lack of overlap between treated and control covariate distributions. In the presence of limited overlap,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-24 Martha Barnard , Jared D. Huling , Julian Wolfson

Estimating a large alphabet probability distribution from a limited number of samples is a fundamental problem in machine learning and statistics. A variety of estimation schemes have been proposed over the years, mostly inspired by the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-20 Amichai Painsky , Meir Feder

This paper demonstrates how new principles of compressed sensing, namely asymptotic incoherence, asymptotic sparsity and multilevel sampling, can be utilised to better understand underlying phenomena in practical compressed sensing and…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Bogdan Roman , Anders Hansen , Ben Adcock

A utility-function approach to optimal spatial sampling design is a powerful way to quantify what "optimality" means. The emphasis then should be to capture all possible contributions to utility, including scientific impact and the cost of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-17 Noel Cressie , Raymond L. Chambers

Probabilistic classifiers output a probability distribution on target classes rather than just a class prediction. Besides providing a clear separation of prediction and decision making, the main advantage of probabilistic models is their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Juozas Vaicenavicius , David Widmann , Carl Andersson , Fredrik Lindsten , Jacob Roll , Thomas B. Schön

Model-based experimental design is attracting increasing attention in chemical process engineering. Typically, an iterative procedure is pursued: an approximate model is devised, prescribed experiments are then performed and the resulting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Charlie Vanaret , Philipp Seufert , Jan Schwientek , Gleb Karpov , Gleb Ryzhakov , Ivan Oseledets , Norbert Asprion , Michael Bortz

Subject selection plays a critical role in experimental studies, especially ones with human subjects. Anecdotal evidence suggests that many such studies, done at or near university campus settings suffer from selection bias, i.e., the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-21 Tahereh Arabghalizi , Alexandros Labrinidis

An intriguing phenomenon in many instances of compressed sensing is that the reconstruction quality is governed not just by the overall sparsity of the signal, but also on its structure. This paper is about understanding this phenomenon,…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-28 Ben Adcock , Anders C. Hansen , Bogdan Roman

Survey sampling theory and methods are introduced. Sampling designs and estimation methods are carefully discussed as a textbook for survey sampling. Topics includes Horvitz-Thompson estimation, simple random sampling, stratified sampling,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-03 Jae Kwang Kim

Importance sampling is a widely used technique to estimate properties of a distribution. This paper investigates trading-off some bias for variance by adaptively winsorizing the importance sampling estimator. The novel winsorizing…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-10 Paulo Orenstein

Hierarchical random effect models are used for different purposes in clinical research and other areas. In general, the main focus is on population parameters related to the expected treatment effects or group differences among all units of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-07 Maryna Prus , Norbert Benda , Rainer Schwabe

Predictive models that generalize well under distributional shift are often desirable and sometimes crucial to building robust and reliable machine learning applications. We focus on distributional shift that arises in causal inference from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-27 Fredrik D. Johansson , Nathan Kallus , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

A case-cohort design is a two-phase sampling design frequently used to analyze censored survival data in a cost-effective way, where a subcohort is usually selected using simple random sampling or stratified simple random sampling. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-06 Kaeum Choi , Sangwook Kang

The aim of this paper is to provide a resampling technique that allows us to make inference on superpopulation parameters in finite population setting. Under complex sampling designs, it is often difficult to obtain explicit results about…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-24 Pier Luigi Conti , Alberto Di Iorio