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Stein [Statist. Sci. 4 (1989) 432--433] proposed the Mat\'{e}rn-type Gaussian random fields as a very flexible class of models for computer experiments. This article considers a subclass of these models that are exactly once mean square…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei-Liem Loh

The effect of a stochastic displacement field on a statistically independent point process is analyzed. Stochastic displacement fields can be divided into two large classes: spatially correlated and uncorrelated. For both cases exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-11-26 Andrea Gabrielli

We introduce stochastic variational inference for Gaussian process models. This enables the application of Gaussian process (GP) models to data sets containing millions of data points. We show how GPs can be vari- ationally decomposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 James Hensman , Nicolo Fusi , Neil D. Lawrence

From a continuous-time long memory stochastic process, a discrete-time randomly sampled one is drawn. We investigate the second-order properties of this process and establish some time-and frequency-domain asymptotic results. We mainly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe , Caroline Robet

We prove that the class of discrete time stationary max-stable process satisfying the Markov property is equal, up to time reversal, to the class of stationary max-autoregressive processes of order $1$. A similar statement is also proved…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-13 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

We introduce a class of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators for the multivariate density of max-stable fields generated by Gaussian processes. Our estimators take advantage of recent results on exact simulation of max-stable fields combined…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-28 Jose Blanchet , Zhipeng Liu

Marginal optima are minima or maxima of a function with many nearly flat directions. In settings with many competing optima, marginal ones tend to attract algorithms and physical dynamics. Often, the important family of marginal attractors…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-12-03 Jaron Kent-Dobias

We show how to perform full likelihood inference for max-stable multivariate distributions or processes based on a stochastic Expectation-Maximisation algorithm, which combines statistical and computational efficiency in high-dimensions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Raphaël Huser , Clément Dombry , Mathieu Ribatet , Marc G. Genton

A general class of dynamical systems which can be trained to operate in classification and generation modes are introduced. A procedure is proposed to plant asymptotic stationary attractors of the deterministic model. Optimizing the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-10-15 Stefano Gagliani , Feliciano Giuseppe Pacifico , Lorenzo Chicchi , Duccio Fanelli , Diego Febbe , Lorenzo Buffoni , Raffaele Marino

In this paper, we learn dynamics models for parametrized families of dynamical systems with varying properties. The dynamics models are formulated as stochastic processes conditioned on a latent context variable which is inferred from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Jan Achterhold , Joerg Stueckler

We introduce fully scalable Gaussian processes, an implementation scheme that tackles the problem of treating a high number of training instances together with high dimensional input data. Our key idea is a representation trick over the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-16 Aristeidis Panos , Petros Dellaportas , Michalis K. Titsias

This paper motivates the use of random-bridges -- stochastic processes conditioned to take target distributions at fixed timepoints -- in the realm of generative modelling. Herein, random-bridges can act as stochastic transports between two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Stefano Goria , Levent A. Mengütürk , Murat C. Mengütürk , Berkan Sesen

In this work, we consider systems that are subjected to intermittent instabilities due to external stochastic excitation. These intermittent instabilities, though rare, have a large impact on the probabilistic response of the system and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-06-02 Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

We consider spatial stochastic models, which can be applied e.g. to telecommunication networks with two hierarchy levels. In particular, we consider two Cox processes concentrated on the edge set of a random tessellation, where the points…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-24 Florian Voss , Catherine Gloaguen , Volker Schmidt

Bayesian parameter inference for complex stochastic simulators is challenging due to intractable likelihood functions. Existing simulation-based inference methods often require large number of simulations and become costly to use in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Vasilis Gkolemis , Christos Diou , Michael U. Gutmann

In this paper we introduce a class of stochastic population models based on "patch dynamics". The size of the patch may be varied, and this allows one to quantify the departures of these stochastic models from various mean field theories,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 A. J. McKane , T. J. Newman

While learning the maximum likelihood value of parameters of an undirected graphical model is hard, modelling the posterior distribution over parameters given data is harder. Yet, undirected models are ubiquitous in computer vision and text…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Max Welling , Sridevi Parise

We introduce a family of stochastic models motivated by the study of nonequilibrium steady states of fluid equations. These models decompose the deterministic dynamics of interest into fundamental building blocks, i.e., minimal vector…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Andrea Agazzi , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Omar Melikechi

We analyze the asymptotic behavior of sequences of random variables defined by an initial condition, a stationary and ergodic sequence of random matrices, and an induction formula involving multiplication is the so-called max-plus algebra.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-03-12 Glenn Merlet

We investigate simple models for strictly non-ergodic stochastic processes $x_t$ ($t$ being the discrete time step) focusing on the expectation value $v$ and the standard deviation $\delta v$ of the empirical variance $v[x]$ of finite time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-11-23 G. George , L. Klochko , A. N. Semenov , J. Baschnagel , J. P. Wittmer