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Herein, we introduce and study a new class of discrete random fields designed for quick simulation and covariance inference under inhomogeneous condition. Simulation of these correlated fields can be done in a single pass instead of relying…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Biao Wu , Michael A. Kouritzin , Fraser Newton

We introduce a class of random fields that can be understood as discrete versions of multi-colour polygonal fields built on regular linear tessellations. We focus fir st on consistent polygonal fields, for which we show Markovianity and…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-27 M. N. M. van Lieshout

Max-stable random fields provide canonical models for the dependence of multivariate extremes. Inference with such models has been challenging due to the lack of tractable likelihoods. In contrast, the finite dimensional cumulative…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-30 Robert A. Yuen , Stilian Stoev

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

This paper presents a general approach to linear stochastic processes driven by various random noises. Mathematically, such processes are described by linear stochastic differential equations of arbitrary order (the simplest non-trivial…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Alon Drory

The log-Gaussian Cox process (LGCP) is a popular point process for modeling non-interacting spatial point patterns. This paper extends the LGCP model to handle data exhibiting fundamentally different behaviors in different subregions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-03 Anders Hildeman , David Bolin , Jonas Wallin , Janine B. Illian

The paper generalizes the construction by stochastic flows of consistent utility processes introduced by M. Mrad and N. El Karoui in (2010). The utilities random fields are defined from a general class of processes denoted by $\GX$. Making…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-08 N. El Karoui , Mohamed M'Rad

Since many environmental processes such as heat waves or precipitation are spatial in extent, it is likely that a single extreme event affects several locations and the areal modelling of extremes is therefore essential if the spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-28 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Éyi-Minko , Mathieu Ribatet

Multiplicative cascades have been introduced in turbulence to generate random or deterministic fields having intermittent values and long-range power-law correlations. Generally this is done using discrete construction rules leading to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Francois G. Schmitt

Gaussian process (GP) modulated Cox processes are widely used to model point patterns. Existing approaches require a mapping (link function) between the unconstrained GP and the positive intensity function. This commonly yields solutions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-01 Andrés F. López-Lopera , ST John , Nicolas Durrande

This paper studies theory and inference related to a class of time series models that incorporates nonlinear dynamics. It is assumed that the observations follow a one-parameter exponential family of distributions given an accompanying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-19 Richard A. Davis , Heng Liu

We introduce a stochastic traffic flow model to describe random traffic accidents on a single road. The model is a piecewise deterministic process incorporating traffic accidents and is based on a scalar conservation law with…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-13 Simone Göttlich , Stephan Knapp

A variational inference-based framework for training a multi-output Gaussian process latent variable model, specifically tailored to the tails-up spatio-temporal stream network, is developed. Training, given a censored observational data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Marno Basson , Tobias M. Louw , Theresa R. Smith

The Log-Gaussian Cox Process is a commonly used model for the analysis of spatial point patterns. Fitting this model is difficult because of its doubly-stochastic property, i.e., it is an hierarchical combination of a Poisson process at the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-05 Ming Teng , Farouk S. Nathoo , Timothy D. Johnson

We study nonparametric Bayesian inference for the intensity function of a covariate-driven point process. We extend recent results from the literature, showing that a wide class of Gaussian priors, combined with flexible link functions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

We present exact formulas for both the expected number and the height distribution of local maxima (peaks) in two distinct categories of smooth, non-centered Gaussian fields: (i) nonstationary Gaussian processes and (ii) stationary planar…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Dan Cheng

We study adaptive sensing of Cox point processes, a widely used model from spatial statistics. We introduce three tasks: maximization of captured events, search for the maximum of the intensity function and learning level sets of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Mojmír Mutný , Andreas Krause

In this paper, we consider a stochastic system described by a differential equation admitting a spatially varying random coefficient. The differential equation has been employed to model various static physics systems such as elastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Jingchen Liu , Xiang Zhou

Many complex systems are characterized by intriguing spatio-temporal structures. Their mathematical description relies on the analysis of appropriate correlation functions. Functional integral techniques provide a unifying formalism that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-12 Uwe C. Tauber

The conditional extremes framework allows for event-based stochastic modeling of dependent extremes, and has recently been extended to spatial and spatio-temporal settings. After standardizing the marginal distributions and applying an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Emma S. Simpson , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer L. Wadsworth