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For analyzing unit-level multivariate data in small area estimation, we consider the multivariate nested error regression model (MNER) and provide the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (EBLUP) of a small area characteristic based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-27 Tsubasa Ito , Tatsuya Kubokawa

The two-level normal hierarchical model (NHM) has played a critical role in the theory of small area estimation (SAE), one of the growing areas in statistics with numerous applications in different disciplines. In this paper, we address…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Masayo Yoshimori Hirose , Partha Lahiri

In this paper we derive a second-order unbiased (or nearly unbiased) mean squared prediction error (MSPE) estimator of the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (EBLUP) of a small area mean for a semi-parametric extension to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-26 Shijie Chen , P. Lahiri , J. N. K. Rao

The term ``empirical predictor'' refers to a two-stage predictor of a linear combination of fixed and random effects. In the first stage, a predictor is obtained but it involves unknown parameters; thus, in the second stage, the unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kalyan Das , Jiming Jiang , J. N. K. Rao

Small area estimation has received enormous attention in recent years due to its wide range of application, particularly in policy making decisions. The variance based on direct sample size of small area estimator is unduly large and there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti

Estimating characteristics of domains (referred to as small areas) within a population from sample surveys of the population is an important problem in survey statistics. In this paper, we consider model-based small area estimation under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Ziyang Lyu , A. H. Welsh

Nested error regression models are commonly used to incorporate observational unit specific auxiliary variables to improve small area estimates. When the mean structure of this model is misspecified, there is generally an increase in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Yuting Chen , Partha Lahiri , Nicola Salvati

Small area estimators that ignore the sampling design lack design consistency when the sampling mechanism is complex and may be severely biased under informative designs. Existing procedures that account for the survey weights under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 William Acero , Domingo Morales , Isabel Molina

Best linear unbiased prediction is well known for its wide range of applications including small area estimation. While the theory is well established for mixed linear models and under normality of the error and mixing distributions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti , Myron Katzoff , Van Parsons

Small area estimation methods are used in surveys, where sample sizes are too small to get reliable direct estimates of parameters in some population domains. We consider design-based linear combinations of direct and synthetic estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-22 Andrius Čiginas

A difficulty in MSE estimation occurs because we do not specify a full distribution for the survey weights. This obfuscates the use of fully parametric bootstrap procedures. To overcome this challenge, we develop a novel MSE estimator. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Yanghyeon Cho , Emily Berg

We consider benchmarked empirical Bayes (EB) estimators under the basic area-level model of Fay and Herriot while requiring the standard benchmarking constraint. In this paper we determine the excess mean squared error (MSE) from…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-08 Rebecca C. Steorts , Malay Ghosh

This paper is concerned with the small area estimation in the multivariate Fay-Herriot model where covariance matrix of random effects are fully unknown. The covariance matrix is estimated by a Prasad-Rao type consistent estimator, and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-27 Tsubasa Ito , Tatsuya Kubokawa

The Gauss Markov theorem states that the weighted least squares estimator is a linear minimum variance unbiased estimation (MVUE) in linear models. In this paper, we take a first step towards extending this result to non linear settings via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Tzvi Diskin , Yonina C. Eldar , Ami Wiesel

An approximate mean square error (MSE) expression for the performance analysis of implicitly defined estimators of non-random parameters is proposed. An implicitly defined estimator (IDE) declares the minimizer/maximizer of a selected…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-02 Erdal Mehmetcik , Umut Orguner , Çağatay Candan

In the small area estimation, the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (EBLUP) in the linear mixed model is useful because it gives a stable estimate for a mean of a smallarea. For measuring uncertainty of EBLUP, much of research is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Tsubasa Ito , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Research in NLP is often supported by experimental results, and improved reporting of such results can lead to better understanding and more reproducible science. In this paper we analyze three statistical estimators for expected validation…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Jesse Dodge , Suchin Gururangan , Dallas Card , Roy Schwartz , Noah A. Smith

We consider machine learning techniques to develop low-latency approximate solutions to a class of inverse problems. More precisely, we use a probabilistic approach for the problem of recovering sparse stochastic signals that are members of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-09-06 Steffen Limmer , Sławomir Stańczak

We consider the estimation of a scalar parameter, when two estimators are available. The first is always consistent. The second is inconsistent in general, but has a smaller asymptotic variance than the first, and may be consistent if an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille

In Ruckdeschel[10], we derive an asymptotic expansion of the maximal mean squared error (MSE) of location M-estimators on suitably thinned out, shrinking gross error neighborhoods. In this paper, we compile several consequences of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-02 Peter Ruckdeschel
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