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One the one hand, rough volatility has been shown to provide a consistent framework to capture the properties of stock price dynamics both under the historical measure and for pricing purposes. On the other hand, market price of volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-05 Ofelia Bonesini , Antoine Jacquier , Aitor Muguruza

I propose a functional on the space of spectral risk measures that quantifies their ``degree of risk aversion''. This quantification formalizes the idea that some risk measures are ``more risk-averse'' than others. I construct the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-14 E. Ruben van Beesten

The main purpose of the paper is to study ruin probabilities in two discrete time risk models under rates of interest, where the premiums and claims are two independent sequences of m-dependent random variables, and the rate of interest is…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Nguyen Huy Hoang , Tran Dinh Phung

Hierarchical decision problems are often modeled as bilevel programs in which a leader commits to a policy and a follower responds optimally. When the follower's optimal response is nonunique, or when only near-optimal follower behavior can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Jiguang Yu

Mean-deviation models, along with the existing theory of coherent risk measures, are well studied in the literature. In this paper, we characterize monotonic mean-deviation (risk) measures from a general mean-deviation model by applying a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-12 Xia Han , Ruodu Wang , Qinyu Wu

The application of Bayesian inference for the purpose of model selection is very popular nowadays. In this framework, models are compared through their marginal likelihoods, or their quotients, called Bayes factors. However, marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 F. Llorente , L. Martino , E. Curbelo , J. Lopez-Santiago , D. Delgado

This paper explores some applications of a two-moment inequality for the integral of the $r$-th power of a function, where $0 < r< 1$. The first contribution is an upper bound on the R\'{e}nyi entropy of a random vector in terms of the two…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-24 Galen Reeves

A key sticking point of Bayesian analysis is the choice of prior distribution, and there is a vast literature on potential defaults including uniform priors, Jeffreys' priors, reference priors, maximum entropy priors, and weakly informative…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-22 Andrew Gelman , Daniel Simpson , Michael Betancourt

A moment approach for orbit determinations of astrometric binaries from astrometric observations alone has been recently studied for a low signal-to-noise ratio (Iwama et al. 2013, PASJ, 65, 2). With avoiding a direct use of the…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2015-06-22 Kei Yamada , Masaki Yamaguchi , Hideki Asada , Naoteru Gouda

We consider a non-proportional hazards model where the regression coefficient is not constant but piecewise constant. Following Andersen and Gill (1982), we know that a knowledge of the changepoint leads to a relatively straightforward…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-11 Roxane Duroux , John O'Quigley

A simple approach for modeling multivariate extremes is to consider the vector of component-wise maxima and their max-stable distributions. The extremal dependence can be inferred by estimating the angular measure or, alternatively, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-03 Giulia Marcon , Simone A. Padoan , Antoniano-Villalobos

In recent years, the counterparty credit risk measure, namely the default risk in \emph{Over The Counter} (OTC) derivatives contracts, has received great attention by banking regulators, specifically within the frameworks of \emph{Basel II}…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-12 Michele Bonollo , Luca Di Persio , Luca Mammi , Immacolata Oliva

Dynamic spectral risk measures define a claim's valuation bounds as supremum and infimum of expectations of the claim's payoff over a dominated set of measures. The measures at which such extrema are attained are called extreme measures. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-23 Yoshihiro Shirai

We find conditions which guarantee moment (in)determinacy of powers and products of nonnegative random variables. We establish new and general results which are based either on the rate of growth of the moments of a random variable or on…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-15 Gwo Dong Lin , Jordan Stoyanov

This article develops a duality principle applicable to a large class of variational problems. Firstly, we apply the results to a Ginzburg-Landau type model. In a second step, we develop another duality principle and related primal dual…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-18 Fabio Botelho

The seller's risk-indifference price evaluation is studied. We propose a dynamic risk-indifference pricing criteria derived from a fully-dynamic family of risk measures on the $L_p$-spaces for $p\in [1,\infty]$. The concept of fully-dynamic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-18 Jocelyne Bion-Nadal , Giulia Di Nunno

The mean absolute deviation about the mean is an alternative to the standard deviation for measuring dispersion in a sample or in a population. For stationary, ergodic time series with a finite first moment, an asymptotic expansion for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-18 Johan Segers

We design and implement lab experiments to evaluate the normative appeal of behavior arising from models of ambiguity-averse preferences. We report two main empirical findings. First, we demonstrate that behavior reflects an incomplete…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-26 Christoph Kuzmics , Brian W. Rogers , Xiannong Zhang

The aims of this study are twofold. First, we consider an optimal risk allocation problem with non-convex preferences. By establishing an infimal representation for distortion risk measures, we give some necessary and sufficient conditions…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Hirbod Assa

Invariance times are stopping times $\tau$ such that local martingales with respect to some reduced filtration and an equivalently changed probability measure, stopped before $\tau$ , are local martingales with respect to the original model…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Stéphane Crépey