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We consider inference in models defined by approximate moment conditions. We show that near-optimal confidence intervals (CIs) can be formed by taking a generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator, and adding and subtracting the standard…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-15 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár

Ratios of random variables often appear in probability and statistical applications. We aim to approximate the moments of such ratios under several dependence assumptions. Extending the ideas in Collomb [C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris 285 (1977)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Paul Doukhan , Gabriel Lang

Gilboa and Schmeidler's (1989) uncertainty aversion plays a central role in decision theory and economics, yet many inconsistent behaviors have been observed in experiments. Motivated by this, we study an axiom postulating a minimal degree…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-22 Kensei Nakamura , Shohei Yanagita

The issue of model risk in default modeling has been known since inception of the Academic literature in the field. However, a rigorous treatment requires a description of all the possible models, and a measure of the distance between a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-17 Roberto Fontana , Elisa Luciano , Patrizia Semeraro

Motivated by previous work on moment varieties for Gaussian distributions and their mixtures, we study moment varieties for two other statistically important two-parameter distributions: the inverse Gaussian and gamma distributions. In…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2024-12-04 Oskar Henriksson , Lisa Seccia , Teresa Yu

Any optimization algorithm based on the risk parity approach requires the formulation of portfolio total risk in terms of marginal contributions. In this paper we use the independence of the underlying factors in the market to derive the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-30 Lorenzo Mercuri , Edit Rroji

This paper investigates the impact of distributional uncertainty on key risk measures under the partial knowledge of underlying distributions characterized by their first two moments and shape information (specifically symmetry and/or…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-16 Mengshuo Zhao , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Chuancun Yin , Hui Shao

We discuss the asymptotic behaviour of risk-based indifference prices of European contingent claims in discrete-time financial markets under volatility uncertainty as the number of intermediate trading periods tends to infinity. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-04 Jonas Blessing , Michael Kupper , Alessandro Sgarabottolo

Standard measures of effect, including the risk ratio, the odds ratio, and the risk difference, are associated with a number of well-described shortcomings, and no consensus exists about the conditions under which investigators should…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Anders Huitfeldt , Andrew Goldstein , Sonja A. Swanson

This paper is concerned with the process of risk allocation for a generic multivariate model when the risk measure is chosen as the Value-at-Risk (VaR). We recast the traditional Euler contributions from an expectation conditional on an…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Takaaki Koike , Yuri F. Saporito , Rodrigo S. Targino

We present formulas for the (raw and central) moments and absolute moments of the normal distribution. We note that these results are not new, yet many textbooks miss out on at least some of them. Hence, we believe that it is worthwhile to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-18 Andreas Winkelbauer

This study provides the solution to the equity premium puzzle. The new model was developed by including the behavior of investors toward risk in financial markets in prior studies. The calculations of this newly tested model show that the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-05 Atilla Aras

We introduce two kinds of risk measures with respect to some reference probability measure, which both allow for a certain order structure and domination property. Analyzing their relation to each other leads to the question when a certain…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-15 Christa Cuchiero , Guido Gazzani , Irene Klein

Following [1], the aim of this paper is to analyze the relative weighted entropy involving the central moments weight functions. We compare the standard relative entropy with the weighted case in two particular forms of Gaussian…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-23 Salimeh Yasaei Sekeh , Adriano Polpo

We model investor heterogeneity using different required returns on an investment and evaluate the impact on the valuation of an investment. By assuming no disagreement on the cash flows, we emphasize how risk preferences in particular, but…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-13 Carol Alexander , Xi Chen , Charles Ward

In this paper we derive robust super- and subhedging dualities for contingent claims that can depend on several underlying assets. In addition to strict super- and subhedging, we also consider relaxed versions which, instead of eliminating…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-14 Patrick Cheridito , Michael Kupper , Ludovic Tangpi

This work examines the problem of sequential detection of a change in the drift of a Brownian motion in the case of two-sided alternatives. Applications to real life situations in which two-sided changes can occur are discussed.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Olympia Hadjiliadis , H. Vincent Poor

We introduce a new regression method that relates the mean of an outcome variable to covariates, under the "adverse condition" that a distress variable falls in its tail. This allows to tailor classical mean regressions to adverse…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-04 Timo Dimitriadis , Yannick Hoga

Extreme events can come either from point processes, when the size or energy of the events is above a certain threshold, or from time series, when the intensity of a signal surpasses a threshold value. We are particularly concerned by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-26 Alvaro Corral

We discuss error identities for two classes of free boundary problems generated by obstacles. The identities suggest true forms of the respective error measures which consist of two parts: standard energy norm and a certain nonlinear…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Sergey Repin , Jan Valdman